Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
18,642
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,134.45
Current Value
$6,313.80
Period P&L
$-2,820.63
Max Drawdown
-31.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
76
Winners / Losers
41 / 35
Best Trade
+3.88%
Worst Trade
-12.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
7.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,172,906.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,820.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,820.63
Gross Return
-30.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-30.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 76 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,134.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET $26.33 346 $9,110.18
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 9:35am ET $26.04 346 $9,009.84 $9,034.09 $-100.34
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 3:30pm ET $28.10 321 $9,020.90
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $28.24 321 $9,065.33 $9,078.52 +$44.43
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:35am ET $27.72 327 $9,064.44
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 11:40am ET $26.92 327 $8,802.84 $8,816.92 $-261.60
(-2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 3:30pm ET $26.16 337 $8,815.92
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET $26.58 337 $8,957.93 $8,958.93 +$142.01
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $26.79 334 $8,946.19
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:35am ET $26.43 334 $8,827.62 $8,840.36 $-118.57
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 10:40am ET $25.25 350 $8,835.75
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $24.74 350 $8,659.00 $8,663.61 $-176.75
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 9:40am ET $24.73 350 $8,655.50
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 12:00pm ET $24.44 350 $8,552.53 $8,560.64 $-102.97
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $24.02 356 $8,551.12
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET $24.19 356 $8,611.64 $8,621.16 +$60.52
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 1:50pm ET $23.94 360 $8,618.40
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 2:15pm ET $24.02 360 $8,647.20 $8,649.96 +$28.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $25.13 344 $8,644.72
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $24.31 344 $8,361.20 $8,366.44 $-283.52
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 11:00am ET $24.54 340 $8,343.50
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 12:25pm ET $24.53 340 $8,340.20 $8,363.14 $-3.30
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 1:50pm ET $24.58 340 $8,357.20
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 2:30pm ET $24.67 340 $8,386.10 $8,392.04 +$28.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $25.38 330 $8,375.40
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $24.98 330 $8,243.40 $8,260.04 $-132.00
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 1:25pm ET $23.39 353 $8,254.91
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 2:20pm ET $23.49 353 $8,291.97 $8,297.10 +$37.06
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 2:20pm ET $25.28 328 $8,291.84
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 10:20am ET $24.89 328 $8,163.92 $8,169.18 $-127.92
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $25.70 317 $8,145.32
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 1:40pm ET $25.57 317 $8,105.66 $8,129.53 $-39.66
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 2:00pm ET $24.89 326 $8,114.14
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 3:05pm ET $24.90 326 $8,117.40 $8,132.79 +$3.26
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 3:30pm ET $26.55 306 $8,124.30
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 9:30am ET $26.79 306 $8,197.74 $8,206.23 +$73.44
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 12:05pm ET $25.61 320 $8,193.60
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 1:10pm ET $25.78 320 $8,248.00 $8,260.63 +$54.40
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 1:20pm ET $24.74 333 $8,238.42
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 1:35pm ET $24.93 333 $8,301.72 $8,323.93 +$63.30
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET $24.92 334 $8,323.25
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 11:50am ET $24.78 334 $8,275.69 $8,276.37 $-47.56
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 2:00pm ET $27.57 300 $8,271.00
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 2:15pm ET $27.74 300 $8,322.00 $8,327.37 +$51.00
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 3:30pm ET $28.52 292 $8,326.38
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:40am ET $27.90 292 $8,147.00 $8,147.99 $-179.38
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:40am ET $27.22 299 $8,138.78
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 10:10am ET $27.58 299 $8,247.20 $8,256.41 +$108.42
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 2:40pm ET $28.06 294 $8,249.64
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $28.12 294 $8,265.81 $8,272.58 +$16.17
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $27.17 304 $8,258.16
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 1:50pm ET $26.57 304 $8,076.37 $8,090.79 $-181.79
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET $26.85 301 $8,080.35
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $26.73 301 $8,044.23 $8,054.67 $-36.12
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 2:00pm ET $27.68 290 $8,027.90
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $26.67 290 $7,735.58 $7,762.35 $-292.32
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 2:00pm ET $27.70 280 $7,754.60
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:20am ET $27.13 280 $7,597.38 $7,605.13 $-157.22
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:35am ET $26.69 284 $7,579.96
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:50am ET $26.90 284 $7,639.60 $7,664.77 +$59.64
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 12:25pm ET $26.14 293 $7,659.02
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 12:40pm ET $26.32 293 $7,711.76 $7,717.51 +$52.74
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 12:35pm ET $26.71 288 $7,692.48
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 1:55pm ET $26.71 288 $7,692.48 $7,717.51 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 3:25pm ET $25.37 304 $7,710.96
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:20am ET $25.28 304 $7,683.60 $7,690.15 $-27.36
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $28.16 273 $7,687.68
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $27.23 273 $7,433.79 $7,436.26 $-253.89
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $26.40 281 $7,418.40
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 11:40am ET $25.42 281 $7,143.02 $7,160.88 $-275.38
(-3.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 1:25pm ET $24.05 297 $7,142.85
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 2:20pm ET $24.12 297 $7,163.64 $7,181.67 +$20.79
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:40pm ET $23.61 304 $7,175.92
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $24.52 304 $7,454.08 $7,459.83 +$278.16
(+3.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $23.89 312 $7,452.12
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 11:45am ET $23.69 312 $7,391.28 $7,398.99 $-60.84
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:45am ET $25.99 284 $7,381.16
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:25am ET $26.33 284 $7,477.72 $7,495.55 +$96.56
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $25.20 297 $7,482.92
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:10pm ET $25.06 297 $7,443.51 $7,456.14 $-39.40
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:30pm ET $24.66 302 $7,445.81
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:40pm ET $24.63 302 $7,436.75 $7,447.08 $-9.06
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET $24.50 304 $7,447.06
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:45pm ET $24.04 304 $7,307.00 $7,307.03 $-140.05
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET $22.47 325 $7,301.13
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $22.78 325 $7,403.50 $7,409.41 +$102.38
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:20pm ET $24.12 307 $7,404.84
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:05pm ET $24.18 307 $7,421.73 $7,426.29 +$16.88
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:50am ET $24.44 303 $7,405.32
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET $24.69 303 $7,479.56 $7,500.53 +$74.23
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $24.94 300 $7,482.00
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 11:55am ET $24.43 300 $7,329.00 $7,347.53 $-153.00
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $24.18 303 $7,325.03
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $24.69 303 $7,481.07 $7,503.57 +$156.05
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET $25.70 291 $7,478.70
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:35am ET $25.79 291 $7,504.89 $7,529.76 +$26.19
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:55am ET $27.41 274 $7,510.34
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:20am ET $27.57 274 $7,554.18 $7,573.60 +$43.84
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 3:00pm ET $27.99 270 $7,557.30
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $28.26 270 $7,630.20 $7,646.50 +$72.90
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:45pm ET $29.34 260 $7,628.40
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:00pm ET $29.42 260 $7,649.95 $7,668.06 +$21.55
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:00pm ET $29.66 258 $7,652.28
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 3:35pm ET $29.94 258 $7,725.14 $7,740.91 +$72.86
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:50pm ET $29.95 258 $7,725.81
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $29.56 258 $7,626.48 $7,641.58 $-99.33
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 3:05pm ET $30.37 251 $7,621.82
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:45pm ET $30.42 251 $7,635.42 $7,655.19 +$13.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:35pm ET $33.72 227 $7,654.44
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 2:35pm ET $33.71 227 $7,652.17 $7,652.92 $-2.27
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:40pm ET $35.10 218 $7,651.80
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:35pm ET $32.97 218 $7,187.46 $7,188.58 $-464.34
(-6.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.9h held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $32.16 223 $7,171.68
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:35am ET $32.02 223 $7,140.46 $7,157.36 $-31.22
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $30.99 230 $7,127.70
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:15am ET $31.05 230 $7,141.50 $7,171.16 +$13.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:05am ET $29.82 240 $7,156.80
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 12:35pm ET $29.71 240 $7,130.40 $7,144.76 $-26.40
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $30.59 233 $7,127.47
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $30.69 233 $7,149.61 $7,166.89 +$22.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $35.03 204 $7,145.10
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $35.36 204 $7,212.42 $7,234.21 +$67.32
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $35.34 204 $7,209.36
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:00am ET $35.27 204 $7,195.08 $7,219.93 $-14.28
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $34.85 207 $7,212.92
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $33.57 207 $6,947.96 $6,954.97 $-264.96
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $40.26 172 $6,924.20
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $40.09 172 $6,896.10 $6,926.87 $-28.10
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $40.67 170 $6,913.90
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $40.67 170 $6,913.90 $6,926.87 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
66 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $42.10 164 $6,903.58
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $42.43 164 $6,958.52 $6,981.81 +$54.94
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
67 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $53.24 131 $6,974.44
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $53.29 131 $6,980.34 $6,987.70 +$5.89
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
68 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $47.38 147 $6,964.86
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $48.09 147 $7,069.23 $7,092.07 +$104.37
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
69 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:40am ET $48.60 145 $7,047.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $47.06 145 $6,823.70 $6,868.77 $-223.30
(-3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
70 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $44.36 154 $6,830.67
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:45pm ET $44.73 154 $6,888.42 $6,926.52 +$57.75
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
71 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $45.66 151 $6,894.66
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:40am ET $45.01 151 $6,796.51 $6,828.37 $-98.15
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
72 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $43.15 158 $6,816.91
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $44.77 158 $7,073.66 $7,085.12 +$256.75
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
73 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $41.89 169 $7,079.41
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $42.28 169 $7,144.48 $7,150.19 +$65.07
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
74 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $40.32 177 $7,136.64
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $40.69 177 $7,202.13 $7,215.68 +$65.49
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
75 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $41.02 175 $7,178.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $41.19 175 $7,207.38 $7,244.55 +$28.88
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
76 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $42.59 170 $7,240.30
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $37.12 170 $6,309.55 $6,313.80 $-930.75
(-12.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,313.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,686.20
Total Return: -36.86%
Back to Professor Mean