Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:29:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 31.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 31.8

30-Day Momentum

67
+7.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
12
Trades
7.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.0 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,347
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,390.11
Current Value
$12,591.42
Period P&L
$2,201.28
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
68
Winners / Losers
43 / 25
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
4.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,507,897.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,201.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,201.28
Gross Return
+21.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 68 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,390.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $233.23 44 $10,261.98
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:55am ET $237.89 44 $10,467.16 $10,595.32 +$205.18
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $242.62 43 $10,432.66
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:35am ET $242.21 43 $10,415.03 $10,577.69 $-17.63
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 1:00pm ET $244.50 43 $10,513.50
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $244.27 43 $10,503.61 $10,567.80 $-9.89
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $242.44 43 $10,424.92
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $241.49 43 $10,384.24 $10,527.12 $-40.68
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $223.41 47 $10,500.04
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $222.93 47 $10,477.71 $10,504.80 $-22.32
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $198.25 52 $10,309.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:15pm ET $199.70 52 $10,384.40 $10,580.20 +$75.40
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $224.62 47 $10,557.14
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $223.98 47 $10,526.83 $10,549.88 $-30.32
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:10pm ET $240.23 43 $10,329.89
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:45pm ET $240.98 43 $10,362.14 $10,582.13 +$32.25
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:45am ET $233.20 45 $10,494.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:55am ET $233.95 45 $10,527.91 $10,616.04 +$33.91
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 2:55pm ET $247.18 42 $10,381.56
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $252.84 42 $10,619.28 $10,853.76 +$237.72
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $262.30 41 $10,754.30
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:50pm ET $261.49 41 $10,721.09 $10,820.55 $-33.21
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $249.45 43 $10,726.14
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:55am ET $242.64 43 $10,433.52 $10,527.94 $-292.62
(-2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:20pm ET $240.94 43 $10,360.21
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:55am ET $239.03 43 $10,278.11 $10,445.84 $-82.10
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $231.16 45 $10,402.42
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $225.77 45 $10,159.43 $10,202.85 $-242.99
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:40pm ET $251.05 40 $10,042.00
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:35pm ET $252.79 40 $10,111.60 $10,272.45 +$69.60
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $265.78 38 $10,099.64
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $272.50 38 $10,355.00 $10,527.81 +$255.36
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $275.60 38 $10,472.82
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:20pm ET $276.35 38 $10,501.28 $10,556.28 +$28.47
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:00am ET $284.62 37 $10,530.94
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:55pm ET $284.53 37 $10,527.61 $10,552.95 $-3.33
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:05pm ET $293.67 35 $10,278.45
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $289.31 35 $10,125.85 $10,400.35 $-152.60
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $311.63 33 $10,283.63
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $312.30 33 $10,305.90 $10,422.62 +$22.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $338.84 30 $10,165.20
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $340.01 30 $10,200.15 $10,457.58 +$34.95
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $324.44 32 $10,382.08
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $327.52 32 $10,480.68 $10,556.18 +$98.60
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $342.43 30 $10,272.90
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $348.01 30 $10,440.30 $10,723.58 +$167.40
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $343.80 31 $10,657.80
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $342.19 31 $10,607.89 $10,673.66 $-49.91
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $331.81 32 $10,617.76
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $335.20 32 $10,726.40 $10,782.30 +$108.64
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $341.07 31 $10,573.17
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 31 $11,153.82 $11,362.95 +$580.65
(+5.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.60 31 $11,209.45
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $365.66 31 $11,335.46 $11,488.96 +$126.02
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $382.14 30 $11,464.05
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET $386.62 30 $11,598.60 $11,623.51 +$134.55
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET $400.64 29 $11,618.56
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $399.28 29 $11,579.12 $11,584.07 $-39.44
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $390.25 29 $11,317.11
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $402.17 29 $11,662.93 $11,929.89 +$345.82
(+3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $429.57 27 $11,598.39
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET $428.16 27 $11,560.30 $11,891.81 $-38.09
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $427.10 27 $11,531.58
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $428.63 27 $11,573.01 $11,933.23 +$41.43
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.58 27 $11,814.75
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $438.49 27 $11,839.23 $11,957.71 +$24.48
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $403.66 29 $11,706.13
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $368.46 29 $10,685.34 $10,936.93 $-1,020.79
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $377.46 28 $10,568.88
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $381.45 28 $10,680.59 $11,048.64 +$111.71
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 29 $10,790.90
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $389.20 29 $11,286.80 $11,544.54 +$495.90
(+4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $373.72 30 $11,211.60
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $372.14 30 $11,164.05 $11,496.99 $-47.55
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $400.61 28 $11,217.08
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET $401.97 28 $11,255.16 $11,535.07 +$38.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $423.62 27 $11,437.61
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:15am ET $417.44 27 $11,270.88 $11,368.34 $-166.73
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $422.96 26 $10,997.09
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $426.03 26 $11,076.78 $11,448.03 +$79.69
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $425.45 26 $11,061.83
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $420.15 26 $10,923.90 $11,310.10 $-137.93
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $425.51 26 $11,063.13
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $423.52 26 $11,011.52 $11,258.49 $-51.61
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET $411.66 27 $11,114.82
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $412.90 27 $11,148.30 $11,291.97 +$33.48
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $409.18 27 $11,047.86
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $412.58 27 $11,139.66 $11,383.77 +$91.80
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $402.46 28 $11,268.88
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $405.23 28 $11,346.41 $11,461.30 +$77.53
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $385.52 29 $11,180.08
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $385.85 29 $11,189.65 $11,470.87 +$9.57
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $410.74 27 $11,089.98
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $412.88 27 $11,147.76 $11,528.65 +$57.78
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $408.49 28 $11,437.72
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET $403.09 28 $11,286.47 $11,377.40 $-151.25
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $444.86 25 $11,121.50
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $446.72 25 $11,168.00 $11,423.90 +$46.50
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $464.79 24 $11,154.96
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $467.59 24 $11,222.16 $11,491.10 +$67.20
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $423.20 27 $11,426.40
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $421.70 27 $11,385.90 $11,450.60 $-40.50
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $401.11 28 $11,231.22
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:25am ET $395.01 28 $11,060.28 $11,279.66 $-170.94
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $379.88 29 $11,016.38
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $382.39 29 $11,089.31 $11,352.60 +$72.94
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $360.75 31 $11,183.25
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $357.29 31 $11,075.99 $11,245.34 $-107.26
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $314.28 35 $10,999.80
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $324.61 35 $11,361.35 $11,606.89 +$361.55
(+3.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 34 $11,590.80
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $344.92 34 $11,727.28 $11,743.37 +$136.48
(+1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $377.93 31 $11,715.83
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $380.56 31 $11,797.34 $11,824.89 +$81.52
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $373.30 31 $11,572.30
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $373.92 31 $11,591.52 $11,844.11 +$19.22
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $410.40 28 $11,491.20
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $421.61 28 $11,805.16 $12,158.07 +$313.96
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $449.54 27 $12,137.45
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $452.76 27 $12,224.52 $12,245.15 +$87.08
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $454.50 26 $11,817.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:25pm ET $458.79 26 $11,928.54 $12,356.69 +$111.54
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $455.31 27 $12,293.37
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $458.46 27 $12,378.42 $12,441.74 +$85.05
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $482.23 25 $12,055.87
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:35am ET $480.40 25 $12,010.00 $12,395.87 $-45.87
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $495.08 25 $12,376.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $497.45 25 $12,436.25 $12,455.24 +$59.37
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $518.26 24 $12,438.24
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $519.36 24 $12,464.64 $12,481.64 +$26.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $514.30 24 $12,343.17
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $512.15 24 $12,291.53 $12,429.99 $-51.65
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
67 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $511.03 24 $12,264.72
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $515.35 24 $12,368.40 $12,533.67 +$103.68
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
68 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $573.63 21 $12,046.23
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $576.38 21 $12,103.98 $12,591.42 +$57.75
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,591.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,591.42
Total Return: +25.91%
Back to Professor Mean