Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,759
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,175.71
Current Value
$9,065.06
Period P&L
$-1,110.61
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
75
Winners / Losers
39 / 36
Best Trade
+6.56%
Worst Trade
-7.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,393,154.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,110.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,110.61
Gross Return
-10.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 75 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,175.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET $4.50 2,263 $10,172.19
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 11:05am ET $4.45 2,263 $10,059.71 $10,063.22 $-112.47
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 11:10am ET $4.86 2,070 $10,060.20
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 12:15pm ET $4.86 2,070 $10,060.20 $10,063.22 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $5.03 2,000 $10,060.00
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 11:25am ET $5.03 2,000 $10,050.00 $10,053.22 $-10.00
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 2:45pm ET $5.53 1,817 $10,048.19
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 3:20pm ET $5.55 1,817 $10,084.35 $10,089.38 +$36.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 3:20pm ET $6.38 1,581 $10,086.78
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:35am ET $6.43 1,581 $10,165.83 $10,168.43 +$79.05
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 3:35pm ET $6.67 1,524 $10,165.08
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 9:30am ET $6.57 1,524 $10,010.64 $10,013.99 $-154.44
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 9:30am ET $6.30 1,589 $10,010.54
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 10:00am ET $6.37 1,589 $10,113.99 $10,117.43 +$103.44
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $6.25 1,618 $10,113.63
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET $6.34 1,618 $10,250.03 $10,253.83 +$136.40
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:35am ET $6.29 1,631 $10,250.84
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 11:45am ET $6.14 1,631 $10,006.84 $10,009.83 $-244.00
(-2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 3:05pm ET $6.11 1,639 $10,006.10
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 11:10am ET $6.00 1,639 $9,834.16 $9,837.90 $-171.93
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $6.06 1,623 $9,831.97
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 2:00pm ET $6.06 1,623 $9,835.38 $9,841.31 +$3.41
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $5.64 1,746 $9,838.71
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 11:05am ET $5.68 1,746 $9,917.28 $9,919.88 +$78.57
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 1:55pm ET $6.06 1,636 $9,914.16
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $6.08 1,636 $9,946.72 $9,952.44 +$32.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 2:30pm ET $6.46 1,540 $9,948.55
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 3:10pm ET $6.48 1,540 $9,979.20 $9,983.08 +$30.65
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $7.11 1,404 $9,980.19
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 3:00pm ET $7.24 1,404 $10,164.82 $10,167.71 +$184.63
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $7.39 1,376 $10,161.76
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET $7.53 1,376 $10,354.40 $10,360.35 +$192.64
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:40am ET $7.17 1,444 $10,355.57
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 11:05am ET $7.10 1,444 $10,252.40 $10,257.18 $-103.17
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:25pm ET $7.03 1,460 $10,256.50
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $6.99 1,460 $10,202.63 $10,203.30 $-53.87
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 1:35pm ET $7.11 1,435 $10,199.12
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 2:50pm ET $7.11 1,435 $10,205.43 $10,209.62 +$6.31
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET $7.27 1,404 $10,206.94
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 11:45am ET $7.03 1,404 $9,863.10 $9,865.78 $-343.84
(-3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 3:00pm ET $7.50 1,316 $9,863.42
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 3:20pm ET $7.58 1,316 $9,968.70 $9,971.06 +$105.28
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 12:40pm ET $7.69 1,296 $9,970.00
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 12:45pm ET $7.68 1,296 $9,947.58 $9,948.64 $-22.42
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 1:40pm ET $7.55 1,317 $9,943.48
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 2:40pm ET $7.56 1,317 $9,956.52 $9,961.67 +$13.04
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 3:50pm ET $7.63 1,306 $9,958.25
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $7.59 1,306 $9,912.54 $9,915.96 $-45.71
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $7.59 1,306 $9,912.41
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 12:00pm ET $7.52 1,306 $9,820.73 $9,824.28 $-91.68
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 12:50pm ET $6.81 1,443 $9,819.62
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $6.87 1,443 $9,919.61 $9,924.28 +$100.00
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $7.14 1,390 $9,917.65
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 2:05pm ET $7.16 1,390 $9,952.40 $9,959.03 +$34.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 2:35pm ET $6.94 1,435 $9,958.90
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:35pm ET $6.89 1,435 $9,879.98 $9,880.11 $-78.93
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 3:50pm ET $6.83 1,447 $9,875.78
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $6.53 1,447 $9,449.05 $9,453.39 $-426.72
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $6.57 1,439 $9,447.04
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 11:05am ET $6.67 1,439 $9,590.94 $9,597.29 +$143.90
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $6.82 1,407 $9,595.88
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET $6.87 1,407 $9,670.03 $9,671.44 +$74.15
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 1:00pm ET $6.72 1,439 $9,670.08
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 2:00pm ET $6.74 1,439 $9,691.67 $9,693.02 +$21.59
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 3:25pm ET $6.91 1,403 $9,687.72
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET $6.79 1,403 $9,526.37 $9,531.68 $-161.35
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 3:05pm ET $7.07 1,348 $9,530.36
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 3:15pm ET $7.03 1,348 $9,481.16 $9,482.47 $-49.20
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $7.08 1,340 $9,480.50
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 2:55pm ET $7.14 1,340 $9,561.57 $9,563.54 +$81.07
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 3:20pm ET $7.03 1,360 $9,560.80
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $6.92 1,360 $9,404.40 $9,407.14 $-156.40
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $7.10 1,325 $9,400.88
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 10:30am ET $7.31 1,325 $9,679.13 $9,685.39 +$278.25
(+3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:20pm ET $7.35 1,318 $9,680.71
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $7.41 1,318 $9,759.79 $9,764.47 +$79.08
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $6.92 1,411 $9,762.14
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 1:20pm ET $6.74 1,411 $9,510.14 $9,512.47 $-252.00
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 1:40pm ET $6.77 1,405 $9,511.85
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:40pm ET $6.75 1,405 $9,476.73 $9,477.34 $-35.12
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $6.43 1,473 $9,471.39
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:05am ET $6.42 1,473 $9,456.66 $9,462.61 $-14.73
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $6.06 1,560 $9,460.31
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET $6.27 1,560 $9,782.76 $9,785.07 +$322.45
(+3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:55pm ET $6.13 1,597 $9,781.63
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:20pm ET $6.12 1,597 $9,765.66 $9,769.10 $-15.97
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $5.92 1,650 $9,767.84
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $5.79 1,650 $9,545.25 $9,546.51 $-222.59
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:55pm ET $5.80 1,645 $9,541.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $5.50 1,645 $9,039.28 $9,044.79 $-501.73
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:25am ET $5.41 1,671 $9,040.28
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $5.44 1,671 $9,089.07 $9,093.58 +$48.79
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $5.39 1,687 $9,092.93
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $5.35 1,687 $9,025.45 $9,026.10 $-67.48
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $5.15 1,753 $9,024.44
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 12:00pm ET $5.07 1,753 $8,885.26 $8,886.91 $-139.19
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 12:10pm ET $5.05 1,761 $8,884.25
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 12:25pm ET $5.06 1,761 $8,910.13 $8,912.80 +$25.89
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $5.00 1,782 $8,910.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:55am ET $5.03 1,782 $8,954.55 $8,957.35 +$44.55
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $5.03 1,779 $8,952.64
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $4.97 1,779 $8,832.74 $8,837.44 $-119.90
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $5.12 1,727 $8,833.61
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:30am ET $5.04 1,727 $8,696.31 $8,700.15 $-137.30
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $4.98 1,745 $8,695.68
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:15pm ET $4.97 1,745 $8,663.93 $8,668.39 $-31.76
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 1:50pm ET $4.95 1,751 $8,667.45
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:00pm ET $4.95 1,751 $8,667.45 $8,668.39 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $5.00 1,735 $8,667.89
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $4.99 1,735 $8,648.98 $8,649.48 $-18.91
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $4.99 1,733 $8,647.67
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $4.94 1,733 $8,557.03 $8,558.84 $-90.64
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $5.11 1,674 $8,554.14
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $5.25 1,674 $8,784.32 $8,789.02 +$230.17
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 1:35pm ET $5.56 1,580 $8,784.80
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $5.16 1,580 $8,144.90 $8,149.12 $-639.90
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $5.13 1,590 $8,148.75
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $5.12 1,590 $8,132.85 $8,133.22 $-15.90
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $4.88 1,666 $8,130.08
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $4.89 1,666 $8,146.74 $8,149.88 +$16.66
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $4.81 1,696 $8,149.28
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $4.82 1,696 $8,166.24 $8,166.84 +$16.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.73 1,726 $8,163.98
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.68 1,726 $8,069.05 $8,071.91 $-94.93
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $4.87 1,659 $8,071.04
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.89 1,659 $8,108.86 $8,109.73 +$37.83
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.72 1,719 $8,105.09
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $4.59 1,719 $7,881.62 $7,886.26 $-223.47
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $4.62 1,706 $7,881.72
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET $4.63 1,706 $7,890.25 $7,894.79 +$8.53
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
66 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $4.59 1,719 $7,890.21
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $4.57 1,719 $7,847.24 $7,851.82 $-42.97
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
67 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $4.83 1,625 $7,848.75
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $4.84 1,625 $7,862.56 $7,865.63 +$13.81
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
68 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.65 1,691 $7,863.15
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $4.68 1,691 $7,913.03 $7,915.51 +$49.88
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
69 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $4.59 1,724 $7,913.16
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $4.63 1,724 $7,979.71 $7,982.06 +$66.55
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
70 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.81 1,661 $7,981.11
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $4.94 1,661 $8,200.86 $8,201.81 +$219.75
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
71 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.53 1,810 $8,199.30
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:05am ET $4.48 1,810 $8,108.80 $8,111.31 $-90.50
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
72 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $4.49 1,808 $8,108.88
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $4.47 1,808 $8,090.80 $8,093.23 $-18.08
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
73 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $4.80 1,685 $8,093.05
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.12 1,685 $8,623.83 $8,624.00 +$530.78
(+6.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
74 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,811 $8,619.82
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET $4.95 1,811 $8,973.50 $8,977.69 +$353.69
(+4.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
75 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.96 1,809 $8,972.82
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $5.01 1,809 $9,060.20 $9,065.06 +$87.37
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,065.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-934.94
Total Return: -9.35%
Back to Professor Mean