Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:21:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 10.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

19
+0.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,821.02
Current Value
$8,700.86
Period P&L
$-120.15
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
41 / 28
Best Trade
+3.08%
Worst Trade
-2.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,185,808.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-120.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-120.15
Gross Return
-1.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,821.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:45pm ET $42.67 206 $8,789.15
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $42.27 206 $8,707.62 $8,739.47 $-81.53
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $41.99 208 $8,733.92
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:30pm ET $41.89 208 $8,713.12 $8,718.67 $-20.80
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 2:05pm ET $42.67 204 $8,704.68
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 2:50pm ET $42.81 204 $8,733.24 $8,747.23 +$28.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:55pm ET $41.71 209 $8,717.54
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:50pm ET $41.90 209 $8,756.06 $8,785.75 +$38.52
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $41.22 213 $8,778.80
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $41.16 213 $8,766.02 $8,772.97 $-12.78
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $41.83 209 $8,741.43
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET $41.90 209 $8,756.06 $8,787.60 +$14.63
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $41.21 213 $8,777.73
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:45pm ET $41.35 213 $8,806.49 $8,816.36 +$28.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $41.21 213 $8,777.94
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET $41.24 213 $8,783.06 $8,821.47 +$5.11
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $41.73 211 $8,805.03
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $41.72 211 $8,802.92 $8,819.36 $-2.11
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:45pm ET $42.37 208 $8,812.96
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $41.97 208 $8,729.76 $8,736.16 $-83.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $42.63 204 $8,696.52
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $42.65 204 $8,699.58 $8,739.22 +$3.06
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:30pm ET $42.71 204 $8,712.84
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $41.70 204 $8,505.78 $8,532.16 $-207.06
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:35am ET $41.20 207 $8,528.40
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:45am ET $41.43 207 $8,574.98 $8,578.73 +$46.57
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $41.26 207 $8,540.82
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 2:15pm ET $41.40 207 $8,569.80 $8,607.71 +$28.98
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:30pm ET $40.95 210 $8,599.50
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:30pm ET $41.05 210 $8,619.45 $8,627.66 +$19.95
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $40.81 211 $8,610.91
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET $40.63 211 $8,572.93 $8,589.68 $-37.98
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $39.41 217 $8,551.97
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 11:25am ET $38.97 217 $8,456.49 $8,494.20 $-95.48
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:35am ET $40.11 211 $8,463.21
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:00pm ET $39.66 211 $8,368.26 $8,399.25 $-94.95
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $39.59 212 $8,392.02
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $40.37 212 $8,557.38 $8,564.61 +$165.36
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:55am ET $40.05 213 $8,529.59
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:35pm ET $39.80 213 $8,476.34 $8,511.36 $-53.25
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:35am ET $39.91 213 $8,500.83
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:35pm ET $39.57 213 $8,427.35 $8,437.88 $-73.48
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $41.27 204 $8,418.06
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 12:55pm ET $41.07 204 $8,378.28 $8,398.10 $-39.78
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $42.46 197 $8,364.62
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $42.81 197 $8,432.59 $8,466.06 +$67.96
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $41.59 203 $8,441.76
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $41.49 203 $8,422.47 $8,446.78 $-19.28
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $42.98 196 $8,424.08
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $42.86 196 $8,399.58 $8,422.28 $-24.50
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $42.53 198 $8,420.94
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:20pm ET $42.64 198 $8,442.70 $8,444.04 +$21.76
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $44.45 189 $8,401.05
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $44.64 189 $8,436.02 $8,479.00 +$34.96
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $42.67 198 $8,448.66
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $42.88 198 $8,490.24 $8,520.58 +$41.58
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $43.41 196 $8,507.38
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $43.41 196 $8,507.38 $8,520.58 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $44.08 193 $8,507.44
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $44.22 193 $8,534.46 $8,547.60 +$27.02
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $43.84 194 $8,504.96
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $43.96 194 $8,528.24 $8,570.88 +$23.28
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $44.53 192 $8,550.03
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $44.96 192 $8,632.32 $8,653.18 +$82.29
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $45.38 190 $8,622.20
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET $45.14 190 $8,575.65 $8,606.63 $-46.55
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $43.98 195 $8,576.10
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $44.19 195 $8,617.05 $8,647.58 +$40.95
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.43 190 $8,631.70
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:45am ET $44.97 190 $8,544.30 $8,560.18 $-87.40
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $45.99 186 $8,553.21
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $46.05 186 $8,565.30 $8,572.27 +$12.09
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $46.33 185 $8,571.05
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $46.30 185 $8,565.50 $8,566.72 $-5.55
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $47.34 180 $8,521.90
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $47.36 180 $8,525.34 $8,570.16 +$3.44
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $45.79 187 $8,563.66
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $45.44 187 $8,497.28 $8,503.78 $-66.38
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:50am ET $51.06 166 $8,475.13
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $50.83 166 $8,437.78 $8,466.43 $-37.35
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $51.72 163 $8,430.36
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:25am ET $51.57 163 $8,405.80 $8,441.87 $-24.56
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $50.69 166 $8,414.54
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $50.83 166 $8,437.73 $8,465.06 +$23.19
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $53.73 157 $8,435.61
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $53.76 157 $8,440.04 $8,469.49 +$4.43
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $54.11 156 $8,441.16
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $53.68 156 $8,374.08 $8,402.41 $-67.08
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $53.66 156 $8,370.96
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $53.85 156 $8,401.38 $8,432.83 +$30.42
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $54.14 155 $8,391.70
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $54.55 155 $8,455.25 $8,496.38 +$63.55
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $52.95 160 $8,472.00
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:30am ET $53.95 160 $8,632.00 $8,656.38 +$160.00
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:05pm ET $58.43 148 $8,647.64
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $57.36 148 $8,489.28 $8,498.02 $-158.36
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $57.24 148 $8,472.26
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:15am ET $57.85 148 $8,561.80 $8,587.56 +$89.54
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $57.66 148 $8,533.69
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $57.92 148 $8,572.16 $8,626.02 +$38.47
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $58.24 148 $8,620.26
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $58.42 148 $8,646.16 $8,651.92 +$25.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $60.98 141 $8,598.18
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $61.14 141 $8,620.74 $8,674.48 +$22.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $60.26 143 $8,616.47
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $60.51 143 $8,652.93 $8,710.94 +$36.46
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $60.25 144 $8,676.00
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET $61.39 144 $8,840.16 $8,875.10 +$164.16
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $66.37 133 $8,827.21
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $66.17 133 $8,800.62 $8,848.51 $-26.59
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $63.58 139 $8,838.31
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $62.29 139 $8,658.31 $8,668.51 $-180.00
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $62.60 138 $8,638.81
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $62.77 138 $8,662.84 $8,692.54 +$24.03
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $62.87 138 $8,676.05
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $63.44 138 $8,755.41 $8,771.90 +$79.36
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 153 $8,721.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:00am ET $58.76 153 $8,989.52 $9,040.42 +$268.52
(+3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $59.79 151 $9,028.29
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $58.65 151 $8,856.90 $8,869.03 $-171.39
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $57.97 152 $8,812.20
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $58.04 152 $8,822.08 $8,878.91 +$9.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $56.96 155 $8,828.80
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $55.36 155 $8,580.80 $8,630.91 $-248.00
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $55.85 154 $8,600.13
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $56.32 154 $8,673.28 $8,704.06 +$73.15
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $53.07 164 $8,703.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET $52.60 164 $8,626.40 $8,626.98 $-77.08
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $54.67 157 $8,582.41
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $54.69 157 $8,586.33 $8,630.90 +$3.92
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $57.63 149 $8,586.87
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $57.10 149 $8,507.90 $8,551.93 $-78.97
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $58.53 146 $8,546.11
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $58.65 146 $8,562.90 $8,568.72 +$16.79
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $59.39 144 $8,552.16
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $59.93 144 $8,629.92 $8,646.48 +$77.76
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
69 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $59.53 145 $8,631.85
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:15am ET $59.90 145 $8,686.22 $8,700.86 +$54.38
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,700.86
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,299.14
Total Return: -12.99%
Back to Professor Mean