Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:05:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
5.4/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 18.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

17
-0.9%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,674
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,271.11
Current Value
$10,352.33
Period P&L
$81.28
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
42 / 27
Best Trade
+1.42%
Worst Trade
-2.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,397,445.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$81.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$81.28
Gross Return
+0.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,271.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 1:00pm ET $24.80 414 $10,265.13
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 1:50pm ET $24.86 414 $10,289.97 $10,295.91 +$24.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 2:20pm ET $25.78 399 $10,284.23
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:40pm ET $25.83 399 $10,304.18 $10,315.86 +$19.95
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $25.45 405 $10,307.33
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 11:05am ET $25.19 405 $10,201.95 $10,210.48 $-105.38
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 12:55pm ET $25.42 401 $10,193.42
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $25.28 401 $10,137.32 $10,154.38 $-56.10
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $25.41 399 $10,136.60
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:45am ET $25.32 399 $10,100.69 $10,118.47 $-35.91
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:50am ET $24.69 409 $10,098.21
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $24.52 409 $10,026.64 $10,046.90 $-71.58
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $25.18 399 $10,046.82
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:35pm ET $25.38 399 $10,124.63 $10,124.70 +$77.81
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:15pm ET $25.30 400 $10,118.00
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:05pm ET $25.36 400 $10,142.00 $10,148.70 +$24.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET $25.68 395 $10,141.63
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:05pm ET $25.74 395 $10,165.88 $10,172.95 +$24.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:00am ET $25.62 397 $10,169.16
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:30pm ET $25.38 397 $10,074.15 $10,077.95 $-95.00
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $25.17 400 $10,068.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $25.48 400 $10,190.20 $10,200.15 +$122.20
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $25.50 400 $10,200.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET $25.57 400 $10,226.00 $10,226.15 +$26.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $25.90 394 $10,203.30
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:30am ET $25.98 394 $10,234.15 $10,257.00 +$30.85
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 1:35pm ET $25.52 401 $10,231.52
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:00pm ET $25.57 401 $10,251.57 $10,277.05 +$20.05
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:50am ET $25.87 397 $10,270.39
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $25.68 397 $10,194.92 $10,201.58 $-75.47
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $26.45 385 $10,183.25
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $26.14 385 $10,061.98 $10,080.31 $-121.27
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $25.04 402 $10,066.08
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 1:25pm ET $25.05 402 $10,068.09 $10,082.32 +$2.01
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:10pm ET $25.33 398 $10,079.35
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:35am ET $25.34 398 $10,085.32 $10,088.29 +$5.97
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:10am ET $25.16 401 $10,087.16
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 1:15pm ET $25.04 401 $10,039.04 $10,040.17 $-48.12
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:45am ET $25.01 401 $10,027.01
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $24.96 401 $10,006.96 $10,020.12 $-20.05
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET $25.02 400 $10,008.00
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $24.96 400 $9,982.00 $9,994.12 $-26.00
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $24.93 400 $9,970.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:30am ET $24.93 400 $9,970.00 $9,994.12 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $25.05 398 $9,969.90
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET $25.15 398 $10,007.71 $10,031.93 +$37.81
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:55am ET $25.60 391 $10,007.65
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $25.50 391 $9,970.81 $9,995.10 $-36.83
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $25.36 394 $9,990.26
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.22 394 $9,936.68 $9,941.51 $-53.58
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $25.33 392 $9,929.36
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET $25.48 392 $9,986.20 $9,998.35 +$56.84
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $25.05 399 $9,994.95
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET $25.12 399 $10,020.89 $10,024.29 +$25.93
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $25.57 392 $10,021.48
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $25.43 392 $9,969.70 $9,972.50 $-51.78
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.60 389 $9,958.40
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $25.67 389 $9,985.36 $9,999.46 +$26.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $25.54 391 $9,986.14
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $25.54 391 $9,984.19 $9,997.51 $-1.95
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $26.04 383 $9,973.32
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.09 383 $9,992.47 $10,016.66 +$19.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $25.80 388 $10,008.46
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $25.83 388 $10,022.04 $10,030.24 +$13.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $26.44 379 $10,018.87
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $26.49 379 $10,037.82 $10,049.19 +$18.95
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $26.12 384 $10,028.16
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $26.03 384 $9,995.52 $10,016.55 $-32.64
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.60 391 $10,011.09
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $25.52 391 $9,980.27 $9,985.74 $-30.81
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.94 370 $9,969.65
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $26.93 370 $9,965.95 $9,982.04 $-3.70
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $27.07 368 $9,959.92
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $26.94 368 $9,915.76 $9,937.87 $-44.16
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $27.49 361 $9,923.89
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $27.56 361 $9,948.22 $9,962.20 +$24.33
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $27.76 358 $9,938.08
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $27.81 358 $9,954.19 $9,978.31 +$16.11
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET $27.46 363 $9,967.98
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET $27.43 363 $9,958.90 $9,969.24 $-9.07
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $27.39 363 $9,943.44
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.43 363 $9,956.55 $9,982.34 +$13.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $26.63 374 $9,957.75
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:10am ET $26.48 374 $9,903.52 $9,928.11 $-54.23
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $26.95 368 $9,919.44
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:55pm ET $27.02 368 $9,945.20 $9,953.87 +$25.76
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $27.06 367 $9,929.19
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $27.20 367 $9,984.23 $10,008.92 +$55.05
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $26.89 372 $10,001.22
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:50am ET $27.08 372 $10,073.76 $10,081.46 +$72.54
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $27.25 369 $10,057.09
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET $27.42 369 $10,119.82 $10,144.19 +$62.73
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $26.64 380 $10,123.20
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:45pm ET $26.76 380 $10,170.70 $10,191.69 +$47.50
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $26.34 386 $10,169.17
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $26.57 386 $10,256.02 $10,278.54 +$86.85
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:55am ET $26.70 384 $10,252.76
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET $26.64 384 $10,229.76 $10,255.54 $-23.00
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $27.13 378 $10,255.14
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $27.23 378 $10,291.05 $10,291.45 +$35.91
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $27.05 380 $10,277.10
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $27.16 380 $10,319.32 $10,333.67 +$42.22
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $26.57 388 $10,307.22
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.64 388 $10,334.38 $10,360.83 +$27.16
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $27.23 380 $10,347.40
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET $27.14 380 $10,311.30 $10,324.73 $-36.10
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:10am ET $27.17 379 $10,299.32
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $27.08 379 $10,263.32 $10,288.73 $-36.00
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $26.64 386 $10,281.11
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $26.77 386 $10,333.22 $10,340.84 +$52.11
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.97 383 $10,327.60
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $27.15 383 $10,396.54 $10,409.78 +$68.94
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $27.57 377 $10,392.01
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $27.60 377 $10,405.20 $10,422.97 +$13.19
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $28.27 368 $10,403.36
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $28.34 368 $10,429.12 $10,448.73 +$25.76
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $27.53 379 $10,433.87
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $26.92 379 $10,204.57 $10,219.43 $-229.30
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $27.12 376 $10,197.12
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $27.01 376 $10,157.64 $10,179.95 $-39.48
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.17 374 $10,163.45
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $27.24 374 $10,187.76 $10,204.26 +$24.31
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $27.18 375 $10,194.37
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $27.24 375 $10,213.13 $10,223.01 +$18.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $27.74 368 $10,206.48
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $27.78 368 $10,223.04 $10,239.57 +$16.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $27.42 373 $10,225.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $27.47 373 $10,246.31 $10,260.08 +$20.51
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.75 383 $10,247.16
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $26.45 383 $10,130.31 $10,143.23 $-116.85
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $26.90 377 $10,141.30
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $27.03 377 $10,190.31 $10,192.24 +$49.01
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $26.45 385 $10,183.25
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:25am ET $26.83 385 $10,327.63 $10,336.62 +$144.38
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
68 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 389 $10,314.33
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:40am ET $26.50 389 $10,310.44 $10,332.73 $-3.89
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
69 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $26.33 392 $10,319.40
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $26.38 392 $10,339.00 $10,352.33 +$19.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,352.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$352.33
Total Return: +3.52%
Back to Professor Mean