Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 32.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.1

30-Day Momentum

38
+1.1%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.4 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,502
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,322.17
Current Value
$11,148.64
Period P&L
$826.46
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
53 / 19
Best Trade
+1.34%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,544,300.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$826.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$826.46
Gross Return
+8.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,322.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 2:20pm ET $145.73 70 $10,201.10
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:10pm ET $146.00 70 $10,219.65 $10,340.72 +$18.55
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $145.56 71 $10,334.41
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:35am ET $145.13 71 $10,304.23 $10,310.54 $-30.18
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $147.57 69 $10,182.34
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET $148.09 69 $10,217.87 $10,346.07 +$35.53
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 2:25pm ET $147.93 69 $10,207.17
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:10pm ET $148.16 69 $10,222.70 $10,361.60 +$15.52
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $147.80 70 $10,346.00
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $146.60 70 $10,262.08 $10,277.68 $-83.92
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:30am ET $146.12 70 $10,228.40
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $146.64 70 $10,264.80 $10,314.08 +$36.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:25pm ET $146.85 70 $10,279.50
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:05pm ET $147.14 70 $10,299.80 $10,334.38 +$20.30
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:15pm ET $150.61 68 $10,241.66
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $150.87 68 $10,258.82 $10,351.54 +$17.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $147.94 69 $10,207.86
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:20am ET $148.23 69 $10,227.87 $10,371.55 +$20.01
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:30pm ET $148.21 69 $10,226.49
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $147.74 69 $10,193.72 $10,338.77 $-32.77
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:00pm ET $146.03 70 $10,222.10
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:05pm ET $146.22 70 $10,235.40 $10,352.07 +$13.30
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $144.72 71 $10,275.12
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:55am ET $145.28 71 $10,314.88 $10,391.83 +$39.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $139.05 74 $10,289.70
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:55pm ET $139.76 74 $10,342.50 $10,444.63 +$52.80
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:40pm ET $140.33 74 $10,384.42
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:45pm ET $140.08 74 $10,365.92 $10,426.13 $-18.50
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:50pm ET $140.69 74 $10,411.06
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:05pm ET $141.03 74 $10,436.22 $10,451.29 +$25.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:20pm ET $144.45 72 $10,400.40
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 2:45pm ET $144.58 72 $10,410.00 $10,460.89 +$9.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $145.20 72 $10,454.40
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $147.15 72 $10,594.80 $10,601.29 +$140.40
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $146.92 72 $10,577.88
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:05am ET $146.51 72 $10,548.72 $10,572.13 $-29.16
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:00pm ET $144.33 73 $10,536.09
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 2:00pm ET $144.33 73 $10,535.73 $10,571.77 $-0.37
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:10pm ET $142.68 74 $10,558.47
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 3:15pm ET $142.55 74 $10,548.33 $10,561.63 $-10.14
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:15pm ET $143.29 73 $10,460.10
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $143.86 73 $10,501.42 $10,602.95 +$41.32
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $144.57 73 $10,553.25
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $144.68 73 $10,561.64 $10,611.34 +$8.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:00pm ET $144.54 73 $10,551.19
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:30pm ET $144.73 73 $10,565.29 $10,625.44 +$14.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $143.49 74 $10,617.89
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:05am ET $144.01 74 $10,656.37 $10,663.92 +$38.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $141.59 75 $10,619.25
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $141.80 75 $10,634.63 $10,679.29 +$15.37
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:35am ET $140.66 75 $10,549.50
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $140.51 75 $10,538.25 $10,668.04 $-11.25
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $141.32 75 $10,598.63
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $141.61 75 $10,620.75 $10,690.17 +$22.13
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $143.01 74 $10,582.74
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $143.36 74 $10,608.27 $10,715.70 +$25.53
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $146.39 73 $10,686.47
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $146.47 73 $10,692.43 $10,721.65 +$5.96
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $144.84 74 $10,717.79
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $144.99 74 $10,729.26 $10,733.12 +$11.47
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $146.44 73 $10,690.12
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $146.79 73 $10,715.67 $10,758.67 +$25.55
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $149.37 72 $10,754.37
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $149.98 72 $10,798.56 $10,802.87 +$44.19
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $150.16 71 $10,661.36
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $150.64 71 $10,695.44 $10,836.95 +$34.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET $148.19 73 $10,817.87
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET $148.94 73 $10,872.62 $10,891.70 +$54.75
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $147.61 73 $10,775.54
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $147.84 73 $10,792.32 $10,908.48 +$16.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $155.48 70 $10,883.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:25pm ET $155.59 70 $10,891.30 $10,916.18 +$7.70
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $157.41 69 $10,861.29
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $158.28 69 $10,921.32 $10,976.21 +$60.03
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $158.74 69 $10,953.06
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET $159.36 69 $10,995.84 $11,018.99 +$42.78
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $159.07 69 $10,975.83
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $158.38 69 $10,928.22 $10,971.38 $-47.61
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $158.44 69 $10,932.69
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $156.94 69 $10,829.20 $10,867.89 $-103.49
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:20pm ET $158.05 68 $10,747.40
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:40pm ET $158.33 68 $10,766.44 $10,886.93 +$19.04
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $164.11 66 $10,831.26
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET $165.43 66 $10,918.71 $10,974.38 +$87.45
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $163.05 67 $10,924.55
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET $163.45 67 $10,951.15 $11,000.98 +$26.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $165.29 66 $10,909.14
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $164.71 66 $10,870.86 $10,962.70 $-38.28
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $159.55 68 $10,849.40
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:45am ET $158.50 68 $10,778.01 $10,891.31 $-71.39
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $154.48 70 $10,813.60
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $154.86 70 $10,840.20 $10,917.91 +$26.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $153.15 71 $10,873.65
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $154.55 71 $10,973.05 $11,017.31 +$99.40
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $155.79 70 $10,905.30
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $154.60 70 $10,822.00 $10,934.01 $-83.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $151.79 72 $10,928.52
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:10am ET $152.74 72 $10,997.64 $11,003.13 +$69.12
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $150.74 72 $10,853.37
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $151.29 72 $10,892.88 $11,042.64 +$39.51
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $152.02 72 $10,945.45
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $151.98 72 $10,942.20 $11,039.39 $-3.25
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $146.07 75 $10,955.25
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:20pm ET $145.34 75 $10,900.50 $10,984.64 $-54.75
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET $143.96 76 $10,940.96
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET $144.65 76 $10,993.02 $11,036.70 +$52.06
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $143.81 76 $10,929.56
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $144.06 76 $10,948.56 $11,055.70 +$19.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.72 76 $10,922.72
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $144.17 76 $10,956.92 $11,089.90 +$34.20
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $143.13 77 $11,020.63
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $143.21 77 $11,027.17 $11,096.45 +$6.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $144.01 77 $11,088.39
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 11:20am ET $143.13 77 $11,021.01 $11,029.08 $-67.38
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:45am ET $143.69 76 $10,920.45
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $143.64 76 $10,916.64 $11,025.27 $-3.81
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $142.88 77 $11,001.76
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET $143.28 77 $11,032.56 $11,056.07 +$30.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $141.24 78 $11,016.72
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $141.53 78 $11,039.34 $11,078.69 +$22.62
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $143.98 76 $10,942.48
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $144.65 76 $10,993.40 $11,129.61 +$50.92
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $145.26 76 $11,039.38
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $145.45 76 $11,053.82 $11,144.05 +$14.44
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $144.26 77 $11,108.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $143.62 77 $11,058.74 $11,094.38 $-49.67
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $146.85 75 $11,013.75
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $147.09 75 $11,031.75 $11,112.38 +$18.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $143.39 77 $11,041.03
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $143.96 77 $11,084.92 $11,156.27 +$43.89
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET $142.47 78 $11,112.66
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $142.60 78 $11,122.80 $11,166.41 +$10.14
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET $149.25 74 $11,044.50
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $149.67 74 $11,075.58 $11,197.49 +$31.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $148.17 75 $11,112.75
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $148.38 75 $11,128.87 $11,213.61 +$16.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $148.09 75 $11,106.38
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET $146.50 75 $10,987.50 $11,094.73 $-118.88
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $146.62 75 $10,996.50
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $146.89 75 $11,016.75 $11,114.98 +$20.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
71 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $146.92 75 $11,019.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $147.03 75 $11,027.25 $11,123.23 +$8.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
72 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $143.05 77 $11,014.85
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:10am ET $143.38 77 $11,040.26 $11,148.64 +$25.41
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,148.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,148.64
Total Return: +11.49%
Back to Professor Mean