Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:06

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 13.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.6

30-Day Momentum

21
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,252
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,639.36
Current Value
$9,985.53
Period P&L
$-653.80
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
41 / 30
Best Trade
+2.00%
Worst Trade
-2.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
4.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,462,006.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-653.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-653.80
Gross Return
-6.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,639.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:45am ET $147.80 71 $10,493.80
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $148.59 71 $10,549.89 $10,695.41 +$56.09
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:00pm ET $152.71 70 $10,689.70
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:15pm ET $153.05 70 $10,713.50 $10,719.21 +$23.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $156.71 68 $10,656.28
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $156.38 68 $10,633.84 $10,696.77 $-22.44
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 2:40pm ET $156.63 68 $10,650.84
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:35pm ET $156.69 68 $10,654.92 $10,700.85 +$4.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 3:45pm ET $154.89 69 $10,687.41
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET $154.11 69 $10,633.59 $10,647.03 $-53.82
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET $153.20 69 $10,570.80
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:50am ET $154.08 69 $10,631.31 $10,707.54 +$60.51
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:30am ET $155.28 68 $10,559.04
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:50pm ET $155.56 68 $10,578.08 $10,726.58 +$19.04
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:50pm ET $155.21 69 $10,709.49
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:00pm ET $155.46 69 $10,726.73 $10,743.83 +$17.24
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $154.29 69 $10,645.67
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $153.16 69 $10,568.04 $10,666.20 $-77.63
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 10:50am ET $156.90 67 $10,512.30
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $156.99 67 $10,518.00 $10,671.90 +$5.70
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:50am ET $156.79 68 $10,661.72
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 12:30pm ET $156.06 68 $10,612.08 $10,622.26 $-49.64
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 2:10pm ET $154.48 68 $10,504.64
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:55pm ET $154.72 68 $10,520.96 $10,638.58 +$16.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:25pm ET $152.27 69 $10,506.63
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $151.10 69 $10,425.56 $10,557.50 $-81.08
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 2:40pm ET $148.00 71 $10,508.00
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:00pm ET $148.07 71 $10,512.62 $10,562.12 +$4.61
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:25pm ET $148.82 70 $10,417.05
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET $149.00 70 $10,429.99 $10,575.06 +$12.94
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:30pm ET $149.28 70 $10,449.60
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 12:40pm ET $149.90 70 $10,493.00 $10,618.46 +$43.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:10pm ET $151.46 70 $10,601.85
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:25pm ET $150.86 70 $10,560.20 $10,576.81 $-41.65
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:05pm ET $158.61 66 $10,468.26
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:10pm ET $158.21 66 $10,441.86 $10,550.41 $-26.40
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:35pm ET $157.90 66 $10,421.40
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $158.53 66 $10,462.98 $10,591.99 +$41.58
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:35am ET $157.70 67 $10,565.90
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:05am ET $158.39 67 $10,611.80 $10,637.88 +$45.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:10pm ET $159.10 66 $10,500.32
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:15pm ET $159.35 66 $10,517.10 $10,654.67 +$16.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 1:55pm ET $160.04 66 $10,562.64
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:35pm ET $160.11 66 $10,567.26 $10,659.29 +$4.62
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $161.61 65 $10,504.33
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:00pm ET $161.11 65 $10,472.15 $10,627.11 $-32.17
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $161.78 65 $10,515.70
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET $162.09 65 $10,535.53 $10,646.94 +$19.83
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
25 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:45am ET $161.52 65 $10,498.80
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:35am ET $160.98 65 $10,463.70 $10,611.84 $-35.10
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:45am ET $160.33 66 $10,581.78
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $160.67 66 $10,604.22 $10,634.28 +$22.44
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $159.52 66 $10,528.32
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $158.21 66 $10,441.86 $10,547.82 $-86.46
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $155.85 67 $10,441.95
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:35pm ET $155.48 67 $10,417.16 $10,523.03 $-24.79
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $166.03 63 $10,459.89
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $166.28 63 $10,475.64 $10,538.78 +$15.75
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $173.14 60 $10,388.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET $172.06 60 $10,323.60 $10,474.28 $-64.50
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $167.79 62 $10,402.98
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $167.96 62 $10,413.52 $10,484.82 +$10.54
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET $167.24 62 $10,368.57
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:20am ET $168.43 62 $10,442.35 $10,558.60 +$73.78
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $178.33 59 $10,521.18
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $178.22 59 $10,514.98 $10,552.40 $-6.19
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:10pm ET $177.35 59 $10,463.65
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:25pm ET $178.14 59 $10,510.26 $10,599.01 +$46.61
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $178.59 59 $10,536.52
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:50am ET $178.06 59 $10,505.54 $10,568.04 $-30.98
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $180.88 58 $10,491.04
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $179.84 58 $10,430.72 $10,507.72 $-60.32
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $181.32 57 $10,335.24
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $182.35 57 $10,394.23 $10,566.71 +$58.99
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $180.51 58 $10,469.87
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $180.01 58 $10,440.58 $10,537.42 $-29.29
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $186.84 56 $10,463.04
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $186.35 56 $10,435.60 $10,509.98 $-27.44
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:50am ET $182.68 57 $10,413.04
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 11:05am ET $183.05 57 $10,433.85 $10,530.79 +$20.81
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET $182.43 57 $10,398.60
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:20am ET $183.50 57 $10,459.50 $10,591.69 +$60.90
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $186.06 56 $10,419.36
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $185.27 56 $10,375.12 $10,547.45 $-44.24
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $188.64 55 $10,375.20
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:55am ET $189.80 55 $10,439.00 $10,611.25 +$63.80
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $188.28 56 $10,543.68
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $186.45 56 $10,440.92 $10,508.49 $-102.76
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $182.65 57 $10,411.05
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $177.53 57 $10,119.21 $10,216.65 $-291.84
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $178.05 57 $10,148.85
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $178.70 57 $10,185.90 $10,253.70 +$37.05
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $171.26 59 $10,104.34
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $171.67 59 $10,128.53 $10,277.89 +$24.19
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $171.37 59 $10,110.92
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:40am ET $167.15 59 $9,861.85 $10,028.82 $-249.07
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:25pm ET $167.90 59 $9,906.10
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $168.48 59 $9,940.03 $10,062.75 +$33.93
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $174.60 57 $9,952.20
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $176.10 57 $10,037.98 $10,148.53 +$85.78
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET $174.76 58 $10,136.08
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:10am ET $175.45 58 $10,176.10 $10,188.55 +$40.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $166.26 61 $10,141.86
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $166.02 61 $10,127.22 $10,173.91 $-14.64
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:05am ET $162.96 62 $10,103.52
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $162.62 62 $10,082.44 $10,152.83 $-21.08
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $163.55 62 $10,140.41
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $163.90 62 $10,161.80 $10,174.22 +$21.39
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $164.24 61 $10,018.64
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:30am ET $164.09 61 $10,009.19 $10,164.77 $-9.45
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:45am ET $164.65 61 $10,043.42
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $163.55 61 $9,976.55 $10,097.90 $-66.87
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.8h held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $164.69 61 $10,046.09
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $165.02 61 $10,066.22 $10,118.03 +$20.13
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $161.50 62 $10,013.00
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET $158.47 62 $9,825.14 $9,930.17 $-187.86
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $158.38 62 $9,819.33
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $158.82 62 $9,846.53 $9,957.37 +$27.20
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $158.82 62 $9,846.84
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $159.09 62 $9,863.57 $9,974.10 +$16.73
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $160.76 62 $9,967.12
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $158.81 62 $9,846.22 $9,853.20 $-120.90
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $160.24 61 $9,774.64
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $158.40 61 $9,662.52 $9,741.08 $-112.12
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $157.56 61 $9,611.16
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $158.08 61 $9,642.88 $9,772.80 +$31.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $155.62 62 $9,648.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $156.76 62 $9,719.03 $9,843.39 +$70.59
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $157.82 62 $9,784.84
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $157.57 62 $9,769.65 $9,828.20 $-15.19
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $154.80 63 $9,752.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $157.90 63 $9,947.70 $10,023.50 +$195.30
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $169.79 59 $10,017.32
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $167.52 59 $9,883.68 $9,889.87 $-133.63
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $165.67 59 $9,774.62
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $165.81 59 $9,782.79 $9,898.04 +$8.17
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $163.79 60 $9,827.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $164.85 60 $9,891.00 $9,961.64 +$63.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
70 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $166.32 59 $9,812.88
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $166.63 59 $9,830.88 $9,979.63 +$17.99
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
71 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $168.69 59 $9,952.71
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $168.79 59 $9,958.61 $9,985.53 +$5.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,985.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-14.47
Total Return: -0.14%
Back to Professor Mean