Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 13.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.2

30-Day Momentum

27
+1.4%
30d Return
53%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.3 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,832
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,825.66
Current Value
$9,867.08
Period P&L
$41.50
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
73
Winners / Losers
43 / 30
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-2.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,435,533.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$41.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$41.50
Gross Return
+0.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 73 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,825.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $66.16 148 $9,790.94
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:15am ET $66.32 148 $9,815.36 $9,850.02 +$24.42
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $66.98 147 $9,846.06
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET $67.19 147 $9,876.93 $9,880.89 +$30.87
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $63.06 156 $9,836.58
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $63.02 156 $9,830.34 $9,874.65 $-6.24
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $61.75 159 $9,817.46
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $60.90 159 $9,682.31 $9,739.50 $-135.15
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $58.71 165 $9,686.33
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $58.68 165 $9,681.38 $9,734.55 $-4.95
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $60.47 160 $9,674.40
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:55am ET $60.56 160 $9,689.60 $9,749.75 +$15.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 2:35pm ET $61.30 159 $9,746.70
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $62.04 159 $9,863.57 $9,866.61 +$116.87
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $60.97 161 $9,815.37
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:10am ET $61.40 161 $9,885.40 $9,936.65 +$70.03
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET $62.03 160 $9,924.80
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:20am ET $62.44 160 $9,990.42 $10,002.26 +$65.62
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $60.84 164 $9,976.94
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:50am ET $61.06 164 $10,013.84 $10,039.16 +$36.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:05pm ET $61.05 164 $10,012.20
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:50pm ET $61.09 164 $10,018.76 $10,045.72 +$6.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET $60.93 164 $9,991.70
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 2:35pm ET $61.05 164 $10,011.38 $10,065.40 +$19.68
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:35am ET $61.10 164 $10,020.40
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:45am ET $61.63 164 $10,107.32 $10,152.32 +$86.92
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:55am ET $59.55 170 $10,123.50
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 1:00pm ET $59.50 170 $10,114.15 $10,142.97 $-9.35
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:05pm ET $59.49 170 $10,113.30
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 2:35pm ET $59.57 170 $10,126.05 $10,155.72 +$12.75
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:45pm ET $59.89 169 $10,121.41
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:05am ET $59.40 169 $10,038.62 $10,072.93 $-82.79
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET $59.56 169 $10,064.80
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:25am ET $59.90 169 $10,122.26 $10,130.39 +$57.46
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 12:25pm ET $59.17 171 $10,118.07
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 1:05pm ET $59.24 171 $10,129.22 $10,141.54 +$11.15
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:10pm ET $59.12 171 $10,109.54
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:20pm ET $59.19 171 $10,120.74 $10,152.74 +$11.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $58.21 174 $10,128.54
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $57.95 174 $10,083.32 $10,107.52 $-45.22
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $59.34 170 $10,086.95
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $59.42 170 $10,100.55 $10,121.12 +$13.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $58.69 172 $10,094.70
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.89 172 $9,956.22 $9,982.64 $-138.48
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET $57.99 172 $9,974.28
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET $57.65 172 $9,915.80 $9,924.16 $-58.48
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $57.24 173 $9,902.52
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:00pm ET $57.19 173 $9,893.01 $9,914.64 $-9.51
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $57.11 173 $9,880.03
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $56.82 173 $9,829.86 $9,864.47 $-50.17
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $56.39 174 $9,810.99
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $56.62 174 $9,851.01 $9,904.49 +$40.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $55.26 179 $9,890.73
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $55.39 179 $9,914.54 $9,928.30 +$23.81
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $57.14 173 $9,885.22
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $56.98 173 $9,856.68 $9,899.76 $-28.54
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $56.62 174 $9,851.01
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $56.77 174 $9,877.49 $9,926.24 +$26.48
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $54.82 181 $9,922.42
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET $54.77 181 $9,913.60 $9,917.42 $-8.82
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $53.17 186 $9,889.62
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:40am ET $52.98 186 $9,853.82 $9,881.61 $-35.81
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $52.07 189 $9,841.23
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.28 189 $9,880.92 $9,921.30 +$39.69
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $52.65 188 $9,899.14
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $52.92 188 $9,949.90 $9,972.06 +$50.76
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $41.52 240 $9,964.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $40.42 240 $9,700.80 $9,708.06 $-264.00
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $40.48 239 $9,674.72
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:45am ET $40.20 239 $9,606.80 $9,640.14 $-67.92
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $40.12 240 $9,627.60
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.41 240 $9,698.40 $9,710.94 +$70.80
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $41.75 232 $9,685.81
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $41.57 232 $9,644.24 $9,669.37 $-41.57
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $40.16 240 $9,638.40
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $40.07 240 $9,616.80 $9,647.77 $-21.60
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $40.92 235 $9,615.03
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET $41.14 235 $9,667.90 $9,700.64 +$52.87
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $41.07 236 $9,692.52
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:50am ET $41.57 236 $9,810.52 $9,818.64 +$118.00
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $41.06 239 $9,813.34
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:25am ET $40.88 239 $9,769.13 $9,774.42 $-44.22
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:05am ET $45.77 213 $9,748.88
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $44.76 213 $9,534.94 $9,560.48 $-213.94
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $45.61 209 $9,532.49
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $45.96 209 $9,605.62 $9,633.61 +$73.13
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET $45.26 212 $9,595.12
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:40am ET $45.60 212 $9,667.20 $9,705.69 +$72.08
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $46.99 206 $9,679.94
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $47.06 206 $9,694.36 $9,720.11 +$14.42
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $47.27 205 $9,690.35
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:00am ET $46.87 205 $9,607.33 $9,637.09 $-83.02
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $45.65 211 $9,631.10
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $45.68 211 $9,638.48 $9,644.47 +$7.38
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET $45.19 213 $9,626.53
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET $45.28 213 $9,644.64 $9,662.57 +$18.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $45.58 212 $9,661.90
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $45.74 212 $9,695.82 $9,696.49 +$33.92
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $46.22 209 $9,661.02
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $46.40 209 $9,698.64 $9,734.11 +$37.62
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $44.60 218 $9,723.52
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $44.26 218 $9,648.68 $9,659.27 $-74.84
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $43.81 220 $9,639.30
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $43.94 220 $9,666.80 $9,686.77 +$27.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $44.91 215 $9,655.65
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET $44.66 215 $9,601.90 $9,633.02 $-53.75
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $44.63 215 $9,595.45
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $44.74 215 $9,618.03 $9,655.59 +$22.57
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $44.97 214 $9,623.58
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $45.15 214 $9,661.03 $9,693.04 +$37.45
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $43.71 221 $9,660.40
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $43.88 221 $9,697.48 $9,730.12 +$37.08
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $45.19 215 $9,715.85
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $44.58 215 $9,584.70 $9,598.97 $-131.15
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $43.86 218 $9,561.48
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:30am ET $44.48 218 $9,696.64 $9,734.13 +$135.16
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $45.69 213 $9,731.97
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $45.71 213 $9,735.17 $9,737.33 +$3.20
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $44.69 217 $9,697.73
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $45.01 217 $9,767.17 $9,806.77 +$69.44
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $45.42 215 $9,765.30
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $45.34 215 $9,748.10 $9,789.57 $-17.20
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $44.99 217 $9,761.75
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $45.24 217 $9,818.16 $9,845.99 +$56.42
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $47.97 205 $9,833.85
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $48.06 205 $9,852.30 $9,864.44 +$18.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $48.56 203 $9,856.67
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $49.73 203 $10,095.19 $10,102.96 +$238.52
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $50.79 198 $10,056.42
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $50.70 198 $10,038.14 $10,084.68 $-18.28
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $51.44 196 $10,082.24
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $51.19 196 $10,032.26 $10,034.70 $-49.98
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $50.71 197 $9,989.87
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET $49.92 197 $9,834.24 $9,879.07 $-155.63
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:10am ET $49.70 198 $9,840.60
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $50.00 198 $9,900.00 $9,938.47 +$59.40
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $49.88 199 $9,925.13
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.90 199 $9,929.11 $9,942.45 +$3.98
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.67 200 $9,934.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $49.60 200 $9,920.00 $9,928.45 $-14.00
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
71 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $50.18 197 $9,885.46
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $50.13 197 $9,875.61 $9,918.60 $-9.85
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
72 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $50.58 196 $9,914.66
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $50.73 196 $9,943.08 $9,947.02 +$28.42
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
73 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.24 219 $9,907.56
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $44.88 219 $9,827.63 $9,867.08 $-79.94
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,867.08
Net Profit/Loss: $-132.92
Total Return: -1.33%
Back to Professor Mean