Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 19:38:33

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 26.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.0

30-Day Momentum

45
+4.6%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.5 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,957
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,242.25
Current Value
$11,188.23
Period P&L
$946.02
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
45 / 26
Best Trade
+2.25%
Worst Trade
-2.85%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
3.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,458,334.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$946.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$946.02
Gross Return
+9.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,242.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 1:30pm ET $27.22 376 $10,234.83
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:30pm ET $27.24 376 $10,242.24 $10,249.62 +$7.41
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 2:40pm ET $27.10 378 $10,243.76
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:05pm ET $27.19 378 $10,275.93 $10,281.78 +$32.17
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:20pm ET $27.40 375 $10,273.13
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $27.45 375 $10,294.35 $10,303.01 +$21.22
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:45pm ET $26.85 383 $10,285.24
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:25pm ET $26.93 383 $10,312.28 $10,330.05 +$27.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:50pm ET $26.75 386 $10,325.50
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $26.83 386 $10,356.38 $10,360.93 +$30.88
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $25.97 399 $10,360.23
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET $26.25 399 $10,473.35 $10,474.04 +$113.12
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $29.14 359 $10,459.47
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $29.42 359 $10,560.20 $10,574.78 +$100.74
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $26.63 397 $10,572.90
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET $26.95 397 $10,697.17 $10,699.04 +$124.26
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $27.96 382 $10,680.72
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.47 382 $10,491.63 $10,509.95 $-189.09
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $26.52 396 $10,499.94
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:55am ET $26.54 396 $10,509.84 $10,519.85 +$9.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $26.86 391 $10,502.30
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET $26.50 391 $10,361.50 $10,379.05 $-140.80
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $25.64 404 $10,358.56
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $26.00 404 $10,503.92 $10,524.41 +$145.36
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET $25.52 412 $10,512.18
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $25.16 412 $10,367.77 $10,380.00 $-144.41
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $26.06 398 $10,369.89
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $25.88 398 $10,298.25 $10,308.36 $-71.64
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $25.85 398 $10,288.30
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.92 398 $10,314.17 $10,334.23 +$25.87
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $24.97 413 $10,310.55
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $25.10 413 $10,364.24 $10,387.92 +$53.69
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $24.30 427 $10,375.67
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $24.39 427 $10,412.40 $10,424.65 +$36.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.58 461 $10,411.59
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $22.63 461 $10,432.43 $10,445.48 +$20.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET $21.78 479 $10,432.62
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $21.25 479 $10,176.98 $10,189.84 $-255.64
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $20.18 504 $10,173.24
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $19.88 504 $10,017.60 $10,034.21 $-155.64
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $20.93 479 $10,027.86
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $20.83 479 $9,975.18 $9,981.52 $-52.69
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $21.33 467 $9,963.44
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $21.25 467 $9,926.08 $9,944.16 $-37.36
(-0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
30m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $20.79 478 $9,937.62
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $20.65 478 $9,868.31 $9,874.85 $-69.31
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $19.45 507 $9,861.15
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET $19.39 507 $9,830.68 $9,844.38 $-30.47
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:30pm ET $19.83 496 $9,833.20
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $19.26 496 $9,552.96 $9,564.14 $-280.24
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $18.81 508 $9,555.48
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:30am ET $19.00 508 $9,654.54 $9,663.20 +$99.06
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:10pm ET $19.42 497 $9,651.79
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET $19.39 497 $9,634.35 $9,645.76 $-17.44
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $17.48 551 $9,632.03
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $17.52 551 $9,656.27 $9,670.00 +$24.24
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $18.63 519 $9,668.97
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $19.05 519 $9,886.95 $9,887.98 +$217.98
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $18.48 535 $9,886.80
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:45am ET $18.71 535 $10,010.81 $10,011.99 +$124.01
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $18.43 543 $10,007.49
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $18.52 543 $10,059.07 $10,063.57 +$51.58
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET $17.96 560 $10,057.60
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET $17.93 560 $10,038.62 $10,044.59 $-18.98
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $17.58 571 $10,035.61
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $17.64 571 $10,072.10 $10,081.08 +$36.49
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $17.24 584 $10,068.10
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $17.17 584 $10,030.20 $10,043.18 $-37.90
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $16.79 598 $10,040.42
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $16.80 598 $10,046.40 $10,049.16 +$5.98
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $17.17 585 $10,044.04
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $16.84 585 $9,854.32 $9,859.44 $-189.72
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $17.06 577 $9,843.62
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET $16.86 577 $9,728.22 $9,744.04 $-115.40
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $16.88 577 $9,736.88
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $16.83 577 $9,708.03 $9,715.19 $-28.85
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $15.94 609 $9,710.50
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.00 609 $9,747.04 $9,751.73 +$36.54
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $15.10 645 $9,742.72
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.13 645 $9,755.63 $9,764.63 +$12.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $15.63 624 $9,753.06
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:55am ET $15.80 624 $9,856.08 $9,867.65 +$103.02
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $16.14 611 $9,858.55
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.17 611 $9,882.92 $9,892.03 +$24.38
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $16.04 616 $9,882.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $16.22 616 $9,988.44 $9,997.67 +$105.64
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $16.16 618 $9,983.79
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $16.42 618 $10,147.56 $10,161.44 +$163.77
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $16.16 628 $10,148.67
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET $16.26 628 $10,214.42 $10,227.19 +$65.75
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $17.75 576 $10,226.88
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $17.80 576 $10,254.24 $10,254.55 +$27.36
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $19.55 524 $10,241.58
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $19.52 524 $10,228.53 $10,241.50 $-13.05
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $19.39 528 $10,235.28
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $19.25 528 $10,166.64 $10,172.86 $-68.64
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $18.77 541 $10,154.57
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $18.72 541 $10,127.57 $10,145.86 $-27.00
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $18.30 554 $10,138.20
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET $18.51 554 $10,254.54 $10,262.20 +$116.34
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $15.74 651 $10,249.99
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $15.91 651 $10,355.07 $10,367.27 +$105.07
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.06 645 $10,355.48
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $16.18 645 $10,439.32 $10,451.12 +$83.85
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
53 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $16.45 635 $10,445.75
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $16.58 635 $10,531.47 $10,536.84 +$85.72
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
54 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $16.19 650 $10,526.75
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $16.23 650 $10,549.50 $10,559.59 +$22.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
55 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $16.15 654 $10,558.83
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $16.01 654 $10,473.81 $10,474.57 $-85.02
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
56 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:35am ET $15.98 655 $10,470.17
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $15.69 655 $10,273.68 $10,278.07 $-196.50
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
57 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $15.33 670 $10,271.10
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $15.44 670 $10,341.45 $10,348.42 +$70.35
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
58 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $15.52 666 $10,332.99
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:40am ET $15.69 666 $10,449.54 $10,464.97 +$116.55
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
59 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.43 678 $10,461.54
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $15.56 678 $10,553.07 $10,556.50 +$91.53
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
60 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $15.08 700 $10,556.00
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:55am ET $15.27 700 $10,692.50 $10,693.00 +$136.50
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
61 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $15.36 695 $10,678.67
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.41 695 $10,709.95 $10,724.28 +$31.28
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
62 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $15.95 672 $10,718.40
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.99 672 $10,745.35 $10,751.23 +$26.95
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
63 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.12 666 $10,735.92
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $15.99 666 $10,649.34 $10,664.65 $-86.58
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $17.74 601 $10,662.88
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $18.13 601 $10,896.79 $10,898.56 +$233.91
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $17.82 611 $10,884.97
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $17.66 611 $10,787.21 $10,800.80 $-97.76
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $16.95 637 $10,797.15
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $16.73 637 $10,653.83 $10,657.47 $-143.33
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $16.40 649 $10,643.67
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.51 649 $10,711.81 $10,725.61 +$68.14
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $16.27 659 $10,721.93
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $16.62 659 $10,952.58 $10,956.26 +$230.65
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $15.74 695 $10,942.77
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET $15.93 695 $11,067.88 $11,081.36 +$125.10
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $17.28 641 $11,076.42
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $17.16 641 $10,999.50 $11,004.44 $-76.92
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
71 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $17.81 618 $11,003.49
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $18.10 618 $11,187.28 $11,188.23 +$183.79
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,188.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,188.23
Total Return: +11.88%
Back to Professor Mean