Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 36.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 35.6

30-Day Momentum

83
+12.8%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
6.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.6 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+48 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,856
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,262.75
Current Value
$15,994.42
Period P&L
$3,731.59
Max Drawdown
-43.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
40 / 24
Best Trade
+8.43%
Worst Trade
-8.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
4.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,854,333.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,731.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,731.59
Gross Return
+30.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,262.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $39.89 307 $12,244.85
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:55am ET $41.74 307 $12,812.65 $12,830.64 +$567.80
(+4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $42.29 303 $12,813.87
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:35am ET $42.20 303 $12,786.57 $12,803.34 $-27.30
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 1:00pm ET $43.20 296 $12,787.20
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $43.27 296 $12,807.92 $12,824.06 +$20.72
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $36.15 354 $12,795.33
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:55am ET $36.84 354 $13,041.40 $13,070.13 +$246.07
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $33.83 386 $13,058.38
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $35.11 386 $13,552.46 $13,564.21 +$494.08
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $30.28 447 $13,535.16
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:15pm ET $30.49 447 $13,626.80 $13,655.84 +$91.63
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:15pm ET $31.87 428 $13,640.36
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET $31.99 428 $13,691.72 $13,707.20 +$51.36
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET $43.46 315 $13,689.90
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:55am ET $44.21 315 $13,926.15 $13,943.45 +$236.25
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:25pm ET $46.02 302 $13,898.04
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:55pm ET $46.12 302 $13,928.24 $13,973.65 +$30.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 12:15pm ET $46.33 301 $13,945.33
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:05pm ET $46.43 301 $13,975.43 $14,003.75 +$30.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $47.73 293 $13,984.89
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:35am ET $47.70 293 $13,974.64 $13,993.50 $-10.25
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:40pm ET $48.89 286 $13,982.54
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 2:10pm ET $48.85 286 $13,971.10 $13,982.06 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $42.34 330 $13,973.65
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:15am ET $41.90 330 $13,827.00 $13,835.40 $-146.65
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:35pm ET $41.10 336 $13,809.60
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:45pm ET $40.95 336 $13,759.20 $13,785.00 $-50.40
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $35.77 385 $13,771.53
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 11:00am ET $36.85 385 $14,187.25 $14,200.73 +$415.72
(+3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:05am ET $44.18 321 $14,181.78
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:15pm ET $44.03 321 $14,133.63 $14,152.58 $-48.15
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:50pm ET $43.66 324 $14,145.84
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $44.04 324 $14,268.96 $14,275.70 +$123.12
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:05am ET $41.94 340 $14,259.60
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 12:30pm ET $41.98 340 $14,273.20 $14,289.30 +$13.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.33 289 $14,256.37
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.49 289 $15,458.61 $15,491.54 +$1,202.24
(+8.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $51.92 298 $15,472.16
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $51.95 298 $15,481.10 $15,500.48 +$8.94
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET $54.57 284 $15,497.88
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $56.41 284 $16,020.44 $16,023.04 +$522.56
(+3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
22.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 279 $16,021.58
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:00am ET $58.23 279 $16,246.17 $16,247.63 +$224.60
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $64.16 253 $16,232.48
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $61.75 253 $15,622.75 $15,637.90 $-609.73
(-3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET $60.81 257 $15,628.17
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $60.65 257 $15,587.05 $15,596.78 $-41.12
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $70.95 219 $15,538.05
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $68.16 219 $14,927.85 $14,986.58 $-610.20
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $65.13 230 $14,978.75
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $66.11 230 $15,205.07 $15,212.90 +$226.32
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $56.67 268 $15,187.72
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $52.12 268 $13,966.82 $13,992.00 $-1,220.90
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $53.07 263 $13,957.44
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $53.88 263 $14,169.13 $14,203.69 +$211.69
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $60.40 235 $14,194.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $62.14 235 $14,602.90 $14,612.59 +$408.90
(+2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $62.89 232 $14,590.48
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $61.72 232 $14,319.04 $14,341.15 $-271.44
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.71 232 $14,315.65
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET $62.26 232 $14,444.32 $14,469.82 +$128.67
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $67.20 215 $14,448.00
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $66.05 215 $14,201.50 $14,223.32 $-246.50
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $66.06 215 $14,202.90
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $66.33 215 $14,260.95 $14,281.37 +$58.05
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $69.17 206 $14,249.02
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $69.03 206 $14,219.91 $14,252.26 $-29.11
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $69.64 204 $14,206.56
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $68.15 204 $13,902.60 $13,948.30 $-303.96
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $61.90 225 $13,927.50
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:10am ET $63.43 225 $14,271.75 $14,292.55 +$344.25
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $61.28 233 $14,278.24
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $62.15 233 $14,480.95 $14,495.26 +$202.71
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $53.29 272 $14,495.15
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $54.19 272 $14,741.04 $14,741.15 +$245.89
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $56.76 259 $14,699.55
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $55.89 259 $14,475.51 $14,517.11 $-224.04
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.29 288 $14,483.52
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:20am ET $52.62 288 $15,154.56 $15,188.15 +$671.04
(+4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $56.22 270 $15,180.75
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $55.93 270 $15,101.10 $15,108.50 $-79.65
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $53.35 283 $15,098.02
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:30am ET $50.74 283 $14,360.83 $14,371.31 $-737.19
(-4.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $50.24 286 $14,367.21
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $50.69 286 $14,497.31 $14,501.41 +$130.10
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $54.35 266 $14,457.10
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $55.51 266 $14,765.74 $14,810.05 +$308.64
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $55.45 267 $14,805.15
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $55.77 267 $14,890.59 $14,895.49 +$85.44
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $52.78 282 $14,883.96
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET $52.26 282 $14,737.32 $14,748.85 $-146.64
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $54.60 270 $14,740.65
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $53.06 270 $14,326.20 $14,334.40 $-414.45
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $56.85 252 $14,326.20
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $57.26 252 $14,429.52 $14,437.72 +$103.32
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $48.24 299 $14,425.13
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET $47.38 299 $14,166.59 $14,179.18 $-258.54
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $40.60 349 $14,169.44
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.78 349 $14,233.96 $14,243.71 +$64.53
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $52.86 269 $14,219.34
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $52.63 269 $14,156.13 $14,180.49 $-63.22
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $53.47 265 $14,169.55
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $54.24 265 $14,373.57 $14,384.51 +$204.02
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $54.17 265 $14,355.05
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $55.56 265 $14,723.40 $14,752.86 +$368.35
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $76.98 191 $14,702.68
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET $77.10 191 $14,726.10 $14,776.28 +$23.42
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $82.11 179 $14,697.69
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $82.01 179 $14,680.68 $14,759.27 $-17.01
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $86.68 170 $14,734.77
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $87.65 170 $14,900.48 $14,924.99 +$165.72
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $93.29 159 $14,833.13
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $94.15 159 $14,969.25 $15,061.11 +$136.12
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $96.66 155 $14,981.85
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $98.47 155 $15,262.87 $15,342.13 +$281.02
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $104.68 146 $15,282.55
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $105.22 146 $15,362.85 $15,422.43 +$80.30
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $127.78 120 $15,333.61
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $128.67 120 $15,440.40 $15,529.22 +$106.79
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $108.29 143 $15,485.76
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $106.94 143 $15,292.95 $15,336.41 $-192.81
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $113.97 134 $15,271.39
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $115.19 134 $15,435.46 $15,500.48 +$164.07
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
63 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $122.47 126 $15,430.98
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $126.80 126 $15,976.80 $16,046.30 +$545.82
(+3.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
64 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $127.76 125 $15,970.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $127.35 125 $15,918.13 $15,994.42 $-51.88
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,994.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,994.42
Total Return: +59.94%
Back to Professor Mean