SPXU Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 44 trades in period
+2.08%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,607.00
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,391.18
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,146
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
136 days
Data Gaps
4 days with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-09-16 (36 candles), 2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,391.18
Current Value
$10,607.00
Period P&L
$215.91
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
24 /
20
Best Trade
+4.92%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$940,762.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$215.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$215.91
Gross Return
+2.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.08%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 136 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,391.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 3:50pm ET | $60.33 | 172 | $10,376.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 11:35am ET | $61.07 | 172 | $10,504.80 | $10,519.26 |
+$128.17 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 3:30pm ET | $60.20 | 174 | $10,474.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 9:55am ET | $59.92 | 174 | $10,426.08 | $10,470.47 |
$-48.79 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $59.17 | 176 | $10,414.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $58.60 | 176 | $10,313.67 | $10,369.38 |
$-101.09 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 10:40am ET | $57.22 | 181 | $10,357.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 10:40am ET | $57.08 | 181 | $10,331.48 | $10,343.17 |
$-26.21 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 3:25pm ET | $56.52 | 183 | $10,343.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.10 | 183 | $10,266.67 | $10,266.68 |
$-76.49 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.36 | 185 | $10,241.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 1:40pm ET | $54.94 | 185 | $10,163.90 | $10,188.98 |
$-77.70 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:35am ET | $52.78 | 193 | $10,186.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 1:25pm ET | $53.15 | 193 | $10,257.95 | $10,260.39 |
+$71.41 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $53.10 | 193 | $10,248.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:50am ET | $54.45 | 193 | $10,508.39 | $10,520.47 |
+$260.09 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 10:05am ET | $52.70 | 199 | $10,487.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $51.34 | 199 | $10,216.18 | $10,249.36 |
$-271.12 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $50.96 | 201 | $10,242.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 2:20pm ET | $51.72 | 201 | $10,395.72 | $10,402.20 |
+$152.84 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:10am ET | $50.28 | 206 | $10,357.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:55am ET | $50.44 | 206 | $10,390.64 | $10,435.16 |
+$32.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET | $54.28 | 192 | $10,421.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.95 | 192 | $10,934.44 | $10,947.83 |
+$512.68 (+4.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.75 | 203 | $10,911.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $53.67 | 203 | $10,894.99 | $10,931.57 |
$-16.26 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:05pm ET | $52.07 | 209 | $10,882.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 1:50pm ET | $52.18 | 209 | $10,905.62 | $10,954.56 |
+$22.99 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $51.02 | 214 | $10,918.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 1:05pm ET | $51.19 | 214 | $10,954.66 | $10,990.94 |
+$36.38 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:55am ET | $50.20 | 218 | $10,943.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:30pm ET | $50.33 | 218 | $10,971.94 | $11,019.28 |
+$28.34 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 11:05am ET | $50.51 | 218 | $11,011.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $50.37 | 218 | $10,980.66 | $10,988.72 |
$-30.56 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.41 | 222 | $10,969.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:15am ET | $49.04 | 222 | $10,886.88 | $10,906.58 |
$-82.14 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $50.48 | 216 | $10,903.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $51.04 | 216 | $11,024.64 | $11,027.54 |
+$120.96 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.88 | 212 | $10,998.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 11:55am ET | $51.46 | 212 | $10,908.46 | $10,937.44 |
$-90.10 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 12:20pm ET | $50.79 | 215 | $10,918.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 1:35pm ET | $50.84 | 215 | $10,931.35 | $10,950.02 |
+$12.58 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $49.82 | 219 | $10,910.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $49.72 | 219 | $10,888.68 | $10,928.12 |
$-21.90 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $48.25 | 226 | $10,903.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 12:55pm ET | $47.84 | 226 | $10,811.84 | $10,836.59 |
$-91.53 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET | $48.49 | 223 | $10,813.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 2:05pm ET | $48.59 | 223 | $10,835.57 | $10,858.89 |
+$22.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 1:40pm ET | $48.91 | 222 | $10,858.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:25pm ET | $49.07 | 222 | $10,892.43 | $10,892.99 |
+$34.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $49.57 | 219 | $10,855.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $49.63 | 219 | $10,869.82 | $10,906.98 |
+$13.99 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $48.39 | 225 | $10,887.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.23 | 225 | $10,850.74 | $10,869.97 |
$-37.01 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $47.52 | 228 | $10,835.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $47.69 | 228 | $10,873.32 | $10,907.70 |
+$37.73 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET | $48.01 | 227 | $10,897.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $48.19 | 227 | $10,939.13 | $10,949.70 |
+$41.99 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $47.17 | 232 | $10,943.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $47.16 | 232 | $10,941.12 | $10,947.38 |
$-2.32 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $47.23 | 231 | $10,910.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $47.31 | 231 | $10,928.61 | $10,965.44 |
+$18.06 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $48.65 | 225 | $10,945.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.31 | 225 | $10,644.75 | $10,665.07 |
$-300.38 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $47.57 | 224 | $10,654.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $47.74 | 224 | $10,693.78 | $10,704.29 |
+$39.22 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.45 | 212 | $10,695.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.33 | 212 | $10,668.98 | $10,677.87 |
$-26.42 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.08 | 222 | $10,673.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:25pm ET | $48.06 | 222 | $10,668.21 | $10,672.48 |
$-5.39 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $48.21 | 221 | $10,654.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $48.39 | 221 | $10,693.20 | $10,711.27 |
+$38.79 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $47.31 | 226 | $10,692.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.15 | 226 | $10,656.13 | $10,675.33 |
$-35.93 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $46.68 | 228 | $10,643.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.00 | 228 | $10,716.00 | $10,748.29 |
+$72.96 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $47.72 | 225 | $10,737.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.84 | 225 | $10,764.00 | $10,775.29 |
+$27.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.63 | 226 | $10,765.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $47.32 | 226 | $10,694.32 | $10,704.10 |
$-71.19 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $48.58 | 220 | $10,687.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $48.75 | 220 | $10,725.00 | $10,741.50 |
+$37.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.69 | 216 | $10,733.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $48.51 | 216 | $10,478.16 | $10,486.62 |
$-254.88 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.7h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $47.18 | 222 | $10,473.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $47.22 | 222 | $10,482.84 | $10,495.50 |
+$8.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.05 | 223 | $10,492.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $47.55 | 223 | $10,603.65 | $10,607.00 |
+$111.50 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,607.00
Net Profit/Loss:
+$607.00
Total Return:
+6.07%