Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:21:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 29.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.2

30-Day Momentum

40
+1.1%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.0 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,606
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,493.55
Current Value
$10,802.55
Period P&L
$309.04
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
46 / 25
Best Trade
+0.62%
Worst Trade
-1.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
5.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,462,186.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$309.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$309.04
Gross Return
+2.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,493.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 3:35pm ET $671.92 15 $10,078.80
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:45pm ET $670.38 15 $10,055.63 $10,470.34 $-23.17
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $680.07 15 $10,200.98
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 11:15am ET $680.26 15 $10,203.83 $10,473.19 +$2.85
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 11:45am ET $681.31 15 $10,219.65
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:05pm ET $682.16 15 $10,232.40 $10,485.94 +$12.75
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $672.83 15 $10,092.45
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 2:25pm ET $673.54 15 $10,103.10 $10,496.59 +$10.65
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $671.22 15 $10,068.30
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:50am ET $673.50 15 $10,102.50 $10,530.79 +$34.20
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET $659.79 15 $9,896.85
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:15am ET $659.32 15 $9,889.80 $10,523.74 $-7.05
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $659.10 15 $9,886.50
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:50pm ET $661.42 15 $9,921.30 $10,558.54 +$34.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:35pm ET $653.94 16 $10,463.04
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $655.45 16 $10,487.20 $10,582.70 +$24.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:25pm ET $668.90 15 $10,033.50
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:00pm ET $669.22 15 $10,038.23 $10,587.43 +$4.73
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $680.30 15 $10,204.50
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $681.04 15 $10,215.60 $10,598.53 +$11.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:15pm ET $681.52 15 $10,222.73
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $680.91 15 $10,213.65 $10,589.45 $-9.08
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $680.50 15 $10,207.50
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $682.20 15 $10,233.00 $10,614.95 +$25.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET $683.62 15 $10,254.34
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $682.57 15 $10,238.48 $10,599.09 $-15.86
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET $685.03 15 $10,275.45
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $686.12 15 $10,291.80 $10,615.44 +$16.35
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET $684.18 15 $10,262.63
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:50pm ET $684.21 15 $10,263.15 $10,615.96 +$0.53
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET $683.67 15 $10,255.05
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET $686.46 15 $10,296.83 $10,657.74 +$41.78
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET $684.82 15 $10,272.30
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 12:10pm ET $681.88 15 $10,228.20 $10,613.64 $-44.10
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET $679.85 15 $10,197.75
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:50pm ET $680.82 15 $10,212.30 $10,628.19 +$14.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $676.95 15 $10,154.25
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:20pm ET $675.00 15 $10,124.93 $10,598.87 $-29.32
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $675.26 15 $10,128.90
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:55pm ET $678.37 15 $10,175.55 $10,645.52 +$46.65
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:40pm ET $679.94 15 $10,199.10
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $680.59 15 $10,208.85 $10,655.27 +$9.75
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $688.06 15 $10,320.90
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 12:50pm ET $686.96 15 $10,304.33 $10,638.70 $-16.57
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:05pm ET $687.40 15 $10,310.93
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:30pm ET $687.68 15 $10,315.20 $10,642.97 +$4.27
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $681.84 15 $10,227.60
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $684.77 15 $10,271.58 $10,686.95 +$43.98
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $688.01 15 $10,320.15
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $688.59 15 $10,328.85 $10,695.65 +$8.70
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $691.80 15 $10,377.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $692.41 15 $10,386.15 $10,704.80 +$9.15
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $687.83 15 $10,317.38
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $689.79 15 $10,346.85 $10,734.28 +$29.47
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $694.55 15 $10,418.25
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $693.99 15 $10,409.85 $10,725.88 $-8.40
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $694.81 15 $10,422.15
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $693.85 15 $10,407.68 $10,711.40 $-14.47
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $693.98 15 $10,409.70
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $694.89 15 $10,423.28 $10,724.98 +$13.57
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $691.58 15 $10,373.70
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $682.65 15 $10,239.75 $10,591.03 $-133.95
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $681.25 15 $10,218.75
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $680.20 15 $10,203.00 $10,575.28 $-15.75
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $690.03 15 $10,350.38
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $690.69 15 $10,360.38 $10,585.28 +$10.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $695.54 15 $10,433.10
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $695.95 15 $10,439.25 $10,591.43 +$6.15
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $694.18 15 $10,412.70
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $695.10 15 $10,426.50 $10,605.23 +$13.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $690.50 15 $10,357.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $691.07 15 $10,366.05 $10,613.78 +$8.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $695.52 15 $10,432.80
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $696.09 15 $10,441.35 $10,622.33 +$8.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $687.07 15 $10,306.05
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $684.80 15 $10,272.00 $10,588.28 $-34.05
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $694.23 15 $10,413.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $695.00 15 $10,425.00 $10,599.83 +$11.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $692.95 15 $10,394.25
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $692.33 15 $10,384.95 $10,590.53 $-9.30
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $677.43 15 $10,161.45
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET $678.60 15 $10,179.00 $10,608.08 +$17.55
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $687.05 15 $10,305.75
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $685.46 15 $10,281.83 $10,584.16 $-23.92
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $685.60 15 $10,284.00
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $687.59 15 $10,313.85 $10,614.01 +$29.85
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $692.27 15 $10,384.05
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $691.46 15 $10,371.90 $10,601.86 $-12.15
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $683.41 15 $10,251.15
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:45am ET $685.83 15 $10,287.45 $10,638.16 +$36.30
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $675.20 15 $10,128.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:05am ET $673.79 15 $10,106.85 $10,617.01 $-21.15
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $686.13 15 $10,291.95
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $686.59 15 $10,298.92 $10,623.98 +$6.97
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $673.80 15 $10,107.00
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET $675.05 15 $10,125.75 $10,642.73 +$18.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $678.95 15 $10,184.25
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET $678.36 15 $10,175.40 $10,633.88 $-8.85
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET $671.55 15 $10,073.25
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET $669.30 15 $10,039.50 $10,600.13 $-33.75
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $662.28 16 $10,596.48
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $663.90 16 $10,622.32 $10,625.97 +$25.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $670.82 15 $10,062.30
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $671.40 15 $10,071.00 $10,634.67 +$8.70
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $666.06 15 $9,990.90
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $667.04 15 $10,005.63 $10,649.40 +$14.73
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $649.23 16 $10,387.68
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $648.16 16 $10,370.48 $10,632.20 $-17.20
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $650.93 16 $10,414.84
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET $653.48 16 $10,455.68 $10,673.04 +$40.84
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $656.13 16 $10,498.08
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $656.84 16 $10,509.36 $10,684.32 +$11.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $642.38 16 $10,278.08
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:00am ET $640.24 16 $10,243.84 $10,650.08 $-34.24
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $632.83 16 $10,125.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $632.53 16 $10,120.48 $10,645.36 $-4.72
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $656.73 16 $10,507.68
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $655.63 16 $10,490.08 $10,627.76 $-17.60
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $655.90 16 $10,494.40
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $657.42 16 $10,518.80 $10,652.16 +$24.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $655.30 16 $10,484.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $657.98 16 $10,527.73 $10,695.09 +$42.93
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $680.16 15 $10,202.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $679.25 15 $10,188.75 $10,681.44 $-13.65
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $692.29 15 $10,384.34
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $693.43 15 $10,401.52 $10,698.63 +$17.19
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $698.61 15 $10,479.15
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $699.90 15 $10,498.43 $10,717.91 +$19.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $709.91 15 $10,648.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $710.17 15 $10,652.55 $10,721.81 +$3.90
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $707.30 15 $10,609.50
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $707.03 15 $10,605.45 $10,717.76 $-4.05
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $708.96 15 $10,634.46
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $707.83 15 $10,617.45 $10,700.75 $-17.01
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $712.70 15 $10,690.43
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:55am ET $714.02 15 $10,710.30 $10,720.63 +$19.88
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $710.53 15 $10,658.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:20am ET $711.11 15 $10,666.65 $10,729.26 +$8.63
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
70 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $721.40 14 $10,099.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $722.16 14 $10,110.24 $10,739.90 +$10.64
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
71 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $723.53 14 $10,129.49
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $728.01 14 $10,192.14 $10,802.55 +$62.65
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,802.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$802.55
Total Return: +8.03%
Back to Professor Mean