Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 25.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 25.0

30-Day Momentum

34
+2.0%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.7 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,128
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,997.56
Current Value
$11,720.96
Period P&L
$1,723.39
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
46 / 26
Best Trade
+10.14%
Worst Trade
-9.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
7.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,387,188.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,723.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,723.39
Gross Return
+17.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,997.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 12:50pm ET $54.60 183 $9,991.80
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET $55.85 183 $10,220.46 $10,226.21 +$228.66
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:30pm ET $56.32 181 $10,193.47
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $51.10 181 $9,249.10 $9,281.84 $-944.37
(-9.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $50.20 184 $9,236.71
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:15am ET $50.50 184 $9,291.82 $9,336.95 +$55.11
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 12:35pm ET $50.27 185 $9,300.32
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:30pm ET $50.45 185 $9,333.25 $9,369.88 +$32.93
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:20am ET $61.53 152 $9,351.88
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $61.85 152 $9,401.20 $9,419.21 +$49.32
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $60.30 156 $9,406.80
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET $60.10 156 $9,375.60 $9,388.01 $-31.20
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:40am ET $64.17 146 $9,368.82
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:05pm ET $62.57 146 $9,135.22 $9,154.41 $-233.60
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 1:50pm ET $54.15 169 $9,151.35
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 2:20pm ET $54.39 169 $9,191.91 $9,194.97 +$40.56
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:00pm ET $52.30 175 $9,152.50
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $50.53 175 $8,842.75 $8,885.22 $-309.75
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET $48.91 181 $8,852.71
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET $48.63 181 $8,801.38 $8,833.88 $-51.33
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $47.17 187 $8,821.13
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:30am ET $47.59 187 $8,899.33 $8,912.09 +$78.20
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 2:20pm ET $46.31 192 $8,891.50
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:40pm ET $46.56 192 $8,939.52 $8,960.11 +$48.02
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $45.13 198 $8,935.74
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:55am ET $45.16 198 $8,941.68 $8,966.05 +$5.94
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $45.68 196 $8,953.28
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:40am ET $45.30 196 $8,878.80 $8,891.57 $-74.48
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $45.26 196 $8,870.96
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $45.41 196 $8,900.36 $8,920.97 +$29.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $42.19 211 $8,901.04
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $41.62 211 $8,781.04 $8,800.97 $-120.00
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $41.85 210 $8,788.50
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $42.59 210 $8,943.90 $8,956.37 +$155.40
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:55am ET $41.32 216 $8,925.12
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET $41.80 216 $9,027.72 $9,058.97 +$102.60
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:20pm ET $41.17 220 $9,056.30
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:40am ET $39.39 220 $8,665.80 $8,668.47 $-390.50
(-4.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:05pm ET $36.95 234 $8,646.30
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $36.93 234 $8,641.62 $8,663.79 $-4.68
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $36.69 236 $8,658.84
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:45am ET $37.11 236 $8,757.96 $8,762.91 +$99.12
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 11:10am ET $36.70 238 $8,734.60
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 11:30am ET $36.85 238 $8,770.30 $8,798.61 +$35.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:40pm ET $35.30 249 $8,788.73
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $35.37 249 $8,807.13 $8,817.01 +$18.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $34.99 251 $8,782.49
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $35.55 251 $8,921.80 $8,956.32 +$139.31
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $34.81 257 $8,944.89
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $34.83 257 $8,951.31 $8,962.74 +$6.42
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $34.77 257 $8,935.89
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $34.82 257 $8,948.74 $8,975.59 +$12.85
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $35.17 255 $8,967.08
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $35.02 255 $8,930.10 $8,938.62 $-36.97
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $34.18 261 $8,920.98
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $35.06 261 $9,150.66 $9,168.30 +$229.68
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET $34.49 265 $9,139.85
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $34.82 265 $9,225.98 $9,254.42 +$86.12
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $37.01 250 $9,253.13
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $35.23 250 $8,807.50 $8,808.80 $-445.63
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $34.93 252 $8,802.36
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $35.10 252 $8,845.20 $8,851.64 +$42.84
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $39.12 226 $8,841.96
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $38.93 226 $8,798.18 $8,807.86 $-43.78
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $35.01 251 $8,787.76
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $34.99 251 $8,781.24 $8,801.34 $-6.53
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET $34.93 251 $8,767.43
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET $35.26 251 $8,850.26 $8,884.17 +$82.83
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $36.35 244 $8,869.40
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $35.92 244 $8,765.21 $8,779.98 $-104.19
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $36.33 241 $8,755.53
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $36.86 241 $8,883.26 $8,907.71 +$127.73
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $34.36 259 $8,899.24
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $34.47 259 $8,927.21 $8,935.68 +$27.97
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $36.69 243 $8,916.88
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $37.22 243 $9,044.46 $9,063.25 +$127.58
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET $39.45 229 $9,034.05
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $39.43 229 $9,029.47 $9,058.67 $-4.58
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $37.12 244 $9,056.06
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $35.60 244 $8,686.40 $8,689.01 $-369.66
(-4.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $35.32 246 $8,688.72
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $36.12 246 $8,885.52 $8,885.81 +$196.80
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $40.06 221 $8,853.24
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $40.44 221 $8,937.24 $8,969.81 +$84.00
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET $39.99 224 $8,957.76
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET $39.00 224 $8,735.75 $8,747.80 $-222.01
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $40.03 218 $8,726.54
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET $39.05 218 $8,513.77 $8,535.03 $-212.77
(-2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $37.42 228 $8,531.76
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET $37.15 228 $8,470.20 $8,473.47 $-61.56
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $39.56 214 $8,465.84
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $43.10 214 $9,224.47 $9,232.10 +$758.63
(+9.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $43.65 211 $9,210.15
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $42.55 211 $8,977.31 $8,999.26 $-232.84
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $45.58 197 $8,979.26
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.20 197 $9,889.40 $9,909.40 +$910.14
(+10.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $48.35 204 $9,864.42
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $47.70 204 $9,731.72 $9,776.70 $-132.70
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.82 204 $9,755.28
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $48.55 204 $9,904.20 $9,925.62 +$148.92
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $48.90 202 $9,878.81
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $49.78 202 $10,056.57 $10,103.38 +$177.76
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $45.21 223 $10,081.83
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET $44.82 223 $9,994.86 $10,016.41 $-86.97
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $48.99 204 $9,993.96
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:30pm ET $50.24 204 $10,247.94 $10,270.39 +$253.98
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $48.11 213 $10,247.75
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $49.47 213 $10,537.11 $10,559.75 +$289.36
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.58 217 $10,541.88
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET $49.22 217 $10,679.66 $10,697.52 +$137.77
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $49.31 216 $10,650.96
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET $50.71 216 $10,953.08 $10,999.64 +$302.12
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET $56.42 194 $10,945.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $57.83 194 $11,219.99 $11,274.13 +$274.49
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $56.16 200 $11,232.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $57.41 200 $11,482.00 $11,524.13 +$250.00
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $51.58 223 $11,502.34
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.42 223 $11,465.55 $11,487.33 $-36.80
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.17 224 $11,462.08
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $51.88 224 $11,622.20 $11,647.45 +$160.12
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET $43.15 269 $11,606.95
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $41.66 269 $11,206.14 $11,246.64 $-400.81
(-3.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $41.62 270 $11,238.35
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $41.88 270 $11,308.95 $11,317.24 +$70.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $39.72 284 $11,280.48
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 284 $10,800.49 $10,837.25 $-479.99
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $38.30 282 $10,801.22
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $38.73 282 $10,920.70 $10,956.73 +$119.48
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $38.80 282 $10,941.60
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:55am ET $39.26 282 $11,071.32 $11,086.45 +$129.72
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $38.72 286 $11,073.92
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:25am ET $39.24 286 $11,222.64 $11,235.17 +$148.72
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $39.16 286 $11,199.79
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $39.46 286 $11,285.56 $11,320.94 +$85.77
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $39.17 288 $11,282.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET $38.98 288 $11,226.24 $11,264.78 $-56.16
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $38.15 295 $11,254.60
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $38.93 295 $11,484.38 $11,494.56 +$229.78
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $37.54 306 $11,488.77
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $38.12 306 $11,664.72 $11,670.51 +$175.95
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
71 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $35.92 324 $11,638.08
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:50am ET $36.03 324 $11,673.72 $11,706.15 +$35.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
72 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $36.34 322 $11,702.77
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:05am ET $36.39 322 $11,717.58 $11,720.96 +$14.81
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,720.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,720.96
Total Return: +17.21%
Back to Professor Mean