Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 29.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 28.8

30-Day Momentum

11
-5.0%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 11.1 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,652
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,433.73
Current Value
$12,737.27
Period P&L
$303.59
Max Drawdown
-19.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
41 / 30
Best Trade
+6.47%
Worst Trade
-7.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
8.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,690,157.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$303.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$303.59
Gross Return
+2.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,433.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 12:50pm ET $34.66 358 $12,406.49
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET $35.18 358 $12,594.44 $12,621.61 +$187.95
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:35pm ET $36.00 350 $12,598.25
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $33.16 350 $11,606.04 $11,629.40 $-992.21
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:35am ET $32.71 355 $11,612.05
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:15am ET $32.95 355 $11,697.25 $11,714.60 +$85.20
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 12:35pm ET $32.85 356 $11,693.71
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:30pm ET $32.90 356 $11,712.40 $11,733.29 +$18.69
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:20am ET $37.67 311 $11,715.37
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $37.79 311 $11,752.69 $11,770.61 +$37.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $37.18 316 $11,748.88
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET $37.09 316 $11,718.86 $11,740.59 $-30.02
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:45am ET $38.56 304 $11,722.24
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:05pm ET $38.16 304 $11,600.64 $11,618.99 $-121.60
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 1:50pm ET $34.71 334 $11,591.47
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 2:20pm ET $34.84 334 $11,636.56 $11,664.08 +$45.09
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:30pm ET $33.82 344 $11,634.05
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $33.20 344 $11,420.80 $11,450.83 $-213.25
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET $32.50 352 $11,440.00
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET $32.39 352 $11,401.28 $11,412.11 $-38.72
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $31.76 359 $11,401.09
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:30am ET $31.93 359 $11,462.87 $11,473.90 +$61.78
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 2:20pm ET $31.37 365 $11,451.47
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:40pm ET $31.49 365 $11,492.03 $11,514.45 +$40.55
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $30.85 373 $11,507.05
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET $30.86 373 $11,510.78 $11,518.18 +$3.73
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $31.11 370 $11,510.70
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:40am ET $30.94 370 $11,447.80 $11,455.28 $-62.90
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $30.91 370 $11,436.70
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $30.97 370 $11,458.90 $11,477.48 +$22.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $29.53 388 $11,457.64
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $29.24 388 $11,345.12 $11,364.96 $-112.52
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $29.35 387 $11,356.52
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $29.68 387 $11,486.16 $11,494.60 +$129.65
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:55am ET $29.10 395 $11,494.50
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $29.48 395 $11,644.60 $11,644.70 +$150.10
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:20pm ET $29.02 401 $11,637.02
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:35am ET $28.19 401 $11,302.19 $11,309.87 $-334.84
(-2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 12:55pm ET $27.04 418 $11,302.72
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:15pm ET $27.11 418 $11,331.98 $11,339.13 +$29.26
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:20pm ET $26.99 420 $11,335.80
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:40pm ET $27.01 420 $11,342.10 $11,345.43 +$6.30
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $26.96 420 $11,321.10
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $27.05 420 $11,361.00 $11,385.33 +$39.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET $26.71 426 $11,379.78
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:40pm ET $26.56 426 $11,314.56 $11,320.11 $-65.22
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:20am ET $26.33 429 $11,295.27
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 12:45pm ET $26.32 429 $11,291.28 $11,316.12 $-3.99
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $26.05 434 $11,305.70
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $26.21 434 $11,375.18 $11,385.60 +$69.48
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $26.06 436 $11,362.16
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $26.18 436 $11,414.48 $11,437.92 +$52.32
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $26.24 435 $11,414.40
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:50am ET $26.13 435 $11,366.55 $11,390.07 $-47.85
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET $25.64 444 $11,384.16
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $25.78 444 $11,446.32 $11,452.23 +$62.16
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET $25.91 442 $11,450.01
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $26.07 442 $11,520.73 $11,522.95 +$70.72
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $27.15 424 $11,511.60
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $26.25 424 $11,127.88 $11,139.23 $-383.72
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.13 426 $11,129.25
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $26.18 426 $11,152.68 $11,162.66 +$23.43
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $28.29 394 $11,146.26
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $28.19 394 $11,105.01 $11,121.41 $-41.25
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $26.32 422 $11,105.61
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $26.31 422 $11,102.82 $11,118.63 $-2.79
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET $26.30 422 $11,098.64
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET $26.47 422 $11,170.34 $11,190.32 +$71.70
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.80 417 $11,173.52
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $26.80 417 $11,175.60 $11,192.41 +$2.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $27.01 414 $11,180.07
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $27.26 414 $11,285.64 $11,297.98 +$105.57
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.23 414 $11,273.22
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $27.47 414 $11,372.58 $11,397.34 +$99.36
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $28.40 401 $11,388.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $28.96 401 $11,612.96 $11,621.90 +$224.56
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.50 422 $11,605.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $26.77 422 $11,296.94 $11,313.84 $-308.06
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $26.67 424 $11,305.96
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.78 424 $11,354.72 $11,362.60 +$48.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $28.98 392 $11,358.20
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $29.17 392 $11,432.68 $11,437.08 +$74.48
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:00am ET $28.86 396 $11,430.54
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET $28.51 396 $11,289.96 $11,296.50 $-140.58
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $29.00 389 $11,281.00
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET $28.55 389 $11,104.01 $11,119.51 $-176.99
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $27.83 399 $11,106.16
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET $27.62 399 $11,020.38 $11,033.73 $-85.78
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $28.85 382 $11,022.61
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.60 382 $11,689.20 $11,700.32 +$666.59
(+6.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $30.82 379 $11,681.58
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $30.56 379 $11,580.35 $11,599.09 $-101.23
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $31.82 364 $11,582.48
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $33.88 364 $12,332.32 $12,348.93 +$749.84
(+6.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $33.23 371 $12,328.33
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $32.94 371 $12,220.74 $12,241.34 $-107.59
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $33.55 364 $12,212.20
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $33.97 364 $12,366.90 $12,396.04 +$154.70
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $31.90 388 $12,377.20
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET $31.80 388 $12,338.67 $12,357.51 $-38.53
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $33.67 366 $12,325.05
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $34.21 366 $12,519.03 $12,551.49 +$193.98
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $33.37 376 $12,547.12
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $33.93 376 $12,757.68 $12,762.05 +$210.56
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $33.70 378 $12,738.60
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET $33.90 378 $12,812.31 $12,835.76 +$73.71
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $33.99 377 $12,814.23
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET $34.64 377 $13,059.28 $13,080.81 +$245.05
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 343 $13,044.29
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $38.91 343 $13,346.13 $13,382.65 +$301.84
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $36.27 368 $13,347.36
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:00pm ET $36.24 368 $13,338.16 $13,373.45 $-9.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $34.78 384 $13,355.52
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:35am ET $33.98 384 $13,048.32 $13,066.25 $-307.20
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $35.05 372 $13,038.41
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $35.38 372 $13,161.36 $13,189.20 +$122.95
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET $31.45 419 $13,177.55
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $30.68 419 $12,857.01 $12,868.66 $-320.54
(-2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $30.70 419 $12,865.39
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $30.83 419 $12,915.68 $12,918.94 +$50.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $29.75 434 $12,913.67
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $28.94 434 $12,559.96 $12,565.23 $-353.71
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $29.03 432 $12,540.96
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $29.27 432 $12,644.64 $12,668.91 +$103.68
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $28.61 442 $12,645.62
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET $28.85 442 $12,751.70 $12,774.99 +$106.08
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $29.30 436 $12,774.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $29.47 436 $12,846.74 $12,846.93 +$71.94
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $29.53 435 $12,845.55
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $29.66 435 $12,902.10 $12,903.48 +$56.55
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $29.54 436 $12,879.44
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET $29.42 436 $12,829.30 $12,853.34 $-50.14
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $29.07 442 $12,846.73
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $29.01 442 $12,824.63 $12,831.24 $-22.10
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $28.67 447 $12,813.26
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET $28.49 447 $12,732.80 $12,750.78 $-80.46
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $28.33 450 $12,748.50
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $28.25 450 $12,714.75 $12,717.03 $-33.75
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
70 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $28.00 454 $12,709.73
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:50am ET $27.98 454 $12,700.65 $12,707.95 $-9.08
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
71 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $28.14 451 $12,691.14
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $28.20 451 $12,720.45 $12,737.27 +$29.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,737.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,737.27
Total Return: +27.37%
Back to Professor Mean