Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 19.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

17
+0.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.5 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,098.80
Current Value
$10,227.08
Period P&L
$128.31
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
42 / 29
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-2.43%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
7.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,408,349.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$128.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$128.31
Gross Return
+1.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,098.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 12:20pm ET $40.01 252 $10,081.26
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:10pm ET $39.86 252 $10,043.46 $10,061.01 $-37.80
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 2:00pm ET $40.57 248 $10,060.24
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:20pm ET $40.64 248 $10,078.72 $10,079.49 +$18.48
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 2:20pm ET $40.78 247 $10,072.78
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:10pm ET $40.83 247 $10,083.78 $10,090.48 +$10.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 3:20pm ET $41.25 244 $10,063.78
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $41.37 244 $10,094.28 $10,120.98 +$30.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:45am ET $40.95 247 $10,113.42
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:15am ET $41.18 247 $10,170.23 $10,177.79 +$56.81
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $41.35 246 $10,173.21
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:55pm ET $41.45 246 $10,195.47 $10,200.05 +$22.26
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $41.04 248 $10,177.94
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:50am ET $41.06 248 $10,181.64 $10,203.75 +$3.70
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:10pm ET $41.37 246 $10,175.79
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:40pm ET $40.36 246 $9,928.56 $9,956.52 $-247.23
(-2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:10pm ET $40.84 243 $9,922.91
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:20pm ET $40.84 243 $9,924.12 $9,957.73 +$1.22
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:25pm ET $40.79 244 $9,951.54
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $40.77 244 $9,946.66 $9,952.85 $-4.88
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:15pm ET $40.81 243 $9,917.44
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $40.86 243 $9,927.79 $9,963.20 +$10.35
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 2:20pm ET $41.82 238 $9,951.97
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $41.66 238 $9,913.89 $9,925.12 $-38.08
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:35am ET $40.87 242 $9,890.54
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:40am ET $40.55 242 $9,811.89 $9,846.47 $-78.65
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:40am ET $39.94 246 $9,824.01
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:40am ET $39.92 246 $9,819.09 $9,841.55 $-4.92
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:45pm ET $40.32 244 $9,838.10
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $40.32 244 $9,838.08 $9,841.53 $-0.02
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:50pm ET $41.14 239 $9,831.27
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 2:50pm ET $41.13 239 $9,830.07 $9,840.33 $-1.19
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:50am ET $40.63 242 $9,831.25
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:55am ET $40.54 242 $9,811.41 $9,820.49 $-19.84
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:55am ET $40.61 241 $9,785.81
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET $40.73 241 $9,815.93 $9,850.61 +$30.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:50pm ET $40.10 245 $9,824.50
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $39.82 245 $9,755.90 $9,782.01 $-68.60
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:20pm ET $39.96 244 $9,750.24
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:45am ET $39.97 244 $9,753.39 $9,785.16 +$3.15
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:10pm ET $40.89 239 $9,772.69
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:30pm ET $40.94 239 $9,783.47 $9,795.94 +$10.78
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $40.54 241 $9,768.94
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:35am ET $40.08 241 $9,660.36 $9,687.37 $-108.57
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $40.15 241 $9,674.95
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:40pm ET $40.09 241 $9,660.49 $9,672.91 $-14.46
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:45am ET $40.47 239 $9,671.68
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $40.53 239 $9,685.48 $9,686.70 +$13.79
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $40.60 238 $9,663.89
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $40.55 238 $9,649.71 $9,672.52 $-14.18
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $39.68 243 $9,642.24
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $39.84 243 $9,679.91 $9,710.18 +$37.67
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $39.62 245 $9,706.90
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $39.71 245 $9,727.73 $9,731.01 +$20.83
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $39.36 247 $9,720.69
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $39.14 247 $9,666.35 $9,676.67 $-54.34
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $38.72 249 $9,641.28
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $38.94 249 $9,694.82 $9,730.20 +$53.54
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $39.58 245 $9,695.88
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:10am ET $39.23 245 $9,610.13 $9,644.45 $-85.75
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $39.55 243 $9,609.44
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $39.39 243 $9,571.77 $9,606.79 $-37.67
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:35am ET $39.60 242 $9,583.20
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:55am ET $39.76 242 $9,620.71 $9,644.30 +$37.51
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $39.80 242 $9,631.60
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $39.92 242 $9,659.43 $9,672.13 +$27.83
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $44.23 218 $9,641.86
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $44.36 218 $9,669.41 $9,699.68 +$27.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.40 209 $9,697.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $46.22 209 $9,658.94 $9,661.02 $-38.67
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET $46.76 206 $9,633.59
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $47.15 206 $9,712.90 $9,740.33 +$79.31
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $46.01 211 $9,708.13
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $45.90 211 $9,685.95 $9,718.15 $-22.18
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $47.53 204 $9,697.14
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.42 204 $9,674.70 $9,695.71 $-22.44
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $48.87 198 $9,677.15
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $49.06 198 $9,712.89 $9,731.45 +$35.74
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:50am ET $48.67 199 $9,685.33
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 11:55am ET $48.38 199 $9,627.62 $9,673.74 $-57.71
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $48.74 198 $9,649.55
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $49.01 198 $9,703.90 $9,728.09 +$54.35
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $49.88 195 $9,725.63
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $49.78 195 $9,708.07 $9,710.54 $-17.55
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $49.38 196 $9,679.46
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:30am ET $49.70 196 $9,741.20 $9,772.28 +$61.74
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:30am ET $48.96 199 $9,743.04
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $49.10 199 $9,769.91 $9,799.15 +$26.87
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $49.67 197 $9,785.97
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET $50.28 197 $9,905.16 $9,918.33 +$119.18
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET $50.31 197 $9,912.05
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $50.76 197 $9,999.72 $10,005.99 +$87.66
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $51.01 196 $9,998.94
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $50.84 196 $9,964.64 $9,971.69 $-34.30
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $50.75 196 $9,947.00
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:50am ET $50.78 196 $9,953.86 $9,978.55 +$6.86
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.63 197 $9,973.87
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $50.76 197 $9,999.92 $10,004.59 +$26.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET $49.97 200 $9,994.00
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:05am ET $50.40 200 $10,081.00 $10,091.59 +$87.00
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.24 196 $10,042.06
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET $51.34 196 $10,062.64 $10,112.17 +$20.58
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET $50.43 200 $10,086.02
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:10am ET $50.96 200 $10,192.00 $10,218.15 +$105.98
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $49.53 206 $10,203.18
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.56 206 $10,208.33 $10,223.30 +$5.15
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.13 203 $10,176.39
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET $50.24 203 $10,199.73 $10,246.64 +$23.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.03 200 $10,205.00
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $50.62 200 $10,123.98 $10,165.62 $-81.02
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $50.88 199 $10,125.12
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $51.02 199 $10,152.98 $10,193.48 +$27.86
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $50.15 203 $10,181.46
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:40pm ET $50.30 203 $10,210.90 $10,222.92 +$29.44
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $49.53 206 $10,202.15
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:55am ET $49.37 206 $10,169.19 $10,189.96 $-32.96
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $49.40 206 $10,175.37
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $49.51 206 $10,199.06 $10,213.65 +$23.69
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $49.01 208 $10,194.08
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $48.74 208 $10,138.96 $10,158.53 $-55.12
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $47.04 215 $10,113.60
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $46.76 215 $10,054.47 $10,099.40 $-59.13
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $45.75 220 $10,065.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET $45.85 220 $10,088.10 $10,122.50 +$23.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $44.97 225 $10,117.13
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $45.09 225 $10,145.25 $10,150.63 +$28.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $46.38 218 $10,111.93
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $46.52 218 $10,141.36 $10,180.06 +$29.43
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $46.58 218 $10,153.35
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.53 218 $10,142.45 $10,169.16 $-10.90
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $45.92 221 $10,148.32
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $45.58 221 $10,072.08 $10,092.92 $-76.24
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $47.22 213 $10,056.80
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $47.28 213 $10,071.70 $10,107.83 +$14.91
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $47.28 213 $10,069.58
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $47.87 213 $10,195.25 $10,233.50 +$125.67
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $46.76 218 $10,192.59
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.50 218 $10,137.00 $10,177.91 $-55.59
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
70 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $47.90 212 $10,155.86
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.99 212 $10,173.88 $10,195.93 +$18.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
71 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $47.28 215 $10,164.13
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $47.42 215 $10,195.28 $10,227.08 +$31.15
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,227.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$227.08
Total Return: +2.27%
Back to Professor Mean