Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 12.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

23
+0.3%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.1 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,121
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
134 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,679.30
Current Value
$9,253.90
Period P&L
$-425.45
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
45 / 24
Best Trade
+1.71%
Worst Trade
-3.47%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,305,303.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-425.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-425.45
Gross Return
-4.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 134 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,679.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 3:40pm ET $86.12 112 $9,644.88
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $84.25 112 $9,436.07 $9,470.55 $-208.81
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:40pm ET $86.20 109 $9,395.80
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $86.57 109 $9,436.13 $9,510.88 +$40.33
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:50am ET $85.77 110 $9,434.70
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:10am ET $86.28 110 $9,490.25 $9,566.43 +$55.55
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:35pm ET $84.79 112 $9,495.92
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $85.05 112 $9,525.60 $9,596.11 +$29.68
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:20pm ET $84.20 113 $9,514.60
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $84.48 113 $9,546.24 $9,627.75 +$31.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET $84.84 113 $9,586.92
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET $83.64 113 $9,451.32 $9,492.15 $-135.60
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $82.57 114 $9,412.98
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET $83.03 114 $9,465.42 $9,544.59 +$52.44
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:50pm ET $84.99 112 $9,518.88
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $85.48 112 $9,573.76 $9,599.47 +$54.88
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $85.46 112 $9,570.96
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:05am ET $85.92 112 $9,623.04 $9,651.55 +$52.08
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:35pm ET $85.64 112 $9,591.12
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:25pm ET $85.39 112 $9,563.12 $9,623.55 $-28.00
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $86.33 111 $9,582.08
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $86.69 111 $9,622.59 $9,664.07 +$40.51
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:15am ET $90.10 107 $9,640.70
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 12:15pm ET $90.31 107 $9,662.64 $9,686.00 +$21.94
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $89.83 107 $9,611.81
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $90.07 107 $9,637.49 $9,711.68 +$25.68
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:40am ET $88.49 109 $9,645.41
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:20am ET $89.03 109 $9,704.27 $9,770.54 +$58.86
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:40pm ET $93.02 105 $9,766.58
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:15am ET $92.96 105 $9,760.80 $9,764.77 $-5.78
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 11:30am ET $93.02 104 $9,674.18
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:50pm ET $92.81 104 $9,652.24 $9,742.82 $-21.94
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:25pm ET $92.76 105 $9,739.80
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 2:55pm ET $92.77 105 $9,740.85 $9,743.87 +$1.05
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $93.96 103 $9,677.37
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:30pm ET $94.01 103 $9,682.52 $9,749.02 +$5.15
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 2:55pm ET $94.10 103 $9,692.40
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:30pm ET $94.31 103 $9,713.93 $9,770.55 +$21.53
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:10pm ET $94.91 102 $9,680.31
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:30pm ET $94.87 102 $9,676.23 $9,766.47 $-4.08
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $94.34 103 $9,716.51
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:25am ET $94.26 103 $9,708.78 $9,758.74 $-7.72
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 12:25pm ET $93.61 104 $9,734.92
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 1:20pm ET $93.63 104 $9,737.00 $9,760.82 +$2.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $96.79 100 $9,678.50
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $96.87 100 $9,687.00 $9,769.32 +$8.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $96.11 101 $9,707.11
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $96.36 101 $9,731.86 $9,794.07 +$24.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $95.57 102 $9,748.14
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $95.79 102 $9,770.07 $9,816.00 +$21.93
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $94.37 104 $9,814.48
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $94.22 104 $9,798.88 $9,800.40 $-15.60
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $93.49 104 $9,722.96
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $93.51 104 $9,725.04 $9,802.48 +$2.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET $88.74 110 $9,760.85
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET $89.31 110 $9,824.10 $9,865.73 +$63.25
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $88.88 111 $9,865.13
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $87.18 111 $9,676.98 $9,677.58 $-188.14
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $86.64 111 $9,617.04
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $86.75 111 $9,629.25 $9,689.79 +$12.21
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $88.25 109 $9,619.25
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $87.01 109 $9,484.09 $9,554.63 $-135.16
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $87.98 108 $9,501.84
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $88.24 108 $9,530.01 $9,582.80 +$28.17
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $88.46 108 $9,553.68
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $88.92 108 $9,603.36 $9,632.48 +$49.68
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $90.11 106 $9,551.66
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $90.19 106 $9,560.14 $9,640.96 +$8.48
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $92.28 104 $9,597.29
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $92.42 104 $9,611.68 $9,655.35 +$14.39
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $93.09 103 $9,588.63
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $93.25 103 $9,605.26 $9,671.99 +$16.63
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $91.62 105 $9,620.10
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $91.98 105 $9,657.90 $9,709.79 +$37.80
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $94.32 102 $9,620.64
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $93.93 102 $9,580.86 $9,670.01 $-39.78
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $94.32 102 $9,621.15
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:15am ET $94.74 102 $9,662.97 $9,711.83 +$41.82
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $90.95 106 $9,640.70
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $89.21 106 $9,456.14 $9,527.27 $-184.56
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $87.58 108 $9,458.64
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $88.18 108 $9,523.44 $9,592.07 +$64.80
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $87.83 109 $9,573.47
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:45am ET $87.55 109 $9,542.95 $9,561.55 $-30.52
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET $87.54 109 $9,542.40
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $84.51 109 $9,211.59 $9,230.74 $-330.81
(-3.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:40am ET $86.34 106 $9,152.03
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $86.20 106 $9,137.20 $9,215.91 $-14.83
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $79.53 115 $9,145.95
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $80.89 115 $9,302.35 $9,372.31 +$156.40
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $82.90 113 $9,367.70
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $82.93 113 $9,370.53 $9,375.14 +$2.83
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:05am ET $82.55 113 $9,328.15
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $81.61 113 $9,221.93 $9,268.92 $-106.22
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $78.72 117 $9,210.24
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $78.48 117 $9,182.16 $9,240.84 $-28.08
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.38 117 $9,170.46
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $77.43 117 $9,059.31 $9,129.69 $-111.15
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.42 121 $9,125.82
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:55am ET $75.30 121 $9,111.30 $9,115.17 $-14.52
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $74.63 122 $9,104.86
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $74.78 122 $9,123.16 $9,133.47 +$18.30
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:30pm ET $76.17 119 $9,064.23
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $76.53 119 $9,106.48 $9,175.72 +$42.25
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $75.68 121 $9,157.28
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $75.53 121 $9,139.13 $9,157.57 $-18.15
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $77.77 117 $9,099.09
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $78.61 117 $9,197.95 $9,256.44 +$98.87
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $79.52 116 $9,224.32
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:30am ET $79.99 116 $9,278.26 $9,310.38 +$53.94
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $78.63 118 $9,278.34
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $77.79 118 $9,179.22 $9,211.26 $-99.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $77.00 119 $9,163.59
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $77.06 119 $9,170.14 $9,217.81 +$6.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $80.82 114 $9,213.48
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $80.85 114 $9,216.90 $9,221.23 +$3.42
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $81.21 113 $9,177.29
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET $81.44 113 $9,202.72 $9,246.66 +$25.43
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $85.83 107 $9,183.81
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $85.66 107 $9,165.62 $9,228.47 $-18.19
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $82.95 111 $9,207.45
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $82.29 111 $9,134.19 $9,155.21 $-73.26
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $80.40 113 $9,085.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $80.51 113 $9,098.19 $9,168.20 +$12.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $81.26 112 $9,101.12
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $81.91 112 $9,173.92 $9,241.00 +$72.80
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $81.92 112 $9,175.04
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $81.97 112 $9,180.64 $9,246.60 +$5.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $80.75 114 $9,204.93
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $80.94 114 $9,227.16 $9,268.83 +$22.23
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $79.98 115 $9,197.70
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $80.63 115 $9,272.45 $9,343.58 +$74.75
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $81.42 114 $9,281.88
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $81.50 114 $9,291.00 $9,352.70 +$9.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $80.77 115 $9,288.55
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $81.55 115 $9,378.25 $9,442.40 +$89.70
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
69 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $81.24 116 $9,423.26
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $79.61 116 $9,234.76 $9,253.90 $-188.50
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,253.90
Net Profit/Loss: $-746.10
Total Return: -7.46%
Back to Professor Mean