Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 38.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.4

30-Day Momentum

19
-0.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,050
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,489.46
Current Value
$11,572.68
Period P&L
$83.27
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
45 / 24
Best Trade
+2.21%
Worst Trade
-3.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,570,554.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$83.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$83.27
Gross Return
+0.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,489.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:45pm ET $102.41 112 $11,469.92
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $102.04 112 $11,427.92 $11,447.41 $-42.00
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET $103.15 110 $11,346.50
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:35am ET $103.30 110 $11,362.45 $11,463.36 +$15.95
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 11:25am ET $102.35 112 $11,462.64
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 12:10pm ET $102.69 112 $11,501.28 $11,502.00 +$38.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $102.60 112 $11,491.20
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:25pm ET $102.79 112 $11,512.49 $11,523.29 +$21.29
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:05pm ET $102.21 112 $11,446.96
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:15pm ET $101.91 112 $11,413.36 $11,489.69 $-33.60
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:05am ET $106.99 107 $11,447.93
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:20pm ET $105.87 107 $11,327.56 $11,369.32 $-120.38
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $104.80 108 $11,317.86
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:35pm ET $105.05 108 $11,345.40 $11,396.86 +$27.54
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $109.11 104 $11,347.44
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $109.60 104 $11,398.40 $11,447.82 +$50.96
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $111.22 102 $11,344.44
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:55am ET $111.36 102 $11,358.21 $11,461.59 +$13.77
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $114.14 100 $11,414.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $113.72 100 $11,372.00 $11,419.59 $-42.00
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 2:15pm ET $115.13 99 $11,397.87
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $114.56 99 $11,340.95 $11,362.66 $-56.92
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:15am ET $114.95 98 $11,265.57
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:30pm ET $114.22 98 $11,193.07 $11,290.16 $-72.50
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $116.38 97 $11,288.38
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $116.16 97 $11,267.52 $11,269.30 $-20.86
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:50am ET $115.22 97 $11,176.34
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:05am ET $115.59 97 $11,212.23 $11,305.19 +$35.89
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $115.51 97 $11,203.99
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 1:30pm ET $115.58 97 $11,210.78 $11,311.98 +$6.79
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET $113.62 99 $11,248.38
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 11:15am ET $113.01 99 $11,187.99 $11,251.59 $-60.39
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 2:30pm ET $111.64 100 $11,164.00
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:55am ET $111.08 100 $11,108.00 $11,195.59 $-56.00
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:25pm ET $111.57 100 $11,156.50
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:35pm ET $111.71 100 $11,171.00 $11,210.09 +$14.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:45am ET $112.22 99 $11,109.29
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:25am ET $112.23 99 $11,110.28 $11,211.08 +$0.99
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 12:50pm ET $111.37 100 $11,136.50
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 1:05pm ET $111.48 100 $11,147.55 $11,222.13 +$11.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $112.32 99 $11,119.19
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $112.59 99 $11,145.92 $11,248.86 +$26.73
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $112.63 99 $11,149.88
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $113.21 99 $11,207.79 $11,306.77 +$57.91
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $113.70 99 $11,255.81
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $112.80 99 $11,166.71 $11,217.67 $-89.10
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $112.90 99 $11,176.66
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $113.22 99 $11,208.76 $11,249.77 +$32.10
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $114.53 98 $11,223.94
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $117.06 98 $11,471.88 $11,497.71 +$247.94
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $119.81 95 $11,381.95
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $120.12 95 $11,410.93 $11,526.68 +$28.97
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $120.04 96 $11,523.84
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $119.79 96 $11,499.84 $11,502.68 $-24.00
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $118.25 97 $11,470.25
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $118.48 97 $11,492.80 $11,525.24 +$22.55
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $118.11 97 $11,456.67
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $118.29 97 $11,474.13 $11,542.70 +$17.46
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET $118.76 97 $11,519.72
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:10am ET $118.59 97 $11,502.75 $11,525.72 $-16.98
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $117.86 97 $11,432.42
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $118.00 97 $11,445.52 $11,538.82 +$13.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $117.74 98 $11,538.52
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.65 98 $11,529.70 $11,530.00 $-8.82
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $116.61 98 $11,427.78
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET $116.23 98 $11,390.54 $11,492.76 $-37.24
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $116.87 98 $11,453.26
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $117.25 98 $11,490.50 $11,530.00 +$37.24
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $128.07 90 $11,526.30
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $128.59 90 $11,572.95 $11,576.64 +$46.65
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $130.06 89 $11,575.34
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:25am ET $130.96 89 $11,655.44 $11,656.74 +$80.10
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:25am ET $128.01 91 $11,649.19
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $127.21 91 $11,576.11 $11,583.66 $-73.08
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $128.79 89 $11,461.87
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $129.05 89 $11,485.89 $11,607.69 +$24.03
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $133.13 87 $11,582.31
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $128.98 87 $11,221.26 $11,246.64 $-361.05
(-3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $126.04 89 $11,217.56
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $126.26 89 $11,237.14 $11,266.22 +$19.58
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:35pm ET $124.55 90 $11,209.50
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $123.08 90 $11,077.20 $11,133.92 $-132.30
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $126.04 88 $11,091.52
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $126.20 88 $11,105.60 $11,148.00 +$14.08
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:05am ET $125.56 88 $11,049.28
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET $126.43 88 $11,125.84 $11,224.56 +$76.56
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $124.54 90 $11,208.60
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $125.55 90 $11,299.50 $11,315.46 +$90.90
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $127.57 88 $11,226.33
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $127.86 88 $11,251.68 $11,340.81 +$25.35
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $127.33 89 $11,332.81
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET $127.59 89 $11,355.51 $11,363.50 +$22.69
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:55am ET $122.14 93 $11,358.56
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:20am ET $123.19 93 $11,456.67 $11,461.62 +$98.12
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $125.14 91 $11,387.74
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:00am ET $125.25 91 $11,397.75 $11,471.63 +$10.01
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:40am ET $125.66 91 $11,435.06
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:45am ET $125.40 91 $11,411.40 $11,447.97 $-23.66
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $125.63 91 $11,432.33
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $125.64 91 $11,433.24 $11,448.88 +$0.91
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $122.03 93 $11,348.33
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $122.60 93 $11,401.34 $11,501.89 +$53.01
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:10am ET $120.12 95 $11,411.40
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET $119.36 95 $11,339.67 $11,430.16 $-71.73
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $122.12 93 $11,357.16
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $123.11 93 $11,449.23 $11,522.23 +$92.07
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $122.55 94 $11,519.70
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $123.36 94 $11,595.84 $11,598.37 +$76.14
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $122.89 94 $11,551.65
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $123.27 94 $11,587.38 $11,634.10 +$35.73
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $123.36 94 $11,596.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $123.83 94 $11,640.49 $11,678.59 +$44.49
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $126.23 92 $11,613.16
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $123.39 92 $11,351.88 $11,417.31 $-261.28
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $129.05 88 $11,356.84
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $129.43 88 $11,389.84 $11,450.31 +$33.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $126.34 90 $11,370.60
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $126.62 90 $11,395.80 $11,475.51 +$25.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $122.74 93 $11,414.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $122.66 93 $11,407.38 $11,468.07 $-7.44
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $123.51 92 $11,362.92
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET $123.99 92 $11,407.08 $11,512.23 +$44.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET $124.67 92 $11,469.64
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $124.83 92 $11,484.36 $11,526.95 +$14.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $128.06 90 $11,525.40
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.99 90 $11,519.10 $11,520.65 $-6.30
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $129.07 89 $11,487.23
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $129.68 89 $11,541.51 $11,574.93 +$54.28
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:20am ET $130.79 88 $11,509.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:50am ET $131.61 88 $11,581.68 $11,647.53 +$72.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $129.52 89 $11,527.28
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $130.02 89 $11,571.78 $11,692.03 +$44.50
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $127.92 91 $11,640.72
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $127.15 91 $11,570.65 $11,621.96 $-70.07
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
68 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $131.35 88 $11,558.80
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $131.44 88 $11,566.72 $11,629.88 +$7.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
69 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $130.74 88 $11,505.12
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:50am ET $130.09 88 $11,447.92 $11,572.68 $-57.20
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,572.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,572.68
Total Return: +15.73%
Back to Professor Mean