AMGN Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 54 trades in period
+13.33%
Year to Date Return
$12,009.51
Current Value
72%
Win Rate
$10,596.50
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
35.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 35.2
30-Day Momentum
33
+1.4%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.7
Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,092
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,596.50
Current Value
$12,009.51
Period P&L
$1,413.04
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.56
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
39 /
15
Best Trade
+1.56%
Worst Trade
-0.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,197,397.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,413.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,413.04
Gross Return
+13.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,596.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $325.39 | 32 | $10,412.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $328.60 | 32 | $10,515.20 | $10,699.37 |
+$102.88 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $321.33 | 33 | $10,603.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $319.86 | 33 | $10,555.38 | $10,650.86 |
$-48.51 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $340.16 | 31 | $10,544.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $341.11 | 31 | $10,574.41 | $10,680.47 |
+$29.61 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $331.49 | 32 | $10,607.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $330.26 | 32 | $10,568.32 | $10,641.05 |
$-39.42 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $324.73 | 32 | $10,391.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $326.11 | 32 | $10,435.52 | $10,685.21 |
+$44.16 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.70 | 33 | $10,582.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $320.30 | 33 | $10,569.90 | $10,672.17 |
$-13.03 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $326.09 | 32 | $10,434.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $327.73 | 32 | $10,487.36 | $10,724.81 |
+$52.64 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $327.29 | 32 | $10,473.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $328.85 | 32 | $10,523.20 | $10,774.73 |
+$49.92 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $336.95 | 31 | $10,445.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $338.14 | 31 | $10,482.34 | $10,811.62 |
+$36.89 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:20pm ET | $346.90 | 31 | $10,753.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $345.73 | 31 | $10,717.78 | $10,775.50 |
$-36.12 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $346.90 | 31 | $10,753.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET | $348.67 | 31 | $10,808.62 | $10,830.21 |
+$54.72 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $347.74 | 31 | $10,779.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $349.24 | 31 | $10,826.44 | $10,876.71 |
+$46.50 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET | $344.30 | 31 | $10,673.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $345.16 | 31 | $10,699.81 | $10,903.11 |
+$26.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $343.55 | 31 | $10,650.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET | $343.65 | 31 | $10,653.15 | $10,906.21 |
+$3.10 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $340.22 | 32 | $10,887.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $338.72 | 32 | $10,839.04 | $10,858.21 |
$-48.00 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $366.59 | 29 | $10,631.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $368.65 | 29 | $10,690.85 | $10,917.95 |
+$59.74 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $377.23 | 28 | $10,562.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $377.18 | 28 | $10,561.04 | $10,916.55 |
$-1.40 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $367.92 | 29 | $10,669.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $368.68 | 29 | $10,691.59 | $10,938.32 |
+$21.77 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $373.27 | 29 | $10,824.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $374.89 | 29 | $10,871.81 | $10,985.45 |
+$47.13 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $375.80 | 29 | $10,898.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:35am ET | $377.64 | 29 | $10,951.42 | $11,038.67 |
+$53.22 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $373.55 | 29 | $10,833.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $374.15 | 29 | $10,850.35 | $11,055.93 |
+$17.26 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:10pm ET | $379.33 | 29 | $11,000.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $380.30 | 29 | $11,028.70 | $11,084.06 |
+$28.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:10pm ET | $382.92 | 28 | $10,721.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET | $383.67 | 28 | $10,742.62 | $11,104.92 |
+$20.86 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $387.97 | 28 | $10,863.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $388.30 | 28 | $10,872.40 | $11,114.16 |
+$9.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:10pm ET | $382.83 | 29 | $11,102.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $383.89 | 29 | $11,132.95 | $11,145.05 |
+$30.89 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $377.43 | 29 | $10,945.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $376.32 | 29 | $10,913.28 | $11,112.86 |
$-32.19 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $363.14 | 30 | $10,894.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $363.97 | 30 | $10,919.10 | $11,137.76 |
+$24.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $376.45 | 29 | $10,917.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $375.75 | 29 | $10,896.75 | $11,117.46 |
$-20.30 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $369.05 | 30 | $11,071.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:20pm ET | $370.73 | 30 | $11,121.90 | $11,167.86 |
+$50.40 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $366.48 | 30 | $10,994.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $369.58 | 30 | $11,087.40 | $11,260.86 |
+$93.00 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $365.14 | 30 | $10,954.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $366.70 | 30 | $11,000.85 | $11,307.51 |
+$46.65 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:05pm ET | $354.04 | 31 | $10,975.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $353.15 | 31 | $10,947.65 | $11,280.07 |
$-27.44 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $348.27 | 32 | $11,144.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $348.62 | 32 | $11,155.84 | $11,291.11 |
+$11.04 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $349.38 | 32 | $11,180.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $351.29 | 32 | $11,241.12 | $11,352.07 |
+$60.96 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $348.40 | 32 | $11,148.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.84 | 32 | $11,322.88 | $11,526.15 |
+$174.08 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.18 | 32 | $11,205.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $352.98 | 32 | $11,295.20 | $11,615.43 |
+$89.28 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $351.35 | 33 | $11,594.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $352.96 | 33 | $11,647.68 | $11,668.64 |
+$53.21 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $349.26 | 33 | $11,525.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $350.29 | 33 | $11,559.41 | $11,702.47 |
+$33.83 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 2:25pm ET | $350.73 | 33 | $11,574.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:10pm ET | $351.58 | 33 | $11,602.14 | $11,730.52 |
+$28.05 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.96 | 33 | $11,548.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $353.30 | 33 | $11,658.90 | $11,840.74 |
+$110.22 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $343.06 | 34 | $11,664.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:25pm ET | $341.98 | 34 | $11,627.32 | $11,804.02 |
$-36.72 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $349.40 | 33 | $11,530.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $348.97 | 33 | $11,516.01 | $11,789.83 |
$-14.19 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $352.66 | 33 | $11,637.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $352.60 | 33 | $11,635.64 | $11,787.68 |
$-2.15 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET | $346.03 | 34 | $11,765.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $346.78 | 34 | $11,790.52 | $11,813.18 |
+$25.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $348.70 | 33 | $11,507.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $346.12 | 33 | $11,421.96 | $11,728.04 |
$-85.14 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $347.01 | 33 | $11,451.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $347.46 | 33 | $11,466.18 | $11,742.92 |
+$14.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.83 | 33 | $11,676.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $356.42 | 33 | $11,761.86 | $11,828.56 |
+$85.64 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $342.30 | 34 | $11,638.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $342.71 | 34 | $11,652.31 | $11,842.67 |
+$14.11 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $344.09 | 34 | $11,699.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:20pm ET | $344.08 | 34 | $11,698.72 | $11,842.37 |
$-0.30 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.56 | 34 | $11,681.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $347.46 | 34 | $11,813.81 | $11,975.14 |
+$132.77 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $343.05 | 34 | $11,663.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $343.89 | 34 | $11,692.43 | $12,003.70 |
+$28.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.79 | 35 | $11,752.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $336.73 | 35 | $11,785.55 | $12,036.60 |
+$32.90 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $347.84 | 34 | $11,826.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $347.85 | 34 | $11,826.90 | $12,036.94 |
+$0.34 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.64 | 36 | $11,723.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $324.88 | 36 | $11,695.75 | $12,009.51 |
$-27.43 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,009.51
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,009.51
Total Return:
+20.10%