CMCSA Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 48 trades in period
-8.49%
Year to Date Return
$8,242.31
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,007.37
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
13.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 13.4
30-Day Momentum
20
-7.2%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.3
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,841
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,007.37
Current Value
$8,242.31
Period P&L
$-765.09
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
32 /
16
Best Trade
+1.34%
Worst Trade
-8.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
9.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$867,650.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-765.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-765.09
Gross Return
-8.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.49%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,007.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.71 | 303 | $9,002.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.52 | 303 | $8,944.56 | $8,949.83 |
$-57.57 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.79 | 322 | $8,946.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $28.16 | 322 | $9,066.39 | $9,069.45 |
+$119.62 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $27.34 | 331 | $9,047.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $27.38 | 331 | $9,061.13 | $9,082.69 |
+$13.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.53 | 329 | $9,057.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $27.84 | 329 | $9,159.36 | $9,184.68 |
+$101.99 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $28.37 | 323 | $9,161.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.58 | 323 | $9,229.73 | $9,252.51 |
+$67.83 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $28.97 | 319 | $9,241.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:10pm ET | $28.79 | 319 | $9,184.01 | $9,195.09 |
$-57.42 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $28.35 | 324 | $9,185.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $28.42 | 324 | $9,208.08 | $9,217.94 |
+$22.84 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $28.33 | 325 | $9,205.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $28.36 | 325 | $9,217.00 | $9,229.31 |
+$11.38 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.76 | 332 | $9,216.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.88 | 332 | $9,256.16 | $9,269.15 |
+$39.84 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $29.26 | 316 | $9,244.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $29.14 | 316 | $9,206.66 | $9,231.23 |
$-37.92 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:35pm ET | $29.38 | 314 | $9,223.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $29.41 | 314 | $9,233.17 | $9,240.65 |
+$9.42 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $28.85 | 320 | $9,232.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.94 | 320 | $9,259.20 | $9,267.85 |
+$27.20 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $29.45 | 314 | $9,247.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:20pm ET | $29.53 | 314 | $9,270.85 | $9,291.40 |
+$23.55 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $29.65 | 313 | $9,278.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $29.60 | 313 | $9,266.36 | $9,278.88 |
$-12.52 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET | $30.86 | 300 | $9,258.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $30.82 | 300 | $9,246.00 | $9,266.85 |
$-12.03 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.20 | 296 | $9,236.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $31.05 | 296 | $9,190.80 | $9,220.97 |
$-45.88 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $32.65 | 282 | $9,207.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $32.58 | 282 | $9,188.97 | $9,202.64 |
$-18.33 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $31.79 | 289 | $9,187.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $31.55 | 289 | $9,116.94 | $9,132.27 |
$-70.37 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $31.32 | 291 | $9,115.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:15pm ET | $31.42 | 291 | $9,144.67 | $9,161.84 |
+$29.57 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $31.28 | 292 | $9,135.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $31.46 | 292 | $9,186.32 | $9,212.94 |
+$51.10 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $31.51 | 292 | $9,202.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $31.69 | 292 | $9,253.48 | $9,264.04 |
+$51.10 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:25pm ET | $30.93 | 299 | $9,248.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:05pm ET | $30.86 | 299 | $9,228.63 | $9,244.60 |
$-19.44 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.71 | 301 | $9,243.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $30.71 | 301 | $9,244.97 | $9,245.86 |
+$1.26 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $30.77 | 300 | $9,232.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $30.82 | 300 | $9,246.00 | $9,259.36 |
+$13.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.85 | 300 | $9,255.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $31.06 | 300 | $9,318.00 | $9,322.36 |
+$63.00 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.26 | 298 | $9,316.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $31.33 | 298 | $9,336.64 | $9,342.03 |
+$19.67 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $30.90 | 302 | $9,331.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $30.97 | 302 | $9,352.94 | $9,363.17 |
+$21.14 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $30.33 | 308 | $9,343.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:00pm ET | $30.19 | 308 | $9,300.06 | $9,320.05 |
$-43.12 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $30.17 | 308 | $9,290.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $30.25 | 308 | $9,315.46 | $9,344.69 |
+$24.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $30.42 | 307 | $9,337.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 12:25pm ET | $28.92 | 307 | $8,879.97 | $8,887.26 |
$-457.43 (-4.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
22.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:55pm ET | $28.78 | 308 | $8,864.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $28.86 | 308 | $8,888.88 | $8,911.90 |
+$24.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $28.94 | 307 | $8,884.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $29.16 | 307 | $8,950.59 | $8,977.91 |
+$66.01 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $29.48 | 304 | $8,962.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $29.35 | 304 | $8,923.92 | $8,939.30 |
$-38.61 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $28.67 | 311 | $8,916.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $28.74 | 311 | $8,938.14 | $8,961.07 |
+$21.77 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $28.49 | 314 | $8,944.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $28.38 | 314 | $8,909.75 | $8,926.53 |
$-34.54 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $28.81 | 309 | $8,900.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $28.94 | 309 | $8,944.00 | $8,969.79 |
+$43.26 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.24 | 317 | $8,952.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $27.96 | 317 | $8,863.32 | $8,881.03 |
$-88.76 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $27.89 | 318 | $8,867.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.99 | 318 | $8,900.82 | $8,914.42 |
+$33.39 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.56 | 323 | $8,900.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.69 | 323 | $8,945.48 | $8,959.64 |
+$45.22 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $28.05 | 319 | $8,947.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $27.72 | 319 | $8,841.09 | $8,852.78 |
$-106.86 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $28.18 | 314 | $8,848.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $28.19 | 314 | $8,853.23 | $8,857.46 |
+$4.68 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $29.64 | 298 | $8,831.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $29.64 | 298 | $8,831.23 | $8,857.46 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $29.95 | 295 | $8,836.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:00pm ET | $30.00 | 295 | $8,848.53 | $8,869.26 |
+$11.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:45pm ET | $29.25 | 303 | $8,864.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $29.42 | 303 | $8,914.26 | $8,919.26 |
+$50.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.29 | 294 | $8,905.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $27.76 | 294 | $8,161.44 | $8,175.44 |
$-743.82 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $27.60 | 296 | $8,171.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $27.63 | 296 | $8,177.00 | $8,181.36 |
+$5.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $26.80 | 305 | $8,172.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $26.94 | 305 | $8,216.70 | $8,225.59 |
+$44.23 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.99 | 304 | $8,204.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $27.05 | 304 | $8,221.68 | $8,242.31 |
+$16.72 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,242.31
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,757.69
Total Return:
-17.58%