COP Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 45 trades in period
+3.88%
Year to Date Return
$9,663.33
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$9,302.16
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
11.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.9
30-Day Momentum
11
-2.6%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,437
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,302.16
Current Value
$9,663.33
Period P&L
$361.22
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
33 /
12
Best Trade
+1.35%
Worst Trade
-2.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
5.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$859,810.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$361.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$361.22
Gross Return
+3.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.88%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,302.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $96.39 | 96 | $9,252.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $96.69 | 96 | $9,282.24 | $9,331.38 |
+$29.28 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $98.99 | 94 | $9,305.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $99.08 | 94 | $9,313.52 | $9,339.84 |
+$8.46 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $94.33 | 99 | $9,338.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.37 | 99 | $9,441.63 | $9,442.80 |
+$102.96 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:00pm ET | $98.88 | 95 | $9,393.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $98.94 | 95 | $9,398.83 | $9,448.03 |
+$5.23 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:25pm ET | $96.55 | 97 | $9,364.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $96.73 | 97 | $9,382.81 | $9,465.97 |
+$17.95 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $99.97 | 94 | $9,397.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $99.51 | 94 | $9,353.61 | $9,422.40 |
$-43.57 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $97.80 | 96 | $9,388.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $97.92 | 96 | $9,400.32 | $9,433.92 |
+$11.52 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $95.40 | 98 | $9,349.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $95.22 | 98 | $9,331.56 | $9,416.28 |
$-17.64 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.29 | 97 | $9,340.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $96.50 | 97 | $9,360.43 | $9,436.59 |
+$20.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:20am ET | $98.41 | 95 | $9,348.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:15pm ET | $98.68 | 95 | $9,374.13 | $9,462.24 |
+$25.65 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET | $98.23 | 96 | $9,430.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $98.42 | 96 | $9,447.84 | $9,480.00 |
+$17.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $100.67 | 94 | $9,462.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $101.33 | 94 | $9,525.03 | $9,542.52 |
+$62.52 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:40pm ET | $104.23 | 91 | $9,484.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $104.71 | 91 | $9,528.16 | $9,585.74 |
+$43.22 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.45 | 94 | $9,536.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $102.36 | 94 | $9,621.37 | $9,670.81 |
+$85.07 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $103.74 | 93 | $9,647.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:30pm ET | $104.21 | 93 | $9,691.53 | $9,714.99 |
+$44.17 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.42 | 92 | $9,698.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $104.04 | 92 | $9,572.14 | $9,588.95 |
$-126.04 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $107.14 | 89 | $9,535.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $107.40 | 89 | $9,559.04 | $9,612.09 |
+$23.14 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $108.39 | 88 | $9,538.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $108.65 | 88 | $9,561.20 | $9,634.97 |
+$22.88 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
18m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.76 | 86 | $9,525.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $108.79 | 86 | $9,356.37 | $9,465.55 |
$-169.42 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 1:30pm ET | $111.31 | 85 | $9,461.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 2:05pm ET | $111.77 | 85 | $9,500.45 | $9,504.65 |
+$39.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.23 | 87 | $9,503.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $108.77 | 87 | $9,462.99 | $9,464.63 |
$-40.02 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $109.33 | 86 | $9,402.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 11:50am ET | $109.42 | 86 | $9,410.12 | $9,471.94 |
+$7.31 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $118.77 | 79 | $9,382.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET | $119.12 | 79 | $9,410.48 | $9,499.59 |
+$27.65 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $115.98 | 81 | $9,394.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $116.58 | 81 | $9,443.38 | $9,548.59 |
+$49.00 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $117.35 | 81 | $9,505.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $117.70 | 81 | $9,533.70 | $9,576.86 |
+$28.27 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $114.95 | 83 | $9,540.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $116.37 | 83 | $9,658.71 | $9,694.72 |
+$117.86 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.39 | 81 | $9,670.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $120.42 | 81 | $9,754.02 | $9,778.15 |
+$83.43 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $120.73 | 80 | $9,658.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $121.72 | 80 | $9,737.60 | $9,857.35 |
+$79.20 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $123.81 | 79 | $9,780.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.71 | 79 | $9,851.70 | $9,928.06 |
+$70.71 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $126.72 | 78 | $9,884.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $127.04 | 78 | $9,909.12 | $9,953.02 |
+$24.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $127.58 | 78 | $9,951.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.99 | 78 | $10,061.22 | $10,063.00 |
+$109.98 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.24 | 78 | $10,002.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $129.02 | 78 | $10,063.56 | $10,123.84 |
+$60.84 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $133.86 | 75 | $10,039.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.20 | 75 | $10,140.00 | $10,224.34 |
+$100.50 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $134.14 | 76 | $10,194.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:40pm ET | $130.13 | 76 | $9,889.88 | $9,919.58 |
$-304.76 (-3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $132.35 | 74 | $9,793.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $131.97 | 74 | $9,765.78 | $9,891.83 |
$-27.75 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $126.17 | 78 | $9,840.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET | $123.83 | 78 | $9,659.13 | $9,710.09 |
$-181.74 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $123.65 | 78 | $9,644.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $122.93 | 78 | $9,588.54 | $9,653.67 |
$-56.42 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $117.71 | 82 | $9,652.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $118.39 | 82 | $9,707.98 | $9,709.02 |
+$55.35 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.88 | 83 | $9,618.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $113.93 | 83 | $9,456.60 | $9,547.59 |
$-161.43 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $117.28 | 81 | $9,499.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.19 | 81 | $9,492.39 | $9,540.30 |
$-7.29 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.64 | 77 | $9,520.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $120.91 | 77 | $9,310.07 | $9,330.09 |
$-210.21 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $123.63 | 75 | $9,272.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $123.89 | 75 | $9,291.38 | $9,349.22 |
+$19.13 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.89 | 74 | $9,241.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $126.57 | 74 | $9,366.18 | $9,473.91 |
+$124.69 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $121.99 | 77 | $9,393.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $123.58 | 77 | $9,515.66 | $9,596.34 |
+$122.43 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $123.85 | 77 | $9,536.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $124.72 | 77 | $9,603.44 | $9,663.33 |
+$66.99 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,663.33
Net Profit/Loss:
$-336.67
Total Return:
-3.37%