DKNG Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 51 trades in period
-14.28%
Year to Date Return
$11,768.45
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$13,729.56
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
29.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 28.9
30-Day Momentum
19
-4.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,845
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,729.56
Current Value
$11,768.45
Period P&L
$-1,961.10
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
32 /
19
Best Trade
+3.42%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,263,596.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,961.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,961.10
Gross Return
-14.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.28%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,729.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.55 | 386 | $13,722.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $35.86 | 386 | $13,841.96 | $13,849.19 |
+$119.66 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $36.07 | 383 | $13,814.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:20am ET | $34.45 | 383 | $13,192.44 | $13,226.81 |
$-622.38 (-4.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
22.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $36.21 | 365 | $13,216.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $36.06 | 365 | $13,161.90 | $13,172.06 |
$-54.75 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $35.19 | 374 | $13,161.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.53 | 374 | $12,912.35 | $12,923.35 |
$-248.71 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $34.31 | 376 | $12,900.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $34.47 | 376 | $12,960.72 | $12,983.51 |
+$60.16 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $34.39 | 377 | $12,963.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $34.42 | 377 | $12,976.34 | $12,996.71 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $35.61 | 364 | $12,963.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $35.62 | 364 | $12,965.68 | $12,998.71 |
+$2.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.82 | 408 | $12,982.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $31.48 | 408 | $12,841.80 | $12,858.20 |
$-140.52 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $31.59 | 407 | $12,857.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:20pm ET | $31.69 | 407 | $12,895.80 | $12,896.86 |
+$38.66 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:40pm ET | $30.90 | 417 | $12,883.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $31.21 | 417 | $13,012.49 | $13,026.13 |
+$129.27 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $29.92 | 435 | $13,015.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $30.07 | 435 | $13,078.28 | $13,089.21 |
+$63.07 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $30.38 | 430 | $13,063.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $30.56 | 430 | $13,140.80 | $13,166.61 |
+$77.40 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $30.23 | 435 | $13,147.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.00 | 435 | $13,050.00 | $13,068.73 |
$-97.88 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.00 | 450 | $13,050.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $27.88 | 450 | $12,545.64 | $12,564.37 |
$-504.36 (-3.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $27.63 | 454 | $12,541.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.90 | 454 | $12,212.60 | $12,235.22 |
$-329.15 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $27.56 | 443 | $12,209.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $27.16 | 443 | $12,031.84 | $12,057.98 |
$-177.24 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $26.84 | 449 | $12,053.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $26.78 | 449 | $12,026.46 | $12,031.04 |
$-26.94 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $27.11 | 443 | $12,009.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.14 | 443 | $12,020.81 | $12,042.11 |
+$11.07 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
12m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.84 | 448 | $12,026.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.59 | 448 | $11,912.36 | $11,927.91 |
$-114.20 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $23.21 | 513 | $11,906.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $23.25 | 513 | $11,924.69 | $11,945.87 |
+$17.96 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.20 | 538 | $11,943.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $22.38 | 538 | $12,040.44 | $12,042.71 |
+$96.84 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:10pm ET | $21.78 | 552 | $12,022.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.83 | 552 | $12,047.40 | $12,067.55 |
+$24.84 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $22.68 | 532 | $12,065.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $22.77 | 532 | $12,113.64 | $12,115.43 |
+$47.88 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.67 | 534 | $12,106.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $23.44 | 534 | $12,519.63 | $12,528.91 |
+$413.48 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $24.52 | 510 | $12,507.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.66 | 510 | $12,574.05 | $12,595.21 |
+$66.30 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $24.89 | 506 | $12,594.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $25.25 | 506 | $12,776.50 | $12,777.37 |
+$182.16 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.81 | 515 | $12,777.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $24.61 | 515 | $12,674.15 | $12,674.37 |
$-103.00 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.73 | 512 | $12,661.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $24.93 | 512 | $12,766.72 | $12,779.33 |
+$104.96 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $26.00 | 491 | $12,766.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $26.24 | 491 | $12,881.39 | $12,894.72 |
+$115.39 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $25.95 | 496 | $12,873.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:00pm ET | $25.79 | 496 | $12,791.89 | $12,812.93 |
$-81.79 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $25.03 | 511 | $12,790.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.63 | 511 | $12,585.93 | $12,608.48 |
$-204.45 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:20pm ET | $25.70 | 490 | $12,595.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $25.71 | 490 | $12,597.90 | $12,610.93 |
+$2.45 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.75 | 509 | $12,597.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $24.08 | 509 | $12,256.72 | $12,269.90 |
$-341.03 (-2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.45 | 523 | $12,264.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $23.53 | 523 | $12,306.19 | $12,311.74 |
+$41.84 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:10pm ET | $21.57 | 570 | $12,294.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $21.61 | 570 | $12,317.70 | $12,334.54 |
+$22.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.09 | 584 | $12,319.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $20.84 | 584 | $12,173.48 | $12,188.54 |
$-146.00 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $20.75 | 587 | $12,183.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $20.84 | 587 | $12,236.01 | $12,241.37 |
+$52.83 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $22.34 | 547 | $12,219.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $22.34 | 547 | $12,222.71 | $12,244.10 |
+$2.73 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $22.79 | 537 | $12,238.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $22.92 | 537 | $12,305.36 | $12,311.23 |
+$67.13 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.70 | 519 | $12,300.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $22.50 | 519 | $11,680.09 | $11,691.02 |
$-620.21 (-5.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $21.85 | 534 | $11,670.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $21.90 | 534 | $11,694.60 | $11,715.05 |
+$24.03 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $22.49 | 520 | $11,694.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $22.56 | 520 | $11,728.60 | $11,748.85 |
+$33.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $23.67 | 496 | $11,742.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.79 | 496 | $11,799.84 | $11,805.89 |
+$57.04 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $23.53 | 501 | $11,788.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $22.92 | 501 | $11,485.42 | $11,502.78 |
$-303.11 (-2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $23.18 | 496 | $11,497.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $23.06 | 496 | $11,437.76 | $11,443.26 |
$-59.52 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $22.38 | 511 | $11,433.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $22.59 | 511 | $11,543.49 | $11,553.13 |
+$109.87 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.09 | 500 | $11,545.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.33 | 500 | $11,665.00 | $11,673.13 |
+$120.00 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $23.29 | 501 | $11,668.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $23.36 | 501 | $11,703.36 | $11,708.20 |
+$35.07 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $22.92 | 510 | $11,689.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $22.98 | 510 | $11,717.25 | $11,736.30 |
+$28.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.01 | 510 | $11,735.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $22.98 | 510 | $11,717.25 | $11,718.45 |
$-17.85 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.41 | 500 | $11,702.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $23.50 | 500 | $11,752.50 | $11,768.45 |
+$50.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,768.45
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,768.45
Total Return:
+17.68%