DOGEUSD Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 21 trades in period
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 30, 2025 | $97.52 | 1,015 | $17,447.45 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $3,945.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:55am ET | $0.1226 | 33,580 | $4,117.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $0.1244 | 33,580 | $4,175.70 | $4,154.96 |
+$37.70 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 6:45am ET | $0.1288 | 32,267 | $4,154.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 7:30am ET | $0.1308 | 32,267 | $4,221.43 | $4,200.49 |
+$45.53 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 3, 2026 2:20am ET | $0.1401 | 29,972 | $4,200.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2026 7:40pm ET | $0.1460 | 29,972 | $4,376.83 | $4,355.38 |
+$154.89 (+4.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $0.1505 | 28,939 | $4,355.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 4:20pm ET | $0.1494 | 28,939 | $4,324.42 | $4,302.72 |
$-52.66 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:15am ET | $0.1432 | 30,051 | $4,302.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $0.1429 | 30,051 | $4,294.91 | $4,273.41 |
$-29.31 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.1402 | 30,485 | $4,273.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.1271 | 30,485 | $3,874.06 | $3,853.69 |
$-419.72 (-9.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $0.1268 | 30,389 | $3,853.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 8:30pm ET | $0.1272 | 30,389 | $3,866.45 | $3,847.15 |
$-6.54 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $0.1212 | 31,750 | $3,847.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $0.1263 | 31,750 | $4,010.03 | $3,990.39 |
+$143.23 (+4.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.1168 | 34,174 | $3,990.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $0.1179 | 34,174 | $4,028.31 | $4,008.26 |
+$17.88 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $0.1068 | 37,516 | $4,008.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $0.1016 | 37,516 | $3,811.68 | $3,792.13 |
$-216.14 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.1023 | 37,065 | $3,792.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.1049 | 37,065 | $3,886.88 | $3,867.68 |
+$75.56 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:20pm ET | $0.1008 | 38,370 | $3,867.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:45pm ET | $0.1030 | 38,370 | $3,950.56 | $3,931.01 |
+$63.33 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:25am ET | $0.1007 | 39,029 | $3,931.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:15am ET | $0.1020 | 39,029 | $3,980.19 | $3,960.41 |
+$29.40 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.0975 | 40,603 | $3,960.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $0.0948 | 40,603 | $3,847.13 | $3,827.61 |
$-132.80 (-2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $0.0886 | 43,211 | $3,827.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 4:00pm ET | $0.0905 | 43,211 | $3,912.31 | $3,892.96 |
+$65.34 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $0.0864 | 45,063 | $3,892.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.0824 | 45,063 | $3,711.35 | $3,692.34 |
$-200.61 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.0816 | 45,233 | $3,692.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET | $0.0883 | 45,233 | $3,992.69 | $3,973.47 |
+$281.13 (+8.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 2:15am ET | $0.0952 | 41,751 | $3,973.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:40am ET | $0.0940 | 41,751 | $3,924.42 | $3,904.67 |
$-68.80 (-1.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:15pm ET | $0.0916 | 42,606 | $3,904.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET | $0.0944 | 42,606 | $4,023.16 | $4,023.16 |
+$98.67 (+3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:40pm ET | $0.0996 | 40,376 | $4,023.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $0.0900 | 40,376 | $3,631.92 | $3,631.92 |
$-410.38 (-9.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:50am ET | $0.0887 | 40,931 | $3,631.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 2:40am ET | $0.0902 | 40,931 | $3,691.18 | $3,691.18 |
+$40.95 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)