HOOD Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 48 trades in period
-10.91%
Year to Date Return
$12,879.23
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$14,456.20
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
31.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 31.7
30-Day Momentum
18
+0.2%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.0
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,248
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$14,456.20
Current Value
$12,879.23
Period P&L
$-1,577.04
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
23 /
25
Best Trade
+6.30%
Worst Trade
-10.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
10.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,274,174.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,577.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,577.04
Gross Return
-10.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.91%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,456.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 1:15pm ET | $114.35 | 128 | $14,636.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $113.31 | 128 | $14,503.68 | $14,568.90 |
$-133.12 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $121.49 | 119 | $14,456.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $122.07 | 119 | $14,526.33 | $14,638.52 |
+$69.61 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.46 | 123 | $14,570.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $118.84 | 123 | $14,617.32 | $14,685.69 |
+$47.17 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $115.76 | 126 | $14,585.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.10 | 126 | $14,753.97 | $14,853.90 |
+$168.21 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $117.74 | 126 | $14,834.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $117.64 | 126 | $14,822.63 | $14,841.91 |
$-11.98 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $118.35 | 125 | $14,793.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $116.86 | 125 | $14,606.88 | $14,655.04 |
$-186.87 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $117.37 | 124 | $14,553.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:05pm ET | $115.86 | 124 | $14,366.64 | $14,467.80 |
$-187.24 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $109.19 | 132 | $14,412.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.79 | 132 | $13,964.29 | $14,019.62 |
$-448.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $106.51 | 131 | $13,952.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $105.92 | 131 | $13,875.52 | $13,942.33 |
$-77.29 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $107.97 | 129 | $13,928.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $107.74 | 129 | $13,897.82 | $13,911.38 |
$-30.95 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $105.53 | 131 | $13,824.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $105.42 | 131 | $13,810.02 | $13,896.95 |
$-14.44 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $103.35 | 134 | $13,848.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $102.42 | 134 | $13,724.28 | $13,772.33 |
$-124.62 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $101.70 | 135 | $13,729.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:20pm ET | $100.84 | 135 | $13,613.40 | $13,656.23 |
$-116.10 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $88.92 | 153 | $13,604.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $89.63 | 153 | $13,713.39 | $13,765.62 |
+$109.39 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.66 | 166 | $13,721.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $80.77 | 166 | $13,407.69 | $13,451.68 |
$-313.94 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $75.45 | 178 | $13,430.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.20 | 178 | $14,275.60 | $14,297.18 |
+$845.50 (+6.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $87.54 | 163 | $14,269.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $86.39 | 163 | $14,081.57 | $14,109.73 |
$-187.45 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $85.72 | 164 | $14,058.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.80 | 164 | $12,595.20 | $12,646.85 |
$-1,462.88 (-10.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.34 | 170 | $12,637.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $76.13 | 170 | $12,942.10 | $12,951.57 |
+$304.72 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $74.23 | 174 | $12,916.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $76.19 | 174 | $13,257.06 | $13,292.61 |
+$341.04 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 12:30pm ET | $74.34 | 178 | $13,232.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 1:45pm ET | $74.29 | 178 | $13,223.62 | $13,283.71 |
$-8.90 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.82 | 177 | $13,244.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $72.39 | 177 | $12,813.03 | $12,852.72 |
$-430.99 (-3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.98 | 166 | $12,778.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $75.30 | 166 | $12,499.80 | $12,573.84 |
$-278.88 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $78.52 | 160 | $12,563.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $78.97 | 160 | $12,635.20 | $12,645.84 |
+$72.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.99 | 162 | $12,634.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $78.43 | 162 | $12,705.94 | $12,717.40 |
+$71.56 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $76.98 | 165 | $12,701.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $77.35 | 165 | $12,762.75 | $12,778.40 |
+$61.00 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.03 | 163 | $12,718.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $79.57 | 163 | $12,970.72 | $13,030.23 |
+$251.83 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.17 | 168 | $12,964.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $76.55 | 168 | $12,860.64 | $12,926.31 |
$-103.92 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.16 | 169 | $12,871.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 11:35am ET | $75.92 | 169 | $12,830.65 | $12,885.92 |
$-40.39 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $72.85 | 176 | $12,821.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $73.30 | 176 | $12,900.80 | $12,965.12 |
+$79.20 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $70.36 | 184 | $12,946.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $70.72 | 184 | $13,012.48 | $13,030.99 |
+$65.87 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $72.59 | 179 | $12,993.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.50 | 179 | $12,798.50 | $12,835.88 |
$-195.11 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $72.46 | 177 | $12,824.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:25pm ET | $72.78 | 177 | $12,882.06 | $12,893.40 |
+$57.52 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.74 | 187 | $12,854.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $67.79 | 187 | $12,677.66 | $12,716.69 |
$-176.71 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $64.17 | 198 | $12,705.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:40pm ET | $64.43 | 198 | $12,757.14 | $12,768.17 |
+$51.48 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:35pm ET | $70.23 | 181 | $12,711.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $70.70 | 181 | $12,796.70 | $12,853.24 |
+$85.07 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $69.85 | 184 | $12,851.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.26 | 184 | $12,559.84 | $12,561.60 |
$-291.64 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $72.64 | 172 | $12,494.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $72.02 | 172 | $12,387.44 | $12,454.96 |
$-106.64 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.58 | 179 | $12,454.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $69.81 | 179 | $12,495.10 | $12,495.23 |
+$40.27 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $77.52 | 161 | $12,480.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $78.22 | 161 | $12,594.22 | $12,608.74 |
+$113.51 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $85.03 | 148 | $12,583.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $85.83 | 148 | $12,702.84 | $12,727.88 |
+$119.14 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $91.49 | 139 | $12,717.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $91.15 | 139 | $12,669.85 | $12,680.62 |
$-47.26 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $88.12 | 143 | $12,601.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $87.92 | 143 | $12,572.57 | $12,652.03 |
$-28.59 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.63 | 146 | $12,647.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $86.70 | 146 | $12,658.07 | $12,662.12 |
+$10.09 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $84.45 | 149 | $12,583.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $84.90 | 149 | $12,650.10 | $12,729.17 |
+$67.05 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $81.50 | 156 | $12,714.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $82.19 | 156 | $12,821.64 | $12,836.81 |
+$107.64 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $72.66 | 176 | $12,788.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $72.57 | 176 | $12,773.20 | $12,821.09 |
$-15.72 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $74.56 | 171 | $12,749.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.90 | 171 | $12,807.90 | $12,879.23 |
+$58.14 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,879.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,879.23
Total Return:
+28.79%