JPM Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 50 trades in period
+0.99%
Year to Date Return
$11,748.91
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$11,633.71
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
34.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 34.1
30-Day Momentum
49
+3.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.5
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,464
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,633.71
Current Value
$11,748.91
Period P&L
$115.17
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
31 /
19
Best Trade
+1.47%
Worst Trade
-2.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
5.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,122,409.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$115.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$115.17
Gross Return
+0.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.99%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,633.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $335.40 | 34 | $11,403.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $333.03 | 34 | $11,322.99 | $11,553.06 |
$-80.69 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:30pm ET | $325.90 | 35 | $11,406.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $327.18 | 35 | $11,451.30 | $11,598.03 |
+$44.98 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $329.72 | 35 | $11,540.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.50 | 35 | $11,567.50 | $11,625.33 |
+$27.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.47 | 36 | $11,608.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $323.01 | 36 | $11,628.36 | $11,644.95 |
+$19.62 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET | $312.26 | 37 | $11,553.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $309.61 | 37 | $11,455.50 | $11,546.73 |
$-98.22 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $310.35 | 37 | $11,482.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $311.28 | 37 | $11,517.36 | $11,581.14 |
+$34.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $314.03 | 36 | $11,305.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.66 | 36 | $11,075.76 | $11,351.83 |
$-229.32 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:15am ET | $302.66 | 37 | $11,198.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $302.47 | 37 | $11,191.39 | $11,344.80 |
$-7.03 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET | $304.78 | 37 | $11,276.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $300.24 | 37 | $11,108.88 | $11,176.82 |
$-167.98 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $299.58 | 37 | $11,084.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $299.29 | 37 | $11,073.55 | $11,165.90 |
$-10.91 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:40pm ET | $300.17 | 37 | $11,106.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $300.22 | 37 | $11,108.14 | $11,167.75 |
+$1.85 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $305.05 | 36 | $10,981.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $303.78 | 36 | $10,935.90 | $11,121.85 |
$-45.90 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $307.55 | 36 | $11,071.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $308.22 | 36 | $11,095.92 | $11,145.97 |
+$24.12 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $315.92 | 35 | $11,057.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $316.70 | 35 | $11,084.50 | $11,173.45 |
+$27.48 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:00pm ET | $322.29 | 34 | $10,957.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $322.06 | 34 | $10,950.04 | $11,165.63 |
$-7.82 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
54m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $314.73 | 35 | $11,015.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $311.32 | 35 | $10,896.20 | $11,046.28 |
$-119.35 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $305.81 | 36 | $11,009.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $306.03 | 36 | $11,017.08 | $11,054.20 |
+$7.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $309.88 | 35 | $10,845.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $310.12 | 35 | $10,854.20 | $11,062.60 |
+$8.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.29 | 35 | $10,790.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $310.74 | 35 | $10,875.90 | $11,148.35 |
+$85.75 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $294.72 | 37 | $10,904.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $295.10 | 37 | $10,918.52 | $11,162.23 |
+$13.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $305.99 | 36 | $11,015.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $300.50 | 36 | $10,818.00 | $10,964.59 |
$-197.64 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $294.08 | 37 | $10,880.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $297.18 | 37 | $10,995.66 | $11,079.29 |
+$114.70 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $290.53 | 38 | $11,040.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $294.82 | 38 | $11,202.97 | $11,242.12 |
+$162.83 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $297.98 | 37 | $11,025.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $298.45 | 37 | $11,042.65 | $11,259.51 |
+$17.39 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $293.07 | 38 | $11,136.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $293.62 | 38 | $11,157.56 | $11,280.41 |
+$20.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $286.47 | 39 | $11,172.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $283.18 | 39 | $11,044.02 | $11,152.16 |
$-128.25 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $289.73 | 38 | $11,009.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $288.00 | 38 | $10,944.00 | $11,086.42 |
$-65.74 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:45pm ET | $281.10 | 39 | $10,962.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $281.80 | 39 | $10,990.10 | $11,113.62 |
+$27.20 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $285.29 | 38 | $10,840.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $285.61 | 38 | $10,853.14 | $11,125.93 |
+$12.31 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $286.37 | 38 | $10,882.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $287.03 | 38 | $10,907.14 | $11,151.01 |
+$25.08 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $285.59 | 39 | $11,138.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $286.25 | 39 | $11,163.75 | $11,176.75 |
+$25.74 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $285.69 | 39 | $11,141.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $287.49 | 39 | $11,212.11 | $11,246.95 |
+$70.20 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $287.08 | 39 | $11,196.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $290.34 | 39 | $11,323.26 | $11,373.90 |
+$126.95 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $293.36 | 38 | $11,147.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:35am ET | $295.33 | 38 | $11,222.54 | $11,448.76 |
+$74.86 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $291.92 | 39 | $11,384.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $292.36 | 39 | $11,402.04 | $11,466.06 |
+$17.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $284.67 | 40 | $11,386.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $283.76 | 40 | $11,350.40 | $11,429.86 |
$-36.20 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $296.39 | 38 | $11,263.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $294.78 | 38 | $11,201.64 | $11,368.49 |
$-61.37 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $293.25 | 38 | $11,143.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $295.38 | 38 | $11,224.54 | $11,449.53 |
+$81.04 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $294.01 | 38 | $11,172.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $295.54 | 38 | $11,230.52 | $11,507.67 |
+$58.14 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $306.40 | 37 | $11,336.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $307.32 | 37 | $11,370.84 | $11,541.71 |
+$34.04 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.47 | 37 | $11,450.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $309.44 | 37 | $11,449.28 | $11,540.78 |
$-0.93 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $311.04 | 37 | $11,508.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:50am ET | $312.83 | 37 | $11,574.89 | $11,607.19 |
+$66.41 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $305.44 | 38 | $11,606.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $308.23 | 38 | $11,712.55 | $11,713.02 |
+$105.83 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $312.28 | 37 | $11,554.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $311.41 | 37 | $11,522.17 | $11,680.83 |
$-32.19 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $315.54 | 37 | $11,674.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $314.77 | 37 | $11,646.49 | $11,652.34 |
$-28.49 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $313.20 | 37 | $11,588.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $311.38 | 37 | $11,520.88 | $11,584.81 |
$-67.53 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $308.16 | 37 | $11,401.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $308.51 | 37 | $11,414.87 | $11,597.76 |
+$12.95 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $312.42 | 37 | $11,559.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $311.62 | 37 | $11,529.94 | $11,567.98 |
$-29.78 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $306.99 | 37 | $11,358.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $310.17 | 37 | $11,476.29 | $11,685.64 |
+$117.66 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $312.59 | 37 | $11,565.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $314.30 | 37 | $11,629.10 | $11,748.91 |
+$63.27 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,748.91
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,748.91
Total Return:
+17.49%