Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:30:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 26.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.6

30-Day Momentum

20
-3.0%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,507
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,416.21
Current Value
$11,589.44
Period P&L
$1,173.20
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
29 / 20
Best Trade
+13.56%
Worst Trade
-8.77%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
6.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,111,868.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,173.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,173.20
Gross Return
+11.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 49 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,416.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $198.90 52 $10,342.80
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $199.18 52 $10,357.36 $10,430.81 +$14.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $203.32 51 $10,369.32
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $203.12 51 $10,359.12 $10,420.61 $-10.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $185.34 56 $10,379.04
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $185.35 56 $10,379.60 $10,421.17 +$0.56
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $187.23 55 $10,297.38
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $189.02 55 $10,396.10 $10,519.90 +$98.73
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $186.34 56 $10,435.04
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $181.55 56 $10,166.92 $10,251.77 $-268.12
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $180.79 56 $10,123.96
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET $182.12 56 $10,198.44 $10,326.25 +$74.48
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET $175.50 58 $10,179.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $174.01 58 $10,092.29 $10,239.54 $-86.71
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $175.55 58 $10,181.61
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $174.32 58 $10,110.56 $10,168.49 $-71.05
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $189.65 53 $10,051.45
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $215.36 53 $11,414.08 $11,531.12 +$1,362.63
(+13.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $203.60 56 $11,401.60
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $198.62 56 $11,122.72 $11,252.24 $-278.88
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $179.96 62 $11,157.52
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $178.99 62 $11,097.38 $11,192.10 $-60.14
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $177.51 63 $11,183.13
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $178.56 63 $11,249.28 $11,258.25 +$66.15
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $182.59 61 $11,137.99
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.54 61 $11,134.94 $11,255.20 $-3.05
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $165.84 67 $11,111.28
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $165.75 67 $11,105.25 $11,249.17 $-6.03
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $172.49 65 $11,212.17
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $174.16 65 $11,320.40 $11,357.40 +$108.23
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.39 62 $11,184.18
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $196.97 62 $12,212.14 $12,385.36 +$1,027.96
(+9.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $186.28 66 $12,294.48
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $191.16 66 $12,616.89 $12,707.77 +$322.41
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $191.55 66 $12,642.63
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $192.53 66 $12,706.98 $12,772.12 +$64.35
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $174.26 73 $12,720.62
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $160.15 73 $11,691.31 $11,742.82 $-1,029.30
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:40am ET $163.23 71 $11,589.33
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET $166.07 71 $11,790.97 $11,944.46 +$201.64
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $169.53 70 $11,867.28
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:55am ET $168.81 70 $11,816.70 $11,893.88 $-50.58
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $179.54 66 $11,849.64
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $180.05 66 $11,883.30 $11,927.54 +$33.66
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $185.49 64 $11,871.36
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $186.37 64 $11,927.68 $11,983.86 +$56.32
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $190.00 63 $11,970.00
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $192.34 63 $12,117.42 $12,131.28 +$147.42
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $200.68 60 $12,041.10
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $199.38 60 $11,962.95 $12,053.13 $-78.15
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $209.76 57 $11,956.32
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $211.54 57 $12,057.77 $12,154.58 +$101.45
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $211.38 57 $12,048.66
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 2:50pm ET $212.98 57 $12,139.86 $12,245.78 +$91.20
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET $208.74 58 $12,106.92
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:10am ET $209.81 58 $12,168.98 $12,307.84 +$62.06
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $212.06 58 $12,299.48
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $212.74 58 $12,339.21 $12,347.57 +$39.73
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $225.89 54 $12,198.06
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET $226.15 54 $12,211.83 $12,361.34 +$13.77
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $217.04 56 $12,153.96
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET $216.57 56 $12,128.20 $12,335.58 $-25.76
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $219.35 56 $12,283.60
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $219.25 56 $12,278.00 $12,329.98 $-5.60
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $220.29 55 $12,115.68
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $217.42 55 $11,958.10 $12,172.40 $-157.58
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $209.55 58 $12,154.19
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $209.24 58 $12,135.92 $12,154.13 $-18.27
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $207.03 58 $12,007.74
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $202.63 58 $11,752.54 $11,898.93 $-255.20
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $208.87 56 $11,696.72
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:45am ET $209.68 56 $11,742.36 $11,944.57 +$45.64
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $211.26 56 $11,830.28
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $211.98 56 $11,870.88 $11,985.17 +$40.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $211.51 56 $11,844.57
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $205.20 56 $11,491.20 $11,631.80 $-353.37
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $184.45 63 $11,620.04
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $168.26 63 $10,600.69 $10,612.46 $-1,019.34
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $179.59 59 $10,595.81
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $179.54 59 $10,593.15 $10,609.81 $-2.65
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $196.22 54 $10,595.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $196.96 54 $10,635.84 $10,649.77 +$39.96
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $207.94 51 $10,604.94
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $208.50 51 $10,633.50 $10,678.33 +$28.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 53 $10,622.26
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $199.43 53 $10,569.53 $10,625.60 $-52.73
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $202.61 52 $10,535.72
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:15am ET $203.90 52 $10,602.80 $10,692.68 +$67.08
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $212.00 50 $10,600.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $214.96 50 $10,748.00 $10,840.68 +$148.00
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $205.48 52 $10,684.70
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $209.08 52 $10,872.16 $11,028.14 +$187.46
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $201.71 54 $10,892.34
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $204.47 54 $11,041.39 $11,177.18 +$149.04
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
48 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $216.77 51 $11,055.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $219.67 51 $11,203.17 $11,324.83 +$147.65
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
49 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $239.37 47 $11,250.39
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $245.00 47 $11,515.00 $11,589.44 +$264.61
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,589.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,589.44
Total Return: +15.89%
Back to Professor Mean