NFLX Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 48 trades in period
+9.14%
Year to Date Return
$12,026.21
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$11,019.41
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
32.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 31.8
30-Day Momentum
37
+2.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.6
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,405
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,019.41
Current Value
$12,026.21
Period P&L
$1,006.77
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
31 /
17
Best Trade
+11.06%
Worst Trade
-3.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
4.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,107,484.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,006.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,006.77
Gross Return
+9.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,019.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET | $93.87 | 117 | $10,982.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.26 | 117 | $10,794.42 | $10,879.01 |
$-187.78 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $91.69 | 118 | $10,818.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET | $91.68 | 118 | $10,818.24 | $10,878.32 |
$-0.70 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $90.59 | 120 | $10,870.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.58 | 120 | $10,989.60 | $10,997.12 |
+$118.80 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.64 | 122 | $10,936.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $90.58 | 122 | $11,050.76 | $11,111.80 |
+$114.68 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $89.69 | 123 | $11,031.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $89.62 | 123 | $11,022.65 | $11,103.19 |
$-8.61 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $89.19 | 124 | $11,059.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $88.92 | 124 | $11,025.46 | $11,069.11 |
$-34.08 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $88.86 | 124 | $11,018.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:05pm ET | $89.05 | 124 | $11,041.58 | $11,092.67 |
+$23.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $88.13 | 125 | $11,015.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET | $88.46 | 125 | $11,057.38 | $11,134.42 |
+$41.75 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.19 | 132 | $11,113.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $84.75 | 132 | $11,187.04 | $11,208.37 |
+$73.95 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $85.61 | 130 | $11,128.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:50pm ET | $85.78 | 130 | $11,151.40 | $11,231.12 |
+$22.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $85.71 | 131 | $11,227.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.71 | 131 | $11,097.01 | $11,100.77 |
$-130.35 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:35pm ET | $84.93 | 130 | $11,040.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.53 | 130 | $10,858.77 | $10,918.84 |
$-181.94 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $83.03 | 131 | $10,876.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $83.34 | 131 | $10,917.70 | $10,960.26 |
+$41.42 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $82.92 | 132 | $10,945.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:05pm ET | $83.07 | 132 | $10,964.58 | $10,979.40 |
+$19.14 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $79.59 | 137 | $10,903.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $79.86 | 137 | $10,940.14 | $11,015.71 |
+$36.31 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $80.70 | 136 | $10,975.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $81.31 | 136 | $11,057.48 | $11,097.99 |
+$82.28 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $81.15 | 136 | $11,036.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $81.33 | 136 | $11,060.88 | $11,122.47 |
+$24.48 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $82.42 | 134 | $11,043.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $81.18 | 134 | $10,878.79 | $10,957.65 |
$-164.82 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $75.92 | 144 | $10,931.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $76.14 | 144 | $10,964.16 | $10,990.05 |
+$32.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $77.61 | 141 | $10,943.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $77.81 | 141 | $10,971.21 | $11,017.54 |
+$27.49 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.58 | 142 | $11,016.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $75.89 | 142 | $10,777.09 | $10,778.27 |
$-239.27 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $84.81 | 127 | $10,770.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.19 | 127 | $11,962.47 | $11,969.87 |
+$1,191.60 (+11.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.68 | 125 | $11,959.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $96.43 | 125 | $12,053.75 | $12,064.24 |
+$94.37 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $98.65 | 122 | $12,035.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:40pm ET | $98.92 | 122 | $12,067.63 | $12,095.96 |
+$31.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $98.09 | 123 | $12,065.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $98.67 | 123 | $12,135.80 | $12,166.69 |
+$70.73 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $96.62 | 125 | $12,077.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $97.29 | 125 | $12,160.63 | $12,249.82 |
+$83.13 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:45am ET | $94.26 | 129 | $12,159.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:40pm ET | $94.43 | 129 | $12,182.11 | $12,272.90 |
+$23.08 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $94.25 | 130 | $12,251.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:25pm ET | $94.53 | 130 | $12,288.90 | $12,309.95 |
+$37.05 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $95.06 | 129 | $12,262.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $94.38 | 129 | $12,174.38 | $12,221.59 |
$-88.36 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $94.73 | 129 | $12,220.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 2:15pm ET | $91.14 | 129 | $11,757.05 | $11,758.47 |
$-463.12 (-3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
22.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.84 | 126 | $11,697.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $92.51 | 126 | $11,656.26 | $11,716.89 |
$-41.58 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $92.07 | 127 | $11,692.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $92.27 | 127 | $11,718.39 | $11,742.39 |
+$25.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $93.14 | 126 | $11,735.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $93.82 | 126 | $11,821.95 | $11,828.70 |
+$86.31 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $92.92 | 127 | $11,800.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $92.91 | 127 | $11,799.57 | $11,828.07 |
$-0.63 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $94.96 | 124 | $11,774.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $95.27 | 124 | $11,813.48 | $11,867.13 |
+$39.06 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $98.64 | 120 | $11,836.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 1:45pm ET | $98.90 | 120 | $11,868.60 | $11,898.93 |
+$31.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $98.87 | 120 | $11,864.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $99.12 | 120 | $11,894.41 | $11,928.94 |
+$30.01 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $101.66 | 117 | $11,894.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $101.92 | 117 | $11,924.06 | $11,958.77 |
+$29.83 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $103.35 | 115 | $11,885.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $103.45 | 115 | $11,896.74 | $11,970.27 |
+$11.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $106.71 | 112 | $11,951.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $107.54 | 112 | $12,044.48 | $12,063.23 |
+$92.96 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $94.23 | 128 | $12,061.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $94.07 | 128 | $12,040.32 | $12,042.11 |
$-21.12 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $93.09 | 129 | $12,008.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $93.07 | 129 | $12,006.67 | $12,040.18 |
$-1.93 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $92.82 | 129 | $11,974.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.45 | 129 | $11,926.05 | $11,991.81 |
$-48.38 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.85 | 130 | $11,940.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $92.40 | 130 | $12,011.74 | $12,063.05 |
+$71.24 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $90.52 | 133 | $12,039.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $90.64 | 133 | $12,054.46 | $12,078.35 |
+$15.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.19 | 132 | $12,037.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $92.57 | 132 | $12,219.24 | $12,260.51 |
+$182.16 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $93.55 | 131 | $12,255.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $92.33 | 131 | $12,095.23 | $12,100.69 |
$-159.82 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $90.94 | 133 | $12,095.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $90.39 | 133 | $12,021.21 | $12,026.21 |
$-74.48 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,026.21
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,026.21
Total Return:
+20.26%