Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:19:56

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 12.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

21
+0.5%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.2 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,119
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,853.68
Current Value
$9,609.84
Period P&L
$-243.89
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
28 / 20
Best Trade
+1.20%
Worst Trade
-2.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$926,969.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-243.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-243.89
Gross Return
-2.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 48 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,853.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $44.59 221 $9,853.29
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $44.28 221 $9,784.78 $9,785.22 $-68.51
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $42.95 227 $9,748.52
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:25am ET $42.97 227 $9,753.06 $9,789.76 +$4.54
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $44.82 218 $9,770.43
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $44.92 218 $9,792.56 $9,811.89 +$22.13
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $46.77 209 $9,774.93
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $46.59 209 $9,737.31 $9,774.27 $-37.62
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $46.76 209 $9,772.84
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.78 209 $9,775.98 $9,777.40 +$3.14
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $49.17 198 $9,734.67
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $49.32 198 $9,765.36 $9,808.09 +$30.69
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $49.49 198 $9,799.02
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.65 198 $9,829.85 $9,838.92 +$30.83
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:55am ET $50.06 196 $9,811.88
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET $49.57 196 $9,714.74 $9,741.78 $-97.14
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $48.75 199 $9,701.25
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $49.02 199 $9,753.99 $9,794.52 +$52.74
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.86 204 $9,763.44
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET $48.13 204 $9,819.54 $9,850.62 +$56.10
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $48.60 202 $9,817.20
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $48.89 202 $9,875.78 $9,909.20 +$58.58
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $49.69 199 $9,889.30
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $49.51 199 $9,852.49 $9,872.38 $-36.82
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $51.02 193 $9,846.92
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $50.80 193 $9,804.40 $9,829.86 $-42.52
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $51.46 191 $9,827.91
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $51.78 191 $9,890.93 $9,892.89 +$63.03
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $50.08 197 $9,864.78
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $49.49 197 $9,748.55 $9,776.66 $-116.23
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $51.12 191 $9,763.92
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.28 191 $9,795.43 $9,808.18 +$31.52
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $51.25 191 $9,788.75
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET $51.47 191 $9,830.77 $9,850.20 +$42.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $51.46 191 $9,828.86
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 11:30am ET $51.08 191 $9,756.28 $9,777.62 $-72.58
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:00am ET $51.20 190 $9,728.00
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:30am ET $51.10 190 $9,709.00 $9,758.62 $-19.00
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $50.92 191 $9,724.77
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $51.13 191 $9,766.78 $9,800.64 +$42.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $48.81 200 $9,763.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $49.07 200 $9,814.00 $9,851.64 +$51.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $47.54 207 $9,841.81
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $47.42 207 $9,815.94 $9,825.77 $-25.88
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $46.69 210 $9,804.90
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $46.14 210 $9,689.40 $9,710.27 $-115.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.82 203 $9,707.46
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $48.14 203 $9,772.42 $9,775.23 +$64.96
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $46.85 208 $9,744.80
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:25am ET $45.77 208 $9,520.16 $9,550.59 $-224.64
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $44.67 213 $9,515.77
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $44.79 213 $9,540.27 $9,575.09 +$24.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $46.31 206 $9,538.83
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $46.39 206 $9,556.34 $9,592.60 +$17.51
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $45.21 212 $9,583.46
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $44.94 212 $9,527.28 $9,536.42 $-56.18
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $47.46 200 $9,492.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $47.63 200 $9,527.00 $9,571.42 +$35.00
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.55 189 $9,553.95
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $50.54 189 $9,552.06 $9,569.53 $-1.89
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.99 184 $9,565.24
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $52.13 184 $9,591.92 $9,596.21 +$26.68
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.14 180 $9,565.20
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $53.42 180 $9,614.70 $9,645.71 +$49.50
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $51.81 186 $9,637.59
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $52.06 186 $9,683.16 $9,691.28 +$45.57
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $50.80 190 $9,652.57
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET $50.16 190 $9,530.40 $9,569.11 $-122.17
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET $49.19 194 $9,542.86
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $49.11 194 $9,527.34 $9,553.59 $-15.52
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $51.60 185 $9,545.08
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $51.91 185 $9,603.35 $9,611.86 +$58.27
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $52.21 184 $9,605.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $51.97 184 $9,562.48 $9,568.62 $-43.24
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:00pm ET $51.99 184 $9,566.16
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $51.79 184 $9,529.36 $9,531.82 $-36.80
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET $51.87 183 $9,492.21
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $51.99 183 $9,514.17 $9,553.78 +$21.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.62 185 $9,548.78
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $50.78 185 $9,394.30 $9,399.30 $-154.48
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $51.97 180 $9,354.60
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $51.48 180 $9,265.91 $9,310.61 $-88.69
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $54.26 171 $9,278.46
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $54.38 171 $9,298.13 $9,330.28 +$19.67
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $54.34 171 $9,292.14
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $54.99 171 $9,403.29 $9,441.43 +$111.15
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $55.36 170 $9,411.20
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $55.88 170 $9,499.29 $9,529.52 +$88.09
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $55.31 172 $9,512.46
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $55.40 172 $9,528.80 $9,545.86 +$16.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
46 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $56.24 169 $9,504.56
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $56.77 169 $9,594.13 $9,635.43 +$89.57
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
47 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $56.21 171 $9,611.91
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $56.03 171 $9,581.98 $9,605.51 $-29.92
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
48 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.28 173 $9,563.44
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:55am ET $55.31 173 $9,567.77 $9,609.84 +$4.33
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,609.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-390.16
Total Return: -3.90%
Back to Professor Mean