SOXL Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 46 trades in period
+11.93%
Year to Date Return
$15,994.42
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$14,289.21
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
36.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 35.6
30-Day Momentum
83
+12.8%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
6.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.6
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+48 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,910
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
85 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$14,289.21
Current Value
$15,994.42
Period P&L
$1,705.13
Max Drawdown
-43.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
28 /
18
Best Trade
+8.43%
Worst Trade
-8.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,363,271.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,705.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,705.13
Gross Return
+11.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 85 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,289.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $49.33 | 289 | $14,256.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 289 | $15,458.61 | $15,491.54 |
+$1,202.24 (+8.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $51.92 | 298 | $15,472.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $51.95 | 298 | $15,481.10 | $15,500.48 |
+$8.94 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $54.57 | 284 | $15,497.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.41 | 284 | $16,020.44 | $16,023.04 |
+$522.56 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
22.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.43 | 279 | $16,021.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $58.23 | 279 | $16,246.17 | $16,247.63 |
+$224.60 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.16 | 253 | $16,232.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $61.75 | 253 | $15,622.75 | $15,637.90 |
$-609.73 (-3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $60.81 | 257 | $15,628.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $60.65 | 257 | $15,587.05 | $15,596.78 |
$-41.12 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $70.95 | 219 | $15,538.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.16 | 219 | $14,927.85 | $14,986.58 |
$-610.20 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $65.13 | 230 | $14,978.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.11 | 230 | $15,205.07 | $15,212.90 |
+$226.32 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $56.67 | 268 | $15,187.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $52.12 | 268 | $13,966.82 | $13,992.00 |
$-1,220.90 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $53.07 | 263 | $13,957.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $53.88 | 263 | $14,169.13 | $14,203.69 |
+$211.69 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.40 | 235 | $14,194.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $62.14 | 235 | $14,602.90 | $14,612.59 |
+$408.90 (+2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $62.89 | 232 | $14,590.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $61.72 | 232 | $14,319.04 | $14,341.15 |
$-271.44 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.71 | 232 | $14,315.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $62.26 | 232 | $14,444.32 | $14,469.82 |
+$128.67 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $67.20 | 215 | $14,448.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $66.05 | 215 | $14,201.50 | $14,223.32 |
$-246.50 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $66.06 | 215 | $14,202.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $66.33 | 215 | $14,260.95 | $14,281.37 |
+$58.05 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $69.17 | 206 | $14,249.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $69.03 | 206 | $14,219.91 | $14,252.26 |
$-29.11 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.64 | 204 | $14,206.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $68.15 | 204 | $13,902.60 | $13,948.30 |
$-303.96 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $61.90 | 225 | $13,927.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $63.43 | 225 | $14,271.75 | $14,292.55 |
+$344.25 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $61.28 | 233 | $14,278.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $62.15 | 233 | $14,480.95 | $14,495.26 |
+$202.71 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET | $53.29 | 272 | $14,495.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $54.19 | 272 | $14,741.04 | $14,741.15 |
+$245.89 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $56.76 | 259 | $14,699.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.89 | 259 | $14,475.51 | $14,517.11 |
$-224.04 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.29 | 288 | $14,483.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $52.62 | 288 | $15,154.56 | $15,188.15 |
+$671.04 (+4.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $56.22 | 270 | $15,180.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.93 | 270 | $15,101.10 | $15,108.50 |
$-79.65 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.35 | 283 | $15,098.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $50.74 | 283 | $14,360.83 | $14,371.31 |
$-737.19 (-4.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $50.24 | 286 | $14,367.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $50.69 | 286 | $14,497.31 | $14,501.41 |
+$130.10 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $54.35 | 266 | $14,457.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $55.51 | 266 | $14,765.74 | $14,810.05 |
+$308.64 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $55.45 | 267 | $14,805.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:30pm ET | $55.77 | 267 | $14,890.59 | $14,895.49 |
+$85.44 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.78 | 282 | $14,883.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $52.26 | 282 | $14,737.32 | $14,748.85 |
$-146.64 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $54.60 | 270 | $14,740.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $53.06 | 270 | $14,326.20 | $14,334.40 |
$-414.45 (-2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $56.85 | 252 | $14,326.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $57.26 | 252 | $14,429.52 | $14,437.72 |
+$103.32 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.24 | 299 | $14,425.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $47.38 | 299 | $14,166.59 | $14,179.18 |
$-258.54 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $40.60 | 349 | $14,169.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $40.78 | 349 | $14,233.96 | $14,243.71 |
+$64.53 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $52.86 | 269 | $14,219.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $52.63 | 269 | $14,156.13 | $14,180.49 |
$-63.22 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $53.47 | 265 | $14,169.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $54.24 | 265 | $14,373.57 | $14,384.51 |
+$204.02 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $54.17 | 265 | $14,355.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $55.56 | 265 | $14,723.40 | $14,752.86 |
+$368.35 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $76.98 | 191 | $14,702.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.10 | 191 | $14,726.10 | $14,776.28 |
+$23.42 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $82.11 | 179 | $14,697.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $82.01 | 179 | $14,680.68 | $14,759.27 |
$-17.01 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $86.68 | 170 | $14,734.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $87.65 | 170 | $14,900.48 | $14,924.99 |
+$165.72 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $93.29 | 159 | $14,833.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $94.15 | 159 | $14,969.25 | $15,061.11 |
+$136.12 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $96.66 | 155 | $14,981.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $98.47 | 155 | $15,262.87 | $15,342.13 |
+$281.02 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $104.68 | 146 | $15,282.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $105.22 | 146 | $15,362.85 | $15,422.43 |
+$80.30 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $127.78 | 120 | $15,333.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $128.67 | 120 | $15,440.40 | $15,529.22 |
+$106.79 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.29 | 143 | $15,485.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $106.94 | 143 | $15,292.95 | $15,336.41 |
$-192.81 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $113.97 | 134 | $15,271.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $115.19 | 134 | $15,435.46 | $15,500.48 |
+$164.07 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.47 | 126 | $15,430.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $126.80 | 126 | $15,976.80 | $16,046.30 |
+$545.82 (+3.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $127.76 | 125 | $15,970.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:05pm ET | $127.35 | 125 | $15,918.13 | $15,994.42 |
$-51.88 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,994.42
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,994.42
Total Return:
+59.94%