WFC Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 47 trades in period
-5.19%
Year to Date Return
$9,253.90
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$9,760.77
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
12.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.3
30-Day Momentum
23
+0.3%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.1
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,422
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,760.77
Current Value
$9,253.90
Period P&L
$-506.92
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
30 /
17
Best Trade
+1.71%
Worst Trade
-3.47%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$882,563.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-506.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-506.92
Gross Return
-5.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.19%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,760.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $96.79 | 100 | $9,678.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $96.87 | 100 | $9,687.00 | $9,769.32 |
+$8.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $96.11 | 101 | $9,707.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $96.36 | 101 | $9,731.86 | $9,794.07 |
+$24.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $95.57 | 102 | $9,748.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $95.79 | 102 | $9,770.07 | $9,816.00 |
+$21.93 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.37 | 104 | $9,814.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $94.22 | 104 | $9,798.88 | $9,800.40 |
$-15.60 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $93.49 | 104 | $9,722.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $93.51 | 104 | $9,725.04 | $9,802.48 |
+$2.08 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $88.74 | 110 | $9,760.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $89.31 | 110 | $9,824.10 | $9,865.73 |
+$63.25 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $88.88 | 111 | $9,865.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.18 | 111 | $9,676.98 | $9,677.58 |
$-188.14 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $86.64 | 111 | $9,617.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $86.75 | 111 | $9,629.25 | $9,689.79 |
+$12.21 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $88.25 | 109 | $9,619.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.01 | 109 | $9,484.09 | $9,554.63 |
$-135.16 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:25pm ET | $87.98 | 108 | $9,501.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.24 | 108 | $9,530.01 | $9,582.80 |
+$28.17 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.46 | 108 | $9,553.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $88.92 | 108 | $9,603.36 | $9,632.48 |
+$49.68 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $90.11 | 106 | $9,551.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $90.19 | 106 | $9,560.14 | $9,640.96 |
+$8.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $92.28 | 104 | $9,597.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $92.42 | 104 | $9,611.68 | $9,655.35 |
+$14.39 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $93.09 | 103 | $9,588.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $93.25 | 103 | $9,605.26 | $9,671.99 |
+$16.63 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $91.62 | 105 | $9,620.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $91.98 | 105 | $9,657.90 | $9,709.79 |
+$37.80 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $94.32 | 102 | $9,620.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $93.93 | 102 | $9,580.86 | $9,670.01 |
$-39.78 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $94.32 | 102 | $9,621.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $94.74 | 102 | $9,662.97 | $9,711.83 |
+$41.82 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $90.95 | 106 | $9,640.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $89.21 | 106 | $9,456.14 | $9,527.27 |
$-184.56 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $87.58 | 108 | $9,458.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.18 | 108 | $9,523.44 | $9,592.07 |
+$64.80 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.83 | 109 | $9,573.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $87.55 | 109 | $9,542.95 | $9,561.55 |
$-30.52 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $87.54 | 109 | $9,542.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $84.51 | 109 | $9,211.59 | $9,230.74 |
$-330.81 (-3.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $86.34 | 106 | $9,152.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $86.20 | 106 | $9,137.20 | $9,215.91 |
$-14.83 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.53 | 115 | $9,145.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $80.89 | 115 | $9,302.35 | $9,372.31 |
+$156.40 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $82.90 | 113 | $9,367.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $82.93 | 113 | $9,370.53 | $9,375.14 |
+$2.83 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $82.55 | 113 | $9,328.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $81.61 | 113 | $9,221.93 | $9,268.92 |
$-106.22 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.72 | 117 | $9,210.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.48 | 117 | $9,182.16 | $9,240.84 |
$-28.08 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $78.38 | 117 | $9,170.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.43 | 117 | $9,059.31 | $9,129.69 |
$-111.15 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.42 | 121 | $9,125.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $75.30 | 121 | $9,111.30 | $9,115.17 |
$-14.52 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $74.63 | 122 | $9,104.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $74.78 | 122 | $9,123.16 | $9,133.47 |
+$18.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:30pm ET | $76.17 | 119 | $9,064.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $76.53 | 119 | $9,106.48 | $9,175.72 |
+$42.25 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.68 | 121 | $9,157.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $75.53 | 121 | $9,139.13 | $9,157.57 |
$-18.15 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.77 | 117 | $9,099.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $78.61 | 117 | $9,197.95 | $9,256.44 |
+$98.87 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $79.52 | 116 | $9,224.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:30am ET | $79.99 | 116 | $9,278.26 | $9,310.38 |
+$53.94 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.63 | 118 | $9,278.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.79 | 118 | $9,179.22 | $9,211.26 |
$-99.12 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $77.00 | 119 | $9,163.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $77.06 | 119 | $9,170.14 | $9,217.81 |
+$6.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $80.82 | 114 | $9,213.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $80.85 | 114 | $9,216.90 | $9,221.23 |
+$3.42 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.21 | 113 | $9,177.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $81.44 | 113 | $9,202.72 | $9,246.66 |
+$25.43 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.83 | 107 | $9,183.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $85.66 | 107 | $9,165.62 | $9,228.47 |
$-18.19 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.95 | 111 | $9,207.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $82.29 | 111 | $9,134.19 | $9,155.21 |
$-73.26 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $80.40 | 113 | $9,085.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:50pm ET | $80.51 | 113 | $9,098.19 | $9,168.20 |
+$12.99 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:25pm ET | $81.26 | 112 | $9,101.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.91 | 112 | $9,173.92 | $9,241.00 |
+$72.80 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $81.92 | 112 | $9,175.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $81.97 | 112 | $9,180.64 | $9,246.60 |
+$5.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $80.75 | 114 | $9,204.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $80.94 | 114 | $9,227.16 | $9,268.83 |
+$22.23 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $79.98 | 115 | $9,197.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $80.63 | 115 | $9,272.45 | $9,343.58 |
+$74.75 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $81.42 | 114 | $9,281.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $81.50 | 114 | $9,291.00 | $9,352.70 |
+$9.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.77 | 115 | $9,288.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $81.55 | 115 | $9,378.25 | $9,442.40 |
+$89.70 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $81.24 | 116 | $9,423.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $79.61 | 116 | $9,234.76 | $9,253.90 |
$-188.50 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,253.90
Net Profit/Loss:
$-746.10
Total Return:
-7.46%