Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:35:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 36.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 36.7

30-Day Momentum

68
+17.4%
30d Return
79%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.8 Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,742
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,671.16
Current Value
$15,683.77
Period P&L
$2,012.62
Max Drawdown
-36.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
11 / 4
Best Trade
+7.23%
Worst Trade
-7.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
20h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$465,050.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,012.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,012.62
Gross Return
+14.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,671.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $147.59 96 $14,168.16
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $141.91 96 $13,623.84 $13,671.63 $-544.32
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $146.95 93 $13,665.89
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $149.93 93 $13,943.49 $13,949.23 +$277.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $148.40 93 $13,801.20
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $152.38 93 $14,171.80 $14,319.84 +$370.61
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $147.72 96 $14,181.12
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $150.90 96 $14,486.73 $14,625.45 +$305.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $158.18 92 $14,552.56
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET $161.41 92 $14,849.74 $14,922.63 +$297.18
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $158.04 94 $14,855.76
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET $162.93 94 $15,315.42 $15,382.29 +$459.66
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $164.37 93 $15,286.41
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $167.86 93 $15,610.98 $15,706.86 +$324.57
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $173.88 90 $15,649.20
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $179.75 90 $16,177.50 $16,235.16 +$528.30
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:50am ET $206.97 78 $16,143.66
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $221.94 78 $17,311.44 $17,402.94 +$1,167.78
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 80 $17,384.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $201.41 80 $16,112.94 $16,131.88 $-1,271.06
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $196.07 82 $16,077.75
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET $200.95 82 $16,477.89 $16,532.02 +$400.14
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET $209.48 78 $16,339.28
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $214.01 78 $16,692.39 $16,885.13 +$353.11
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $212.68 79 $16,801.73
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $205.34 79 $16,221.86 $16,305.26 $-579.87
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $206.19 79 $16,289.13
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $211.12 79 $16,678.09 $16,694.22 +$388.96
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
15 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $237.08 70 $16,595.60
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.65 70 $15,585.15 $15,683.77 $-1,010.45
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,683.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,683.77
Total Return: +56.84%
Back to Rebel Contraire