Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:17:46

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 38.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 37.9

30-Day Momentum

14
-3.7%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,200.84
Current Value
$17,520.40
Period P&L
$-680.43
Max Drawdown
-36.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+4.18%
Worst Trade
-4.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
19.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$465,928.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-680.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-680.43
Gross Return
-3.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $18,200.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:15am ET $310.76 58 $18,024.08
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:00am ET $317.93 58 $18,439.94 $18,616.69 +$415.86
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:25am ET $305.24 60 $18,314.70
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $317.99 60 $19,079.40 $19,381.39 +$764.70
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $350.37 55 $19,270.35
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $337.65 55 $18,570.75 $18,681.79 $-699.60
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:45am ET $418.55 44 $18,416.40
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $401.13 44 $17,649.72 $17,915.11 $-766.68
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $380.16 47 $17,867.52
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05am ET $389.61 47 $18,311.44 $18,359.03 +$443.92
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $368.93 49 $18,077.58
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET $376.81 49 $18,463.65 $18,745.11 +$386.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $358.13 52 $18,622.77
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $346.93 52 $18,040.36 $18,162.70 $-582.41
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $349.07 52 $18,151.64
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $336.98 52 $17,523.22 $17,534.28 $-628.42
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $321.28 54 $17,349.12
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $310.39 54 $16,761.33 $16,946.49 $-587.79
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $327.44 51 $16,699.44
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $334.28 51 $17,048.43 $17,295.48 +$348.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $383.29 45 $17,248.05
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:35am ET $393.37 45 $17,701.65 $17,749.08 +$453.60
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $407.36 43 $17,516.48
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $416.00 43 $17,888.00 $18,120.60 +$371.52
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:25am ET $443.65 40 $17,746.20
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $428.65 40 $17,146.00 $17,520.40 $-600.20
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,520.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,520.40
Total Return: +75.20%
Back to Rebel Contraire