Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

2
-3.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,383.74
Current Value
$9,233.81
Period P&L
$-149.88
Max Drawdown
-39.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+2.30%
Worst Trade
-3.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$93,986.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-149.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$-149.88
Gross Return
-1.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,383.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $59.19 160 $9,471.20
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $58.19 160 $9,309.60 $9,358.89 $-161.60
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:30am ET $58.33 160 $9,332.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $59.51 160 $9,521.60 $9,548.49 +$189.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $59.67 160 $9,547.20
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 160 $9,322.40 $9,323.69 $-224.80
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $58.10 160 $9,296.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $59.44 160 $9,509.60 $9,537.29 +$213.60
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $58.94 161 $9,490.14
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:10am ET $57.06 161 $9,186.66 $9,233.81 $-303.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,233.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-766.19
Total Return: -7.66%
Back to Rebel Contraire