Compendium › Rebel Contraire › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-07 to present • 13 trades in period

-3.75%
Last Month Return
$3,796.24
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$3,944.09
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:29:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.3

30-Day Momentum

16
-0.7%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$3,944.09
Current Value
$3,796.24
Period P&L
$-147.85
Max Drawdown
-67.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+4.24%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$98,636.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-147.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-147.85
Gross Return
-3.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $3,944.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $170.79 23 $3,928.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $174.43 23 $4,012.00 $4,028.04 +$83.95
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $176.42 22 $3,881.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $169.43 22 $3,727.57 $3,874.37 $-153.67
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $163.36 23 $3,757.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $166.87 23 $3,837.90 $3,954.99 +$80.62
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $172.93 22 $3,804.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.26 22 $3,965.72 $4,116.25 +$161.26
(+4.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $190.91 21 $4,009.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $194.81 21 $4,091.01 $4,198.15 +$81.90
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET $211.21 19 $4,012.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $200.56 19 $3,810.66 $3,995.82 $-202.33
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $206.15 19 $3,916.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:55am ET $199.67 19 $3,793.73 $3,872.60 $-123.22
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $207.13 18 $3,728.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $199.49 18 $3,590.82 $3,735.08 $-137.52
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET $199.00 18 $3,582.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $203.05 18 $3,654.99 $3,808.07 +$72.99
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $193.11 19 $3,669.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $187.15 19 $3,555.77 $3,694.74 $-113.33
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:25am ET $183.89 20 $3,677.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:20am ET $188.40 20 $3,768.00 $3,784.94 +$90.20
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
55m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:25am ET $192.41 19 $3,655.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 19 $3,788.69 $3,917.84 +$132.90
(+3.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $198.38 19 $3,769.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $191.98 19 $3,647.62 $3,796.24 $-121.60
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,796.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,203.76
Total Return: -62.04%
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