Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:27:07

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 9.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.0

30-Day Momentum

13
-1.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$3,723.73
Current Value
$3,675.06
Period P&L
$-48.67
Max Drawdown
-67.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+7.11%
Worst Trade
-3.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
20.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$84,224.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-48.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-48.67
Gross Return
-1.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $3,723.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:20am ET $189.83 19 $3,606.77
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $183.68 19 $3,489.92 $3,606.88 $-116.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $175.90 20 $3,518.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $170.41 20 $3,408.24 $3,497.12 $-109.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:30am ET $180.15 19 $3,422.85
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:05am ET $184.78 19 $3,510.82 $3,585.09 +$87.97
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $182.39 19 $3,465.41
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $186.40 19 $3,541.60 $3,661.28 +$76.19
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $173.52 21 $3,643.92
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $168.19 21 $3,531.99 $3,549.35 $-111.93
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $162.45 21 $3,411.45
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:10am ET $165.82 21 $3,482.22 $3,620.12 +$70.77
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:55am ET $154.07 23 $3,543.61
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $149.38 23 $3,435.74 $3,512.25 $-107.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $161.73 21 $3,396.23
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $155.85 21 $3,272.85 $3,388.87 $-123.38
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $156.96 21 $3,296.16
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $160.10 21 $3,362.10 $3,454.81 +$65.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.21 21 $3,364.32
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $171.60 21 $3,603.60 $3,694.09 +$239.28
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $167.64 22 $3,688.08
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $172.77 22 $3,800.94 $3,806.95 +$112.86
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $171.80 22 $3,779.71
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $165.81 22 $3,647.82 $3,675.06 $-131.89
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,675.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,324.94
Total Return: -63.25%
Back to Rebel Contraire