Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:36

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.6/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 29.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 28.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,436.13
Current Value
$12,284.25
Period P&L
$-1,151.89
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.79

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+2.03%
Worst Trade
-3.59%
Avg Trade Return
-1.57%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$145,346.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,151.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,151.89
Gross Return
-8.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,436.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $1,038.32 12 $12,459.90
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $1,001.01 12 $12,012.06 $12,988.30 $-447.84
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $1,004.60 12 $12,055.20
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $973.12 12 $11,677.44 $12,610.54 $-377.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $948.51 13 $12,330.63
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:35am ET $967.79 13 $12,581.27 $12,861.18 +$250.64
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:35am ET $985.46 13 $12,810.98
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:35am ET $971.42 13 $12,628.46 $12,678.66 $-182.52
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET $978.30 12 $11,739.66
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:40am ET $976.05 12 $11,712.60 $12,651.60 $-27.06
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $987.74 12 $11,852.92
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.13 12 $11,485.56 $12,284.25 $-367.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,284.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,284.25
Total Return: +22.84%
Back to Rebel Contraire