Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

70
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.4/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 70.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 69.9

30-Day Momentum

51
+8.0%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,859.27
Current Value
$19,279.62
Period P&L
$1,420.40
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.58

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+2.73%
Worst Trade
-3.11%
Avg Trade Return
+1.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,840.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,420.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,420.40
Gross Return
+7.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $17,859.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET $80.12 222 $17,786.64
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $82.31 222 $18,271.71 $18,344.29 +$485.07
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $84.35 217 $18,303.95
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $81.73 217 $17,735.41 $17,775.75 $-568.54
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET $81.65 217 $17,718.05
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $83.34 217 $18,084.78 $18,142.48 +$366.73
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $85.48 212 $18,121.76
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET $87.22 212 $18,490.64 $18,511.36 +$368.88
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $88.92 208 $18,494.32
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $88.77 208 $18,464.16 $18,481.20 $-30.16
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $87.46 211 $18,454.06
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $89.32 211 $18,846.52 $18,873.66 +$392.46
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:00am ET $92.31 204 $18,831.24
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $94.30 204 $19,237.20 $19,279.62 +$405.96
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,279.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,279.62
Total Return: +92.80%
Back to Rebel Contraire