Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:18:36

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
6.2/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 72.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 71.9

30-Day Momentum

30
+4.0%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-41 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,174.62
Current Value
$20,814.05
Period P&L
$639.48
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+2.21%
Worst Trade
-3.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$293,678.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$639.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$639.48
Gross Return
+3.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,174.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $117.81 169 $19,909.89
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:00am ET $120.39 169 $20,345.91 $20,446.66 +$436.02
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $117.87 173 $20,391.51
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $120.27 173 $20,806.71 $20,861.86 +$415.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $119.09 175 $20,840.75
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $121.72 175 $21,301.00 $21,322.11 +$460.25
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $126.26 168 $21,211.68
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $128.79 168 $21,636.74 $21,747.17 +$425.06
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:00am ET $125.32 173 $21,680.36
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $121.24 173 $20,974.52 $21,041.33 $-705.84
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:05am ET $119.69 175 $20,945.89
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $122.19 175 $21,383.25 $21,478.69 +$437.36
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $121.23 177 $21,457.71
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $117.47 177 $20,793.07 $20,814.05 $-664.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,814.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,814.05
Total Return: +108.14%
Back to Rebel Contraire