Compendium › Rebel Contraire › DIA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIA
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

+3.21%
Last Month Return
$14,068.89
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$13,631.69
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:22:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 43.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 42.5

30-Day Momentum

37
+4.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.3 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,631.69
Current Value
$14,068.89
Period P&L
$437.22
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
1.85

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+2.07%
Worst Trade
+0.24%
Avg Trade Return
+1.20%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,962.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$437.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$437.22
Gross Return
+3.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,631.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $498.24 26 $12,954.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $508.53 26 $13,221.78 $13,692.51 +$267.54
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $504.17 27 $13,612.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $509.98 27 $13,769.46 $13,849.38 +$156.87
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $509.37 27 $13,752.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $510.60 27 $13,786.20 $13,882.59 +$33.21
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $512.57 27 $13,839.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $519.47 27 $14,025.69 $14,068.89 +$186.30
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,068.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,068.89
Total Return: +40.69%
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