Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:56

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 12.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

54
+9.7%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.3 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+42 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,012.72
Current Value
$8,791.43
Period P&L
$778.67
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+5.51%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
21.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$165,406.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$778.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$778.67
Gross Return
+9.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,012.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:10am ET $26.00 308 $8,008.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $25.20 308 $7,761.60 $7,766.36 $-246.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $24.19 320 $7,742.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $24.74 320 $7,915.20 $7,939.16 +$172.80
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:45am ET $25.30 313 $7,917.34
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $24.52 313 $7,676.32 $7,698.15 $-241.01
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET $25.97 296 $7,687.12
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $26.55 296 $7,857.32 $7,868.35 +$170.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $25.41 309 $7,850.15
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $25.99 309 $8,029.37 $8,047.57 +$179.22
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $25.02 321 $8,033.02
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $26.41 321 $8,476.01 $8,490.55 +$442.98
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $29.33 289 $8,477.81
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET $29.99 289 $8,667.11 $8,679.85 +$189.30
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:40am ET $28.67 302 $8,656.83
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $29.30 302 $8,848.60 $8,871.62 +$191.77
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $28.80 308 $8,868.86
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $29.50 308 $9,086.00 $9,088.76 +$217.14
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $28.53 318 $9,072.54
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:30am ET $27.59 318 $8,775.21 $8,791.43 $-297.33
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,791.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,208.57
Total Return: -12.09%
Back to Rebel Contraire