Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:20:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.8/35
Total Return
17.9/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 56.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-5.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$25,661.67
Current Value
$24,242.45
Period P&L
$-1,419.21
Max Drawdown
-25.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.66%
Worst Trade
-3.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.91%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$300,041.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,419.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,419.21
Gross Return
-5.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $25,661.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $384.71 66 $25,390.86
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $392.75 66 $25,921.50 $26,192.30 +$530.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:15am ET $390.09 67 $26,136.03
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $376.18 67 $25,204.06 $25,260.33 $-931.97
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 68 $24,935.60
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $365.07 68 $24,824.76 $25,149.49 $-110.84
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $369.40 68 $25,119.20
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $357.71 68 $24,324.28 $24,354.57 $-794.92
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $356.75 68 $24,259.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $366.23 68 $24,903.64 $24,999.21 +$644.64
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $371.49 67 $24,889.83
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $360.20 67 $24,133.07 $24,242.45 $-756.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,242.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,242.45
Total Return: +142.42%
Back to Rebel Contraire