Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:18:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.8/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 67.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 66.9

30-Day Momentum

57
+9.4%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.6 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,134.63
Current Value
$21,980.06
Period P&L
$1,845.46
Max Drawdown
-13.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.72

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
6 / 1
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-3.21%
Avg Trade Return
+1.34%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$288,312.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,845.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,845.46
Gross Return
+9.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,134.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:15am ET $993.78 20 $19,875.52
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $1,014.13 20 $20,282.60 $20,503.40 +$407.08
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $978.74 20 $19,574.80
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:30am ET $999.78 20 $19,995.60 $20,924.20 +$420.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,024.83 20 $20,496.60
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,045.76 20 $20,915.10 $21,342.70 +$418.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,065.05 20 $21,301.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:25am ET $1,086.64 20 $21,732.70 $21,774.40 +$431.70
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,059.38 20 $21,187.60
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $1,025.36 20 $20,507.20 $21,094.00 $-680.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $1,011.65 20 $20,232.90
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,033.58 20 $20,671.70 $21,532.80 +$438.80
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:50am ET $1,081.36 19 $20,545.84
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $1,104.90 19 $20,993.10 $21,980.06 +$447.26
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,980.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,980.06
Total Return: +119.80%
Back to Rebel Contraire