Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:21:41

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-2.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,889.16
Current Value
$9,551.23
Period P&L
$-337.92
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,720.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-337.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-337.92
Gross Return
-3.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,889.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:05am ET $310.11 31 $9,613.41
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:05am ET $310.04 31 $9,611.24 $9,802.66 $-2.17
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $317.77 30 $9,533.10
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:10am ET $308.72 30 $9,261.60 $9,531.16 $-271.50
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $310.21 30 $9,306.45
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $307.59 30 $9,227.70 $9,452.41 $-78.75
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:55am ET $319.18 29 $9,256.22
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $326.27 29 $9,461.83 $9,658.02 +$205.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $327.81 29 $9,506.49
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $334.50 29 $9,700.50 $9,852.03 +$194.01
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:45am ET $336.94 29 $9,771.33
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $326.57 29 $9,470.53 $9,551.23 $-300.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,551.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-448.77
Total Return: -4.49%
Back to Rebel Contraire