Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:21:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 18.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-2.8%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,003.94
Current Value
$10,691.17
Period P&L
$-312.76
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+2.63%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$172,267.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-312.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-312.76
Gross Return
-2.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,003.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:55am ET $320.51 34 $10,897.34
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $319.52 34 $10,863.68 $10,962.45 $-33.66
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:55am ET $336.05 32 $10,753.61
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $333.13 32 $10,660.00 $10,868.84 $-93.61
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET $341.13 31 $10,575.03
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET $348.52 31 $10,804.12 $11,097.93 +$229.09
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $345.61 32 $11,059.52
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $352.54 32 $11,281.28 $11,319.69 +$221.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $341.65 33 $11,274.45
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:30am ET $333.85 33 $11,017.05 $11,062.29 $-257.40
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $329.80 33 $10,883.24
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $319.85 33 $10,555.05 $10,734.10 $-328.19
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $327.77 32 $10,488.48
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $317.93 32 $10,173.63 $10,419.25 $-314.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $313.78 33 $10,354.74
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $322.02 33 $10,626.66 $10,691.17 +$271.92
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,691.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$691.17
Total Return: +6.91%
Back to Rebel Contraire