Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:21:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.4/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 41.3/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 40.3

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.0%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.8 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,374.07
Current Value
$14,569.45
Period P&L
$195.41
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+2.21%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$142,192.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$195.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$195.41
Gross Return
+1.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,374.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $282.51 50 $14,125.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $288.71 50 $14,435.50 $14,597.04 +$310.00
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:45am ET $290.60 50 $14,530.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $286.77 50 $14,338.50 $14,405.54 $-191.50
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET $291.01 49 $14,259.49
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $282.25 49 $13,830.25 $13,976.30 $-429.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $284.78 49 $13,954.22
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $290.53 49 $14,235.97 $14,258.05 +$281.75
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $287.47 49 $14,086.03
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:10am ET $293.83 49 $14,397.43 $14,569.45 +$311.40
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,569.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,569.45
Total Return: +45.69%
Back to Rebel Contraire