Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:26:21

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.7/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 45.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 44.7

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.4%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,391.73
Current Value
$14,110.47
Period P&L
$-281.26
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+2.51%
Worst Trade
-3.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$141,422.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-281.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-281.26
Gross Return
-1.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,391.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET $229.09 61 $13,974.49
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $234.83 61 $14,324.63 $14,403.59 +$350.14
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:55am ET $229.76 62 $14,245.43
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $223.01 62 $13,826.62 $13,984.78 $-418.81
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $222.45 62 $13,791.59
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $227.18 62 $14,085.16 $14,278.35 +$293.57
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $232.96 61 $14,210.56
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $238.79 61 $14,565.89 $14,633.67 +$355.32
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:30am ET $241.01 60 $14,460.60
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $232.29 60 $13,937.40 $14,110.47 $-523.20
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,110.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,110.47
Total Return: +41.10%
Back to Rebel Contraire