Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:48

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 8.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.2

30-Day Momentum

11
-20.7%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$2,974.48
Current Value
$2,360.02
Period P&L
$-614.48
Max Drawdown
-69.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+2.48%
Worst Trade
-14.79%
Avg Trade Return
-1.91%
Avg Hold Time
16.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$58,470.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-614.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-614.48
Gross Return
-20.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $2,974.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $6.07 489 $2,970.67
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:35am ET $6.21 489 $3,036.64 $3,040.47 +$65.97
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:30am ET $6.53 465 $3,038.77
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $6.68 465 $3,103.88 $3,105.57 +$65.10
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $6.72 461 $3,099.07
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $6.52 461 $3,005.72 $3,012.22 $-93.35
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $6.72 461 $3,099.07
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $5.73 461 $2,640.61 $2,553.76 $-458.46
(-14.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $5.63 454 $2,553.75
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:15am ET $5.45 454 $2,474.30 $2,474.31 $-79.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:50am ET $5.06 488 $2,469.28
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:55am ET $5.18 488 $2,525.40 $2,530.43 +$56.12
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $5.04 502 $2,530.08
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.14 502 $2,582.79 $2,583.14 +$52.71
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $4.86 531 $2,580.71
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $4.69 531 $2,490.23 $2,492.66 $-90.48
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:20am ET $5.25 474 $2,489.16
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $5.09 474 $2,410.29 $2,413.79 $-78.87
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $5.38 448 $2,411.36
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $5.14 448 $2,300.48 $2,302.91 $-110.88
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:45am ET $5.24 439 $2,300.36
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:55am ET $5.37 439 $2,357.47 $2,360.02 +$57.11
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,360.02
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,639.98
Total Return: -76.40%
Back to Rebel Contraire