Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:18:01

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.8

30-Day Momentum

2
-4.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,380.38
Current Value
$9,904.38
Period P&L
$-476.06
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.74

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+0.92%
Worst Trade
-3.05%
Avg Trade Return
-0.98%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$100,003.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-476.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-476.06
Gross Return
-4.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,380.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $283.74 36 $10,214.64
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $280.07 36 $10,082.52 $10,271.36 $-132.12
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $281.48 36 $10,133.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET $277.53 36 $9,991.08 $10,129.16 $-142.20
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $275.27 36 $9,909.54
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $277.81 36 $10,001.16 $10,220.78 +$91.62
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $284.36 35 $9,952.60
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $284.06 35 $9,942.10 $10,210.28 $-10.50
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $286.89 35 $10,041.15
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $278.15 35 $9,735.25 $9,904.38 $-305.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,904.38
Net Profit/Loss: $-95.62
Total Return: -0.96%
Back to Rebel Contraire