Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.0/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 45.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 45.2

30-Day Momentum

55
+10.6%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.0 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,559.11
Current Value
$23,304.62
Period P&L
$1,745.54
Max Drawdown
-42.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+2.74%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$550,695.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,745.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,745.54
Gross Return
+8.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $21,559.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:40am ET $46.73 451 $21,075.23
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $47.75 451 $21,535.25 $21,536.53 +$460.02
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:25am ET $48.10 447 $21,502.31
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $46.23 447 $20,664.81 $20,699.03 $-837.50
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:40am ET $47.29 437 $20,665.73
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $48.29 437 $21,102.73 $21,136.03 +$437.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $46.12 458 $21,122.96
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $44.14 458 $20,215.62 $20,228.69 $-907.34
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $45.56 444 $20,228.64
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:15am ET $46.49 444 $20,639.34 $20,639.39 +$410.70
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $51.28 402 $20,614.60
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $49.51 402 $19,905.03 $19,929.82 $-709.57
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET $47.64 418 $19,913.52
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:05am ET $48.71 418 $20,358.69 $20,374.99 +$445.17
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:20am ET $46.46 438 $20,347.29
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.42 438 $20,769.96 $20,797.66 +$422.67
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $46.28 449 $20,779.72
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $47.32 449 $21,246.68 $21,264.62 +$466.96
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $49.84 426 $21,231.84
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:00am ET $50.93 426 $21,696.18 $21,728.96 +$464.34
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:15am ET $50.18 433 $21,727.94
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:45am ET $51.36 433 $22,238.88 $22,239.90 +$510.94
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.53 393 $22,215.07
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:30am ET $58.08 393 $22,823.48 $22,848.30 +$608.40
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $61.98 368 $22,808.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $63.22 368 $23,264.96 $23,304.62 +$456.32
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,304.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,304.62
Total Return: +133.05%
Back to Rebel Contraire