Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:18:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 42.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 41.6

30-Day Momentum

16
-1.9%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,762
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,907.87
Current Value
$20,946.08
Period P&L
$38.24
Max Drawdown
-42.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+2.62%
Worst Trade
-4.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$525,149.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$38.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$38.24
Gross Return
+0.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,907.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $48.75 437 $21,303.75
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $49.70 437 $21,718.90 $21,764.36 +$415.15
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $51.18 425 $21,751.50
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $52.39 425 $22,265.75 $22,278.61 +$514.25
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:25am ET $51.19 435 $22,267.65
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET $52.39 435 $22,789.65 $22,800.61 +$522.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET $53.31 427 $22,761.24
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $54.41 427 $23,233.07 $23,272.44 +$471.83
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $54.08 430 $23,256.55
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 430 $23,865.00 $23,880.89 +$608.45
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:10am ET $54.81 435 $23,840.18
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $52.46 435 $22,820.10 $22,860.81 $-1,020.08
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $54.95 416 $22,859.20
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.23 416 $22,143.68 $22,145.29 $-715.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $50.96 434 $22,116.64
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $49.35 434 $21,417.90 $21,446.55 $-698.74
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET $47.58 450 $21,408.75
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $45.88 450 $20,646.00 $20,683.80 $-762.75
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:05am ET $47.60 434 $20,656.23
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $46.12 434 $20,016.08 $20,043.65 $-640.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $44.10 454 $20,021.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.18 454 $20,511.81 $20,534.06 +$490.41
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $47.10 436 $20,533.42
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:55am ET $48.04 436 $20,945.44 $20,946.08 +$412.02
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,946.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,946.08
Total Return: +109.46%
Back to Rebel Contraire