Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.2/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 46.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 45.8

30-Day Momentum

63
+17.0%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.7 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,876.11
Current Value
$22,080.01
Period P&L
$3,203.96
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+6.27%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
+1.27%
Avg Hold Time
18.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$531,551.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,203.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,203.96
Gross Return
+16.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $18,876.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:50am ET $752.00 25 $18,800.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:20am ET $769.20 25 $19,230.00 $19,306.05 +$430.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $910.31 21 $19,116.51
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $955.96 21 $20,075.16 $20,264.70 +$958.65
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:40am ET $921.38 21 $19,349.07
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $940.29 21 $19,746.09 $20,661.72 +$397.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $966.56 21 $20,297.76
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,009.50 21 $21,199.50 $21,563.46 +$901.74
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,034.80 20 $20,696.00
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,055.57 20 $21,111.40 $21,978.86 +$415.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,034.80 20 $20,696.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $989.61 20 $19,792.20 $21,075.06 $-903.80
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $935.16 22 $20,573.41
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $906.34 22 $19,939.59 $20,441.24 $-633.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $948.32 21 $19,914.72
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $984.00 21 $20,664.00 $21,190.52 +$749.28
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $935.52 22 $20,581.33
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $907.00 22 $19,954.00 $20,563.19 $-627.33
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $924.75 22 $20,344.50
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $945.49 22 $20,800.78 $21,019.47 +$456.28
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $992.78 21 $20,848.38
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,055.02 21 $22,155.42 $22,326.51 +$1,307.04
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:00am ET $1,088.43 20 $21,768.60
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:25am ET $1,049.30 20 $20,986.00 $21,543.91 $-782.60
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,059.36 20 $21,187.30
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,086.17 20 $21,723.40 $22,080.01 +$536.10
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,080.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,080.01
Total Return: +120.80%
Back to Rebel Contraire