Compendium › Rebel Contraire › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-07 to present • 13 trades in period

+11.56%
Last Month Return
$19,156.07
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$17,171.84
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 40.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 40.1

30-Day Momentum

52
+8.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.8 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,171.84
Current Value
$19,156.07
Period P&L
$1,984.30
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+4.26%
Worst Trade
-3.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.91%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$447,019.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,984.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,984.30
Gross Return
+11.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $17,171.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $376.62 45 $16,947.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $365.20 45 $16,434.22 $16,623.43 $-513.68
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $405.73 40 $16,229.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $414.44 40 $16,577.60 $16,971.83 +$348.40
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $419.64 40 $16,785.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 40 $17,440.00 $17,626.15 +$654.32
(+3.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $459.50 38 $17,461.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET $445.13 38 $16,915.02 $17,080.17 $-545.98
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET $456.93 37 $16,906.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $466.44 37 $17,258.35 $17,432.08 +$351.91
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $452.52 38 $17,195.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $438.11 38 $16,648.37 $16,884.50 $-547.58
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $442.54 38 $16,816.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $451.53 38 $17,158.14 $17,226.12 +$341.62
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $485.14 35 $16,979.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $495.80 35 $17,353.00 $17,599.22 +$373.10
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $520.66 33 $17,181.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 33 $16,574.91 $16,992.35 $-606.87
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET $518.76 32 $16,600.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $533.47 32 $17,071.04 $17,463.07 +$470.72
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $536.02 32 $17,152.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $558.87 32 $17,883.84 $18,194.27 +$731.20
(+4.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $643.41 28 $18,015.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $659.20 28 $18,457.46 $18,636.11 +$441.84
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:40am ET $650.98 28 $18,227.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:10am ET $669.55 28 $18,747.40 $19,156.07 +$519.96
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,156.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,156.07
Total Return: +91.56%
Back to Rebel Contraire