Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:17:47

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 30.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.3

30-Day Momentum

25
+1.6%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.5 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,316.65
Current Value
$14,538.71
Period P&L
$222.03
Max Drawdown
-37.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+3.34%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
23.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$343,741.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$222.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$222.03
Gross Return
+1.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,316.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:00am ET $194.35 73 $14,187.54
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $190.59 73 $13,913.07 $14,042.21 $-274.47
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:35am ET $196.43 71 $13,946.88
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:00am ET $202.80 71 $14,398.80 $14,494.13 +$451.92
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:25am ET $219.06 66 $14,457.96
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $224.17 66 $14,795.13 $14,831.30 +$337.17
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $247.50 59 $14,602.50
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $239.58 59 $14,135.22 $14,364.02 $-467.28
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:30am ET $231.38 62 $14,345.57
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET $236.05 62 $14,635.10 $14,653.55 +$289.53
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $220.07 66 $14,524.62
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $213.15 66 $14,067.90 $14,196.83 $-456.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $211.94 66 $13,988.04
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $216.94 66 $14,318.04 $14,526.83 +$330.00
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:40am ET $210.20 69 $14,503.80
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $203.70 69 $14,055.30 $14,078.33 $-448.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $176.05 79 $13,908.34
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $179.94 79 $14,215.26 $14,385.25 +$306.92
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $180.90 79 $14,291.10
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $186.94 79 $14,768.26 $14,862.41 +$477.16
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:05am ET $192.80 77 $14,845.60
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $184.90 77 $14,237.68 $14,254.49 $-607.92
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:25am ET $183.87 77 $14,157.99
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $187.56 77 $14,442.21 $14,538.71 +$284.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,538.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,538.71
Total Return: +45.39%
Back to Rebel Contraire