Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:13

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 22.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

55
+8.4%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.1 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+33 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,297.08
Current Value
$10,971.84
Period P&L
$674.76
Max Drawdown
-19.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.67

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
6 / 1
Best Trade
+2.19%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
+1.19%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,123.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$674.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$674.76
Gross Return
+6.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,297.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $141.34 71 $10,035.14
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:45am ET $144.20 71 $10,238.20 $10,324.77 +$203.06
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $143.60 71 $10,195.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $146.75 71 $10,419.25 $10,548.42 +$223.65
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:50am ET $145.99 72 $10,511.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $141.51 72 $10,188.72 $10,225.86 $-322.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $139.13 73 $10,156.85
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $141.96 73 $10,362.72 $10,431.72 +$205.86
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $142.07 73 $10,371.11
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $145.02 73 $10,586.46 $10,647.07 +$215.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $145.43 73 $10,616.03
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $148.35 73 $10,829.56 $10,860.60 +$213.53
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $149.32 72 $10,750.68
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $150.86 72 $10,861.92 $10,971.84 +$111.24
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,971.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$971.84
Total Return: +9.72%
Back to Rebel Contraire