Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:22:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

17
-0.0%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,318.82
Current Value
$5,281.24
Period P&L
$-37.63
Max Drawdown
-55.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+4.49%
Worst Trade
-7.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
21.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,230.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-37.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-37.63
Gross Return
-0.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,318.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:50am ET $24.43 216 $5,276.88
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.02 216 $5,404.32 $5,409.59 +$127.44
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $25.91 208 $5,389.28
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $26.43 208 $5,497.44 $5,517.75 +$108.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $28.11 196 $5,510.54
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $27.09 196 $5,309.64 $5,316.85 $-200.90
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $28.72 185 $5,313.20
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $27.84 185 $5,150.40 $5,154.05 $-162.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $27.50 187 $5,142.50
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.08 187 $5,250.03 $5,261.58 +$107.53
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:40pm ET $27.75 189 $5,243.81
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.77 189 $4,871.36 $4,889.14 $-372.44
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET $24.71 197 $4,867.87
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:55am ET $25.22 197 $4,967.36 $4,988.63 +$99.49
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $24.69 202 $4,987.38
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $23.94 202 $4,835.90 $4,837.15 $-151.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $23.87 202 $4,821.74
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $24.38 202 $4,924.76 $4,940.17 +$103.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:20am ET $27.19 181 $4,921.39
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.41 181 $5,142.21 $5,160.99 +$220.82
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $27.79 185 $5,141.15
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.44 185 $5,261.40 $5,281.24 +$120.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,281.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,718.76
Total Return: -47.19%
Back to Rebel Contraire