Compendium › Rebel Contraire › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-07 to present • 13 trades in period

+8.64%
Last Month Return
$5,544.46
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$5,103.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 11.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

43
+8.6%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.8 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,103.51
Current Value
$5,544.46
Period P&L
$440.90
Max Drawdown
-55.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+11.28%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.72%
Avg Hold Time
19.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$143,204.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$440.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$440.90
Gross Return
+8.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,103.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $13.92 366 $5,094.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 366 $5,669.34 $5,678.18 +$574.62
(+11.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $16.40 346 $5,672.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $16.74 346 $5,790.31 $5,795.82 +$117.64
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $16.85 343 $5,781.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $16.32 343 $5,596.05 $5,610.60 $-185.22
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $18.59 301 $5,595.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $17.81 301 $5,360.81 $5,375.82 $-234.78
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $16.42 327 $5,369.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $16.76 327 $5,482.15 $5,488.63 +$112.81
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $17.99 305 $5,485.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $18.39 305 $5,607.43 $5,610.63 +$122.00
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET $18.45 304 $5,608.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $18.85 304 $5,730.40 $5,732.26 +$121.63
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $18.67 307 $5,730.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $18.02 307 $5,532.14 $5,534.24 $-198.02
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $16.74 330 $5,522.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $16.14 330 $5,326.73 $5,338.42 $-195.82
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:25am ET $16.64 320 $5,323.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET $17.10 320 $5,472.00 $5,487.22 +$148.80
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $18.83 291 $5,479.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $18.21 291 $5,299.11 $5,306.80 $-180.42
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $18.28 290 $5,302.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $18.68 290 $5,417.23 $5,421.38 +$114.58
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $22.66 239 $5,415.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $23.17 239 $5,538.82 $5,544.46 +$123.08
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,544.46
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,455.54
Total Return: -44.56%
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