Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 24.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 24.2

30-Day Momentum

4
-5.6%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,850.08
Current Value
$11,507.22
Period P&L
$-342.84
Max Drawdown
-16.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+2.02%
Worst Trade
-3.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.81%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,615.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-342.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-342.84
Gross Return
-2.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,850.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $94.50 129 $12,190.50
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $91.34 129 $11,782.86 $11,785.56 $-407.64
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET $96.15 122 $11,730.30
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET $95.30 122 $11,626.60 $11,681.86 $-103.70
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:55am ET $98.52 118 $11,625.36
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $94.96 118 $11,205.27 $11,261.77 $-420.09
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:00am ET $92.41 121 $11,181.61
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:00am ET $92.32 121 $11,171.32 $11,251.48 $-10.29
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $90.25 124 $11,190.38
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $90.71 124 $11,247.95 $11,309.05 +$57.57
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $90.57 124 $11,230.06
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:50pm ET $92.39 124 $11,456.98 $11,535.97 +$226.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $92.02 125 $11,502.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $91.79 125 $11,473.75 $11,507.22 $-28.75
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,507.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,507.22
Total Return: +15.07%
Back to Rebel Contraire