Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:48

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 33.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.3

30-Day Momentum

24
+2.8%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.2 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,087.45
Current Value
$13,449.40
Period P&L
$361.97
Max Drawdown
-18.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+4.83%
Worst Trade
-5.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$180,546.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$361.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$361.97
Gross Return
+2.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,087.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:45am ET $68.79 190 $13,071.05
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $69.19 190 $13,146.10 $13,158.38 +$75.05
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:50am ET $67.51 194 $13,096.94
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:10am ET $69.00 194 $13,386.97 $13,448.41 +$290.03
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:50am ET $67.68 198 $13,401.63
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $64.19 198 $12,709.62 $12,756.40 $-692.01
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $61.71 206 $12,712.01
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $59.32 206 $12,219.38 $12,263.77 $-492.63
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $58.80 208 $12,230.40
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $60.05 208 $12,491.36 $12,524.73 +$260.96
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $61.33 204 $12,510.30
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $64.29 204 $13,114.14 $13,128.57 +$603.84
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET $63.13 207 $13,067.91
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $64.68 207 $13,388.74 $13,449.40 +$320.83
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,449.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,449.40
Total Return: +34.49%
Back to Rebel Contraire